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MS vs XP
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MS is a Buy and XP is a Hold.
MS's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MS turned positive on October 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where MS's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MS's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 14 of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 42 of 58 cases where MS's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Following a +4.78% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MS advanced for three days, in 231 of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
MS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Aroon Indicator for MS entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 92 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.756) is normal, around the industry mean (3.638). P/E Ratio (14.961) is within average values for comparable stocks, (8.944). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.702) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (7.191) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.380) is also within normal values, averaging (16.763).
Aroon Indicator for XP shows an upward move is likely
XP's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 21, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 201 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 152 of the 201 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for XP moved above the 200-day moving average on September 29, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +7.22% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XP advanced for three days, in 215 of 293 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for XP moved out of overbought territory on October 21, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 66%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 53 cases where XP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XP turned negative on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
XP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. XP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.622) is normal, around the industry mean (3.638). P/E Ratio (2.973) is within average values for comparable stocks, (8.944). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.970) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.026) settles around the average of (7.191) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.325) is also within normal values, averaging (16.763).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. XP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
MS | XP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 42 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 84 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 5 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
XP's Valuation (84) in the null industry is in the same range as MS (92) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that XP’s stock grew similarly to MS’s over the last 12 months.
MS's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is significantly better than the same rating for XP (100) in the null industry. This means that MS’s stock grew significantly faster than XP’s over the last 12 months.
MS's SMR Rating (5) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for XP (43) in the null industry. This means that MS’s stock grew somewhat faster than XP’s over the last 12 months.
XP's Price Growth Rating (34) in the null industry is in the same range as MS (60) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry. This means that XP’s stock grew similarly to MS’s over the last 12 months.
MS's P/E Growth Rating (57) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for XP (95) in the null industry. This means that MS’s stock grew somewhat faster than XP’s over the last 12 months.
| MS | XP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 7 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 76% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MS’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while XP’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MS’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- XP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MS’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while XP’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
- XP’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MS (@Investment Banks/Brokers) experienced а +3.03% price change this week, while XP (@Investment Banks/Brokers) price change was -0.23% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Banks/Brokers industry was -5.09%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -16.78%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
MS is expected to report earnings on Jan 14, 2027.
XP is expected to report earnings on Nov 16, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Banks/Brokers (-5.09% weekly)These banks specialize in underwriting (helping companies with debt financing or equity issuances), IPOs, facilitating mergers and other corporate reorganizations and acting as a broker or financial advisor for institutions. They might also trade securities on their own accounts. Investment banks potentially thrive on expanding its network of clients, since that could help them increase profits. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and CME Group Inc are some of the largest investment banking companies.
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