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NVMI vs ONTO
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NVMI is a Hold and ONTO is a Hold.
NVMI sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
NVMI saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 09, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVMI as a result. In 65 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
NVMI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NVMI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVMI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +3.80% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVMI advanced for three days, in 248 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
NVMI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 197 of 271 cases where NVMI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.759) is normal, around the industry mean (6.249). P/E Ratio (36.161) is within average values for comparable stocks, (84.682). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.670) is also within normal values, averaging (0.832). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.008) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.300) is also within normal values, averaging (27.093).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. NVMI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
Momentum Indicator for ONTO turns negative, indicating new downward trend
ONTO saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 12, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 97 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 79 of the 97 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ONTO turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 77%.
ONTO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ONTO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ONTO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 7 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +6.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ONTO advanced for three days, in 267 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
ONTO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 189 of 227 cases where ONTO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 83%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ONTO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.071) is normal, around the industry mean (6.249). P/E Ratio (74.412) is within average values for comparable stocks, (84.682). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.817) is also within normal values, averaging (0.832). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.008) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.787) is also within normal values, averaging (27.093).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
NVMI | ONTO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 70 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 59 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | 80 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 79 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 68 | 4 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NVMI's Valuation (71) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ONTO (79) in the null industry. This means that NVMI’s stock grew similarly to ONTO’s over the last 12 months.
NVMI's Profit vs Risk Rating (58) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ONTO (59) in the null industry. This means that NVMI’s stock grew similarly to ONTO’s over the last 12 months.
NVMI's SMR Rating (45) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ONTO (80) in the null industry. This means that NVMI’s stock grew somewhat faster than ONTO’s over the last 12 months.
ONTO's Price Growth Rating (64) in the null industry is in the same range as NVMI (79) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that ONTO’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
ONTO's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NVMI (68) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that ONTO’s stock grew somewhat faster than NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
| NVMI | ONTO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 23 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 72% | 9 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 83% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NVMI’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while ONTO’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- NVMI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- ONTO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NVMI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ONTO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NVMI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ONTO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
NVMI (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -3.07% price change this week, while ONTO (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was -9.98% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -4.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -22.43%, and the average quarterly price growth was -32.54%.
Reported Earning Dates
NVMI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
ONTO is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (-4.19% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
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NVMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVMI has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NVMI jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVMI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVMI | 100% | +0.39% | ||
| LRCX - NVMI | 84% Closely correlated | -0.02% | ||
| ONTO - NVMI | 81% Closely correlated | +0.01% | ||
| AMAT - NVMI | 81% Closely correlated | +0.44% | ||
| ASML - NVMI | 79% Closely correlated | +0.72% | ||
| ENTG - NVMI | 78% Closely correlated | +4.84% | ||
More | ||||
ONTO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ONTO has been closely correlated with AMAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ONTO jumps, then AMAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ONTO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONTO | 100% | +0.01% | ||
| AMAT - ONTO | 85% Closely correlated | +0.44% | ||
| LRCX - ONTO | 83% Closely correlated | -0.02% | ||
| KLAC - ONTO | 82% Closely correlated | -1.50% | ||
| NVMI - ONTO | 81% Closely correlated | +0.39% | ||
| ENTG - ONTO | 80% Closely correlated | +4.84% | ||
More | ||||