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LVS vs MLCO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Las Vegas Sands (LVS) vs. Melco Resorts & Entertainment (MLCO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both LVS and MLCO are heavily exposed to Macau, where gross gaming revenue (GGR) has softened in recent months, pressuring both share prices.
- Las Vegas Sands benefits from geographic diversification through Marina Bay Sands in Singapore, which has delivered strong recent growth and cushions Macau weakness.
- Melco Resorts is smaller and more leveraged, but offers broader international diversification across the Philippines, Cyprus, and Sri Lanka, plus a notably high free cash flow yield.
- LVS returns capital through a recurring dividend and large buybacks, while MLCO is prioritizing deleveraging and has targeted a dividend resumption by year-end.
- Analyst sentiment has cooled on both names, with price targets trimmed amid a muted Macau recovery and elevated promotional competition.
Introduction
Las Vegas Sands and Melco Resorts & Entertainment are two of the most prominent pure-play operators in the Asian casino and integrated resort market, with both companies generating a large share of revenue from Macau. This stock comparison is relevant for investors and traders seeking exposure to Asia's gaming sector but weighing very different risk profiles: a larger, Singapore-diversified operator versus a smaller, more leveraged and internationally diversified rival. Understanding their relative performance, market positioning, and balance-sheet dynamics can help readers assess which profile better fits the current environment.
LVS Overview and Recent Performance
LVS (Las Vegas Sands Corp.) is the world's largest operator of fully integrated resorts, running properties across Macao—including The Venetian Macao and The Londoner Macao—and Marina Bay Sands in Singapore. After selling its Las Vegas assets in 2022, the company now derives essentially all of its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) from Asia.
In recent market activity, the stock has traded in a lower range, reflecting a sharp year-to-date decline alongside a softening in Macau GGR and cautious analyst revisions. This weakness has been partially offset by resilient Singapore performance, where Marina Bay Sands has posted robust EBITDA growth and stronger mass-market play. Capital returns remain a notable feature of the LVS story, with recurring quarterly dividends and substantial share repurchases supporting shareholder value even as Macau sentiment has wavered.
MLCO Overview and Recent Performance
MLCO (Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited) develops, owns, and operates casino and resort facilities in Macau, the Philippines, Cyprus, and internationally. Its flagship properties include City of Dreams Macau and Studio City, alongside City of Dreams Manila and City of Dreams Mediterranean.
Recent weeks have been challenging for MLCO, with the stock extending a longer decline as analysts trimmed price targets and at least one firm downgraded the shares to a neutral stance, citing weaker Macau GGR visibility and elevated promotional intensity. Management has responded by emphasizing a premium offering, launching the REM luxury hotel brand at City of Dreams Macau, while also pursuing debt reduction and share repurchases. The company's broader international footprint and high free cash flow yield remain central elements of its investment case, even as near-term sentiment stays subdued.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
While both companies are anchored in Macau, their business models differ in meaningful ways. LVS operates at greater scale with a dominant Singapore presence that provides earnings diversification and has helped stabilize results during Macau softness. Its balance sheet supports steady dividends and aggressive buybacks, positioning it as a comparatively lower-risk, income-oriented vehicle within the sector.
MLCO, by contrast, is a smaller-cap operator with higher leverage and greater sensitivity to Macau's premium-mass and VIP segments, which have faced competitive pressure. Its offsetting strengths lie in geographic diversification across the Philippines, Cyprus, and Sri Lanka, a high free cash flow yield, and ongoing deleveraging. On recent momentum, both stocks have lagged, but MLCO has exhibited more pronounced volatility, reflecting its higher-risk profile and thinner liquidity cushion relative to its larger peer.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely assign LVS the more favorable profile in the current environment. Its Singapore diversification, recurring dividend, and larger scale contribute to steadier fundamentals amid Macau volatility, whereas MLCO carries higher leverage and greater sensitivity to promotional competition. This probabilistic assessment reflects relative stability rather than a forecast of absolute returns, and market conditions could shift either outlook.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LVS is a Hold and MLCO is a Hold.
