MTDR
Price
$49.06
Change
+$0.40 (+0.82%)
Updated
Aug 7 closing price
Capitalization
6.09B
80 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
OXY
Price
$55.91
Change
-$0.13 (-0.23%)
Updated
Aug 7 closing price
Capitalization
55.89B
94 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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MTDR vs OXY

MTDR vs OXY Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Aug 03, 2026

Which Stock Would AI Choose? Matador Resources (MTDR) vs. Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Stock Comparison

Key Takeaways

  • Both MTDR and OXY operate in the oil and gas exploration and production sector, exposing them to similar commodity price fluctuations and energy market dynamics.
  • OXY has delivered stronger year-to-date stock performance, with returns exceeding 36%, compared to MTDR’s approximately 19% over the same period.
  • Recent market activity shows MTDR experiencing heightened volatility tied to acquisition-related leverage concerns and oil price swings, while OXY benefited from leadership announcements and broader sector resilience.
  • MTDR announced strategic acquisitions in the Delaware Basin and upcoming second-quarter earnings details, signaling potential operational expansion.
  • OXY reported leadership changes and maintains a larger scale with diversified operations, contributing to relatively more stable recent positioning amid energy sector shifts.
  • Sector sentiment for both remains influenced by crude oil price movements, with investors monitoring production guidance and cost management in the current environment.

Introduction

Matador Resources (MTDR) and Occidental Petroleum (OXY) represent two publicly traded companies in the upstream energy sector, making them relevant for comparison by investors and traders focused on oil and gas exposure. This analysis examines their relative performance, business profiles, and recent market positioning to assist those evaluating energy equities within diversified portfolios. The comparison highlights contrasts in scale, operational focus, and momentum that may appeal to traders seeking sector-specific insights or longer-term positioning in commodity-linked assets.

MTDR Overview and Recent Performance

Matador Resources Company is an independent energy firm primarily engaged in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas, with a concentrated presence in the Permian Basin, particularly the Delaware Basin. In recent weeks, MTDR shares traded around the $47–$50 range amid broader energy sector volatility. The stock experienced a notable decline of approximately 7% on one session linked to falling crude prices and concerns over leverage following acquisition activity. Positive developments included announcements of strategic acquisitions in the Delaware Basin and successful results from a Woodford exploration well, which supported operational sentiment. The company also set the date for its second-quarter 2026 earnings release. Year-to-date returns stood near 19%, with the stock showing recovery attempts after the mid-July dip while remaining sensitive to oil price movements.

OXY Overview and Recent Performance

Occidental Petroleum Corporation is a major integrated energy company involved in oil and gas exploration and production, with additional midstream operations and initiatives in carbon management. In recent market activity, OXY shares traded near $56–$57, demonstrating resilience relative to peers. The stock posted year-to-date gains exceeding 36%, significantly outpacing the broader market. Recent developments included the appointment of a new Senior Vice President and General Counsel, alongside preparations for second-quarter results scheduled for early August. While subject to the same crude oil price pressures affecting the sector, OXY has shown comparatively steadier performance, supported by its scale and analyst attention amid mixed ratings and occasional upgrades.

Trending AI Robots

Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of high-performing AI trading bots from hundreds available across thousands of tickers. Only those demonstrating the strongest alignment with prevailing market conditions earn placement in this section. Available bots span a wide range of trading styles, strategies, timeframes, and performance metrics, with many achieving win rates between 60% and 80% or higher in backtested scenarios and varying levels of profitability across different market regimes. These systems differ substantially in risk parameters, holding periods, and the specific equities they target. Traders interested in automated, data-driven approaches to stocks such as MTDR and OXY may explore the platform for additional context on current opportunities.

