MBWM saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on September 17, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 44 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 68%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MBWM as a result. In 52 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
MBWM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MBWM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 44%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MBWM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.02% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MBWM advanced for three days, in 198 of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
MBWM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 153 of 243 cases where MBWM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 63%.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MBWM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.359) is normal, around the industry mean (1.323). P/E Ratio (10.431) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.509). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.320) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.891) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
On October 09, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for UBCP moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 73 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 54 of the 73 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 74%.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where UBCP's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 7 of 10 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UBCP as a result. In 78 of 119 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Following a +2.66% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UBCP advanced for three days, in 170 of 243 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
UBCP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 121 of 207 cases where UBCP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 58%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UBCP turned negative on September 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 62%.
UBCP moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for UBCP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UBCP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 14 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.174) is normal, around the industry mean (1.323). P/E Ratio (10.688) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.509). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.350) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.052) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.506) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. UBCP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. UBCP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock worse than average.
MBWM | UBCP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 13 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 47 Fair valued | 14 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 12 | 70 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 26 | 57 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 26 | 37 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UBCP's Valuation (14) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MBWM (47). This means that UBCP’s stock grew somewhat faster than MBWM’s over the last 12 months.
MBWM's Profit vs Risk Rating (12) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for UBCP (70). This means that MBWM’s stock grew somewhat faster than UBCP’s over the last 12 months.
MBWM's SMR Rating (26) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as UBCP (57). This means that MBWM’s stock grew similarly to UBCP’s over the last 12 months.
MBWM's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as UBCP (59). This means that MBWM’s stock grew similarly to UBCP’s over the last 12 months.
MBWM's P/E Growth Rating (26) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as UBCP (37). This means that MBWM’s stock grew similarly to UBCP’s over the last 12 months.
| MBWM | UBCP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 63% | 6 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 59% | 16 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 58% |
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MBWM’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while UBCP’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MBWM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UBCP’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
MBWM (@Regional Banks) experienced а -1.36% price change this week, while UBCP (@Regional Banks) price change was +3.46% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was -0.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.11%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.41%.
MBWM is expected to report earnings on Oct 20, 2026.
UBCP is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
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|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| COHX | 21.95 | 0.30 | +1.39% |
| Tradr 2X Long COHR Daily ETF (COHX) | |||
| PCLC | 25.62 | N/A | N/A |
| Polen 5Perspectives Large Growth ETF (PCLC) | |||
| HYDB | 44.81 | -0.17 | -0.38% |
| iShares High Yield Systematic Bond ETF (HYDB) | |||
| AMZU | 36.37 | -0.28 | -0.76% |
| Direxion Daily AMZN Bull 2X ETF (AMZU) | |||
| SLON | 34.16 | -0.41 | -1.18% |
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UBCP has been loosely correlated with BSBK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 34% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if UBCP jumps, then BSBK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UBCP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBCP | 100% | +2.38% | ||
| BSBK - UBCP | 34% Loosely correlated | +0.44% | ||
| MGYR - UBCP | 26% Poorly correlated | +0.32% | ||
| ALRS - UBCP | 25% Poorly correlated | -0.23% | ||
| MBWM - UBCP | 24% Poorly correlated | -0.45% | ||
| BAFN - UBCP | 24% Poorly correlated | +4.84% | ||
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