Momentum Indicator for LVS turns positive, indicating new upward trend
LVS saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 85 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 59 of the 85 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where LVS's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LVS just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where LVS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Following a +1.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LVS advanced for three days, in 206 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LVS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
The Aroon Indicator for LVS entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LVS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (41.816) is normal, around the industry mean (13.420). P/E Ratio (14.539) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.815). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.824) is also within normal values, averaging (0.784). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.023) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.013) is also within normal values, averaging (1.049).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LVS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
MLCO's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for MLCO entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 238 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 203 of the 238 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MLCO as a result. In 71 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MLCO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MLCO's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 28 of 38 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MLCO just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where MLCO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Following a +1.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MLCO advanced for three days, in 206 of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
MLCO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MLCO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 94 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MLCO's P/B Ratio (176.817) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (13.420). P/E Ratio (6.829) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.815). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.349) is also within normal values, averaging (0.784). MLCO's Dividend Yield (0.162) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.023). P/S Ratio (0.336) is also within normal values, averaging (1.049).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MLCO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
LVS | MLCO | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 11 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 85 Overvalued | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 93 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 12 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 79 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 84 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 45 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
LVS's Valuation (85) in the Casinos Or Gaming industry is in the same range as MLCO (94). This means that LVS’s stock grew similarly to MLCO’s over the last 12 months.
LVS's Profit vs Risk Rating (93) in the Casinos Or Gaming industry is in the same range as MLCO (100). This means that LVS’s stock grew similarly to MLCO’s over the last 12 months.
LVS's SMR Rating (12) in the Casinos Or Gaming industry is significantly better than the same rating for MLCO (100). This means that LVS’s stock grew significantly faster than MLCO’s over the last 12 months.
LVS's Price Growth Rating (63) in the Casinos Or Gaming industry is in the same range as MLCO (79). This means that LVS’s stock grew similarly to MLCO’s over the last 12 months.
LVS's P/E Growth Rating (84) in the Casinos Or Gaming industry is in the same range as MLCO (96). This means that LVS’s stock grew similarly to MLCO’s over the last 12 months.
| LVS | MLCO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 83% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 65% | 17 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 85% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LVS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while MLCO’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- LVS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MLCO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LVS’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MLCO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LVS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MLCO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
LVS (@Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines) experienced а +1.32% price change this week, while MLCO (@Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines) price change was -2.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines industry was -2.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.14%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.16%.
Reported Earning Dates
LVS is expected to report earnings on Jan 27, 2027.
MLCO is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Hotels/Resorts/Cruiselines (-2.40% weekly)The industry includes companies that operate and manage one or more of the following: lodging facilities (e.g. hotels and motels), resorts (e.g. ski resorts), spas, cruise ships and timeshare facilities. Marriott International, Inc., Carnival Corporation, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. and Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. are some of the biggest names in this industry.
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LVS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LVS has been loosely correlated with MLCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if LVS jumps, then MLCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LVS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVS | 100% | -1.73% | ||
| MLCO - LVS | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.97% | ||
| BRSL - LVS | 40% Loosely correlated | -1.39% | ||
| INSE - LVS | 38% Loosely correlated | +0.63% | ||
| DKNG - LVS | 36% Loosely correlated | +0.24% | ||
| MGM - LVS | 35% Loosely correlated | -0.10% | ||
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MLCO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MLCO has been loosely correlated with LVS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MLCO jumps, then LVS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MLCO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLCO | 100% | -0.97% | ||
| LVS - MLCO | 53% Loosely correlated | -1.73% | ||
| WYNN - MLCO | 48% Loosely correlated | -2.18% | ||
| MGM - MLCO | 33% Loosely correlated | -0.10% | ||
| DKNG - MLCO | 33% Poorly correlated | +0.24% | ||
| FLUT - MLCO | 30% Poorly correlated | -0.91% | ||
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