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KHC vs MDLZ
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) vs. Mondelez International (MDLZ) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Mondelez International (MDLZ) has outperformed Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) year-to-date, with approximately 15% gains compared to KHC's 6%, driven by strong Q1 earnings.
- KHC offers a higher dividend yield of over 7%, appealing to income-focused investors, while MDLZ yields around 3.4% with more consistent growth.
- MDLZ boasts a larger market cap of nearly $79 billion versus KHC's $27 billion, reflecting broader global snack exposure.
- Recent momentum favors MDLZ after an 8.2% revenue increase in Q1 2026, while KHC faces projected sales declines.
- KHC's low beta of 0.05 indicates stability, contrasting MDLZ's moderate beta around 0.4, suiting different risk profiles.
- Analyst consensus leans toward 'Hold' for KHC and 'Buy' for MDLZ, with price targets suggesting modest upside for both.
Introduction
Both KHC and MDLZ operate in the consumer staples sector, focusing on packaged foods and snacks, making them relevant for investors seeking defensive plays amid market volatility. KHC emphasizes condiments, cheeses, and meals primarily in North America, while MDLZ targets global snacking with chocolates and biscuits. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, financial metrics, and market positioning to aid traders evaluating relative strength in recent market activity. Investors balancing income, growth, and stability may find insights into sector trade-offs valuable.
KHC Overview and Recent Performance
The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) manufactures food and beverage products like condiments, sauces, cheeses, and frozen meals under iconic brands such as Heinz, Kraft, and Oscar Mayer. In recent weeks, KHC shares have traded around $22.50, near the lower end of the 52-week range of $21.03 to $29.19, with year-to-date gains of about 5.7%. Sentiment reflects caution due to declining sales volumes and a projected 2% revenue drop, offset by new product launches like Capri Sun Hydrate. Analysts maintain a 'Hold' rating amid concerns over operating margins and Berkshire Hathaway's stake. KHC's high dividend yield of 7.11% (forward dividend $1.60) and low beta (0.05, a measure of volatility relative to the market) support its appeal for stability seekers, though negative EPS (earnings per share, -4.93 TTM; trailing twelve months) pressures valuation. Upcoming Q1 earnings on May 6, 2026, could influence near-term momentum.
MDLZ Overview and Recent Performance
Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) leads in global snacking with brands like Oreo, Cadbury, and Chips Ahoy, deriving significant revenue from biscuits (48%) and chocolate (33%), with strong emerging market exposure. Shares recently closed near $61.37, within a 52-week range of $51.20 to $71.15, posting year-to-date returns of nearly 15%. Recent Q1 2026 results showed revenues up 8.2% to $10.08 billion and net income of $560 million, beating estimates and boosting sentiment despite consumer confidence headwinds from geopolitical factors. Analysts rate it 'Buy' with targets around $67-70. MDLZ's P/E ratio (price-to-earnings, 30.38), positive EPS (2.02 TTM), and dividend yield of 3.42% underscore growth potential, though higher beta (~0.4) implies moderate volatility. Recent market activity highlights resilience in snacking demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
KHC and MDLZ share roots from past mergers but diverge in models: KHC focuses on North American staples with heavy grocery reliance, while MDLZ emphasizes premium global snacks and emerging markets for 3-5% long-term growth. Recent momentum tilts to MDLZ's 15% YTD gains versus KHC's 6%, fueled by earnings beats versus sales headwinds. Risk factors include KHC's litigation and volume declines against MDLZ's input cost and geopolitical sensitivities. KHC's ultra-low beta offers stability and superior yield, but MDLZ's positive profitability and analyst support enhance growth prospects. Sector exposure favors MDLZ's snacking resilience over KHC's processed foods in shifting consumer trends, with MDLZ's larger scale providing diversification trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently favor MDLZ over KHC, citing superior trend consistency from recent earnings momentum, positive EPS trajectory, and relative YTD outperformance amid snacking demand stability. KHC's high yield and low volatility present value plays, but MDLZ shows stronger catalysts and market positioning, suggesting higher probability of near-term upside in probabilistic terms.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is KHC is a Hold and MDLZ is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
KHC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMDLZ’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- KHC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MDLZ’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
KHC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MDLZ’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- KHC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MDLZ’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
KHC (@Food: Major Diversified) experienced а +1.58% price change this week, while MDLZ (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was -1.24% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Major Diversified industry was -0.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13.69%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was +12.30%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.69%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.94%.
Reported Earning Dates
KHC is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
MDLZ is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Major Diversified (-0.40% weekly)Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (+12.30% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
| KHC | MDLZ | KHC / MDLZ | |
| Capitalization | 28.2B | 79.8B | 35% |
| EBITDA | -3.52B | 5.23B | -67% |
| Gain YTD | 1.600 | 16.456 | 10% |
| P/E Ratio | 13.04 | 30.77 | 42% |
| Revenue | 25B | 39.3B | 64% |
| Total Cash | 4.09B | 1.52B | 268% |
| Total Debt | 21.1B | 21.6B | 98% |
KHC | MDLZ | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 69 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 6 Undervalued | 25 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 77 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 95 | 72 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 31 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KHC's Valuation (6) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as MDLZ (25). This means that KHC’s stock grew similarly to MDLZ’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Profit vs Risk Rating (77) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as KHC (100). This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to KHC’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's SMR Rating (72) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as KHC (95). This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to KHC’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Food Major Diversified industry is in the same range as KHC (51). This means that MDLZ’s stock grew similarly to KHC’s over the last 12 months.
MDLZ's P/E Growth Rating (31) in the Food Major Diversified industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KHC (64). This means that MDLZ’s stock grew somewhat faster than KHC’s over the last 12 months.
| KHC | MDLZ | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 43% | 1 day ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 48% | 8 days ago 55% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 3 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 44% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 34% |
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KHC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KHC has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KHC jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
MDLZ and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MDLZ has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MDLZ jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MDLZ | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDLZ | 100% | +1.06% | ||
| GIS - MDLZ | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.38% | ||
| CAG - MDLZ | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.37% | ||
| CPB - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -2.42% | ||
| KHC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.79% | ||
| MKC - MDLZ | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.42% | ||
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