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MTG vs TRUP
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MTG is a StrongBuy and TRUP is a Buy.
MTG's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for MTG moved out of oversold territory on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 16 of the 21 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MTG just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where MTG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Following a +2.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTG advanced for three days, in 208 of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
MTG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 30 of 60 cases where MTG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MTG as a result. In 46 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
The 10-day moving average for MTG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 35%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
The Aroon Indicator for MTG entered a downward trend on October 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MTG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.117) is normal, around the industry mean (1.025). P/E Ratio (8.455) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.884). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.500) is also within normal values, averaging (0.944). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.507) among similar stocks. MTG's P/S Ratio (5.459) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.529).
TRUP in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026
TRUP moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 28 of 35 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TRUP as a result. In 69 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TRUP just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where TRUP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The 10-day moving average for TRUP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The 50-day moving average for TRUP moved above the 200-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +5.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TRUP advanced for three days, in 213 of 272 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TRUP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
TRUP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TRUP entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TRUP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.203) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.701). TRUP has a moderately high P/E Ratio (56.434) as compared to the industry average of (9.658). TRUP's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (24.710) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.303). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.736) is also within normal values, averaging (1.594).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TRUP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock worse than average.
MTG | TRUP | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 40 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 81 Overvalued | 100 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 72 | 81 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 94 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTG's Valuation (81) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as TRUP (100). This means that MTG’s stock grew similarly to TRUP’s over the last 12 months.
MTG's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Specialty Insurance industry is significantly better than the same rating for TRUP (100). This means that MTG’s stock grew significantly faster than TRUP’s over the last 12 months.
MTG's SMR Rating (72) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as TRUP (81). This means that MTG’s stock grew similarly to TRUP’s over the last 12 months.
TRUP's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Specialty Insurance industry is in the same range as MTG (59). This means that TRUP’s stock grew similarly to MTG’s over the last 12 months.
MTG's P/E Growth Rating (47) in the Specialty Insurance industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TRUP (94). This means that MTG’s stock grew somewhat faster than TRUP’s over the last 12 months.
| MTG | TRUP | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 60% | 7 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 48% | 29 days ago 85% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 89% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MTG’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TRUP’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- MTG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TRUP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MTG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TRUP’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MTG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TRUP’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MTG (@Specialty Insurance) experienced а +0.07% price change this week, while TRUP (@Property/Casualty Insurance) price change was +6.62% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Insurance industry was +3.23%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.29%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3.36%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Property/Casualty Insurance industry was +3.54%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.07%.
Reported Earning Dates
MTG is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
TRUP is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Specialty Insurance (+3.23% weekly)Specialty insurance typically caters to niche-markets, and covers items that are special or unique and/or items that are not typically covered under other insurance policies. Restoration or purchase of a one-of-a-kind collector’s item, high-value home, recreational vehicles, sailboat or even jet skis, horses and farms, all-terrain vehicle, funerals, museums and fine art collections are some examples– one or more of which are covered by a specialty insurance provider. In some cases, a specialty insurance could also complement someone’s existing auto, home and umbrella policies. Markel Corp, for Fidelity National Financial, Inc., Assurant, Inc. and Athene Holding Ltd. are examples of specialty insurance providers.
@Property/Casualty Insurance (+3.54% weekly)Property and casualty companies insure against accidents of non-physical harm, such as lawsuits, damage to personal assets, car crashes and more. Progressive Corporation, Travelers Companies, Inc. and Allstate Corporation are some of the biggest providers of such products.
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MTG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTG has been closely correlated with NMIH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTG jumps, then NMIH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MTG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTG | 100% | +1.57% | ||
| NMIH - MTG | 86% Closely correlated | +1.77% | ||
| ESNT - MTG | 86% Closely correlated | +2.62% | ||
| ACT - MTG | 77% Closely correlated | +2.78% | ||
| RDN - MTG | 73% Closely correlated | +2.12% | ||
| FNF - MTG | 49% Loosely correlated | +1.87% | ||
More | ||||
TRUP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TRUP has been loosely correlated with MTG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 38% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TRUP jumps, then MTG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TRUP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRUP | 100% | +4.95% | ||
| MTG - TRUP | 38% Loosely correlated | +1.57% | ||
| FAF - TRUP | 38% Loosely correlated | -2.09% | ||
| AGO - TRUP | 36% Loosely correlated | +1.50% | ||
| FNF - TRUP | 35% Loosely correlated | +1.87% | ||
| NMIH - TRUP | 35% Loosely correlated | +1.77% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| RSBA | 20.40 | 0.22 | +1.07% |
| Return Stacked Bonds & Merger Arbitrage ETF (RSBA) | |||
| HNDL | 21.95 | 0.06 | +0.26% |
| Strategy Shares Nasdaq 7HANDL Index ETF (HNDL) | |||
| FESM | 45.21 | -0.12 | -0.26% |
| Fidelity Enhanced Small Cap Core ETF (FESM) | |||
| CHRI | 90.93 | -1.22 | -1.32% |
| Global X S&P 500 Christian Values ETF (CHRI) | |||
| EEMX | 48.61 | -1.54 | -3.07% |
| State Street SPDR MSCI Emerging Markets Fossil Fuel Reserves Free ETF (EEMX) | |||