Head-to-Head Comparison

Matador Resources operates as a smaller, basin-focused explorer with a narrower geographic emphasis on the Permian, while Occidental Petroleum maintains greater scale, international exposure, and diversification into midstream and low-carbon initiatives. Growth drivers for MTDR center on targeted acquisitions and drilling success in core areas, whereas OXY benefits from broader operational flexibility and established production infrastructure. Recent momentum favored OXY with superior year-to-date returns, though both stocks faced pressure from oil price fluctuations. Risk factors include commodity volatility for each, with MTDR additionally carrying acquisition-related leverage considerations and OXY navigating larger-scale execution and regulatory elements. Market sentiment reflects sector-wide caution, tempered by individual catalysts such as MTDR’s well results and OXY’s leadership updates.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable factors including stronger recent trend consistency, larger operational scale, and relatively steadier positioning amid energy sector volatility, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to OXY over MTDR. This assessment draws from comparative momentum data and catalyst visibility rather than any guarantee of future outcomes.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
MTDR vs. OXY commentary
Aug 09, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MTDR is a Hold and OXY is a Hold.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Aug 09, 2026
Stock price -- (MTDR: $49.06 vs. OXY: $55.91)
Brand notoriety: MTDR: Not notable vs. OXY: Notable
Both companies represent the Oil & Gas Production industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: MTDR: 123% vs. OXY: 81%
Market capitalization -- MTDR: $6.09B vs. OXY: $55.89B
MTDR [@Oil & Gas Production] is valued at $6.09B. OXY’s [@Oil & Gas Production] market capitalization is $55.89B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Oil & Gas Production] industry ranges from $141.29B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Oil & Gas Production] industry is $9.48B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

MTDR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileOXY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).

  • MTDR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • OXY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
According to our system of comparison, MTDR is a better buy in the long-term than OXY.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

MTDR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OXY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • MTDR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • OXY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, both MTDR and OXY are a good buy in the short-term.

Price Growth

MTDR (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -1.66% price change this week, while OXY (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -2.03% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -1.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.64%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.77%.

Reported Earning Dates

MTDR is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.

OXY is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.

Industries' Descriptions

@Oil & Gas Production (-1.97% weekly)

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
OXY($55.9B) has a higher market cap than MTDR($6.09B). OXY has higher P/E ratio than MTDR: OXY (16.49) vs MTDR (8.42). OXY YTD gains are higher at: 37.564 vs. MTDR (16.314). OXY has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 11B vs. MTDR (2.09B). MTDR has less debt than OXY: MTDR (3.57B) vs OXY (16.6B). OXY has higher revenues than MTDR: OXY (21.1B) vs MTDR (3.59B).
MTDROXYMTDR / OXY
Capitalization6.09B55.9B11%
EBITDA2.09B11B19%
Gain YTD16.31437.56443%
P/E Ratio8.4216.4951%
Revenue3.59B21.1B17%
Total Cash30.5MN/A-
Total Debt3.57B16.6B21%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
MTDR vs OXY: Fundamental Ratings
MTDR
OXY
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
5973
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
34
Fair valued
63
Fair valued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
7159
SMR RATING
1..100
7660
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
6019
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
2987
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
5050

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

MTDR's Valuation (34) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as OXY (63). This means that MTDR’s stock grew similarly to OXY’s over the last 12 months.

OXY's Profit vs Risk Rating (59) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MTDR (71). This means that OXY’s stock grew similarly to MTDR’s over the last 12 months.

OXY's SMR Rating (60) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MTDR (76). This means that OXY’s stock grew similarly to MTDR’s over the last 12 months.

OXY's Price Growth Rating (19) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MTDR (60). This means that OXY’s stock grew somewhat faster than MTDR’s over the last 12 months.

MTDR's P/E Growth Rating (29) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OXY (87). This means that MTDR’s stock grew somewhat faster than OXY’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
MTDROXY
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
68%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
71%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
69%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
73%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
63%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
73%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
68%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
73%
Bullish Trend 17 days ago
69%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
66%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
78%
N/A
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
77%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
71%
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MTDR
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
OXY
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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OXY and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OXY has been closely correlated with DVN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OXY jumps, then DVN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To OXY
1D Price
Change %
OXY100%
+4.14%
DVN - OXY
80%
Closely correlated
+2.42%
COP - OXY
80%
Closely correlated
+1.50%
CHRD - OXY
79%
Closely correlated
+1.96%
OVV - OXY
77%
Closely correlated
+3.28%
EOG - OXY
77%
Closely correlated
+1.47%
More