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MPLX vs OKE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? MPLX LP (MPLX) vs. ONEOK, Inc. (OKE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MPLX offers a higher dividend yield of approximately 7.6%, attracting income-focused investors, compared to OKE's 4.7%.
- OKE has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at 24.6%, outperforming MPLX's 8.2% amid recent market activity.
- Both stocks trade at similar market capitalizations around $57 billion, reflecting their scale in the midstream energy sector.
- OKE reported robust Q1 2026 results with net income up 12% and raised full-year guidance, boosting sentiment.
- MPLX secured a $2.5 billion credit facility extending liquidity through 2031, supporting financial stability.
- MPLX trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.7 versus OKE's 16.1, suggesting relative value.
Introduction
MPLX LP (MPLX) and ONEOK, Inc. (OKE) are prominent players in the midstream energy sector, focusing on pipelines, storage, and transportation of crude oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and refined products. This stock comparison is particularly relevant for income-oriented investors seeking high-yield dividends and exposure to energy infrastructure, as well as traders monitoring relative performance amid fluctuating commodity prices and sector growth. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in momentum, valuation, and operational catalysts, aiding decisions on positioning in a volatile energy landscape.
MPLX Overview and Recent Performance
MPLX LP, a master limited partnership (MLP) primarily owned by Marathon Petroleum, operates extensive pipeline networks and logistics for crude oil, refined products, and natural gas. In recent weeks, MPLX shares have traded around $56.61, near the upper end of their 52-week range of $47.80 to $59.98, reflecting steady demand for midstream assets. Year-to-date gains stand at 8.15%, supported by a high dividend yield of 7.61% and a P/E ratio of 11.74. Key influences include a new $2.5 billion revolving credit facility maturing in 2031, enhancing liquidity, and full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) of $7.0 billion. Sentiment has been buoyed by analyst upgrades, such as Goldman Sachs raising its price target to $63, though shares dipped slightly amid broader market gains in recent sessions.
OKE Overview and Recent Performance
ONEOK, Inc. is a leading midstream provider specializing in natural gas and NGL pipelines, processing, and transportation across key U.S. basins. Recently, OKE shares have hovered near $90.36, close to the 52-week high of $95.30, with YTD performance of 24.62% outpacing the sector. The stock offers a dividend yield of 4.74% and a P/E ratio of 16.11, underpinned by market cap of nearly $57 billion. Q1 2026 results showed net income of $776 million (up 12% year-over-year) and adjusted EBITDA of $2.0 billion (up 13%), driven by higher volumes; the company raised its full-year 2026 guidance. Positive analyst revisions and robust revenue of $9.62 billion have fueled upward momentum, though shares pulled back modestly in recent trading.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MPLX and OKE both anchor the midstream sector but differ in focus: MPLX emphasizes crude and refined products logistics, while OKE prioritizes natural gas and NGLs with growing volumes in key basins. Growth drivers for OKE include recent segment expansions, contrasting MPLX's reliance on stable fee-based contracts. Recent momentum favors OKE with superior YTD returns and earnings beats, versus MPLX's more defensive posture. Risk factors are similar—commodity volatility and regulatory shifts—but MPLX's higher leverage to parent Marathon Petroleum adds correlation risk. OKE exhibits stronger market sentiment from guidance upgrades, while MPLX appeals via lower valuation and superior yield, highlighting trade-offs in income versus growth exposure.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors OKE due to its consistent upward trend, recent earnings catalysts, and relative strength in performance metrics like YTD gains and volume growth. While MPLX offers attractive valuation and yield stability, OKE's positioning suggests higher probability of near-term outperformance in the current energy market environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MPLX is a Buy and OKE is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MPLX’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileOKE’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MPLX’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- OKE’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MPLX’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OKE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MPLX’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 2 bearish.
- OKE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
MPLX (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) experienced а +2.85% price change this week, while OKE (@Oil & Gas Pipelines) price change was -1.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Pipelines industry was +1.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.10%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.77%.
Reported Earning Dates
MPLX is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
OKE is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Pipelines (+1.21% weekly)Oil & Gas Pipelines industry includes companies that transport natural gas and crude oil through pipelines. These companies also collect and market the fuels. The pipeline segment could be considered as a midstream operation – functioning as a link between the upstream and downstream operations in the oil and gas industry. Some of the largest U.S. pipeline players include Enterprise Products Partners L.P, TC Energy Corporation and Energy Transfer, L.P.
| MPLX | OKE | MPLX / OKE | |
| Capitalization | 58.5B | 55.5B | 105% |
| EBITDA | 7.22B | 7.92B | 91% |
| Gain YTD | 12.343 | 20.436 | 60% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.32 | 15.38 | 80% |
| Revenue | 11.4B | 35.2B | 32% |
| Total Cash | 1.51B | 172M | 876% |
| Total Debt | 26.1B | 33.7B | 77% |
MPLX | OKE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 55 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 9 Undervalued | 15 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 49 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 30 | 54 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 53 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 55 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MPLX's Valuation (9) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as OKE (15). This means that MPLX’s stock grew similarly to OKE’s over the last 12 months.
MPLX's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OKE (49). This means that MPLX’s stock grew somewhat faster than OKE’s over the last 12 months.
MPLX's SMR Rating (30) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as OKE (54). This means that MPLX’s stock grew similarly to OKE’s over the last 12 months.
MPLX's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as OKE (57). This means that MPLX’s stock grew similarly to OKE’s over the last 12 months.
MPLX's P/E Growth Rating (47) in the Oil And Gas Pipelines industry is in the same range as OKE (53). This means that MPLX’s stock grew similarly to OKE’s over the last 12 months.
| MPLX | OKE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 20 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 26 days ago 34% | 6 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | 2 days ago 68% |
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OKE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OKE has been closely correlated with TRGP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OKE jumps, then TRGP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To OKE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKE | 100% | +1.48% | ||
| TRGP - OKE | 73% Closely correlated | +2.29% | ||
| PAA - OKE | 71% Closely correlated | +0.68% | ||
| AM - OKE | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.64% | ||
| KMI - OKE | 61% Loosely correlated | +2.09% | ||
| PAGP - OKE | 59% Loosely correlated | +0.43% | ||
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