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NHI vs WELL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? National Health Investors (NHI) vs. Welltower (WELL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NHI and WELL are both healthcare real estate investment trusts (REITs) focused on senior housing and medical facilities, but they differ significantly in scale and recent performance.
- WELL has delivered strong year-to-date gains of approximately 24-30% through mid-September 2026, while NHI has declined roughly 7-9% over the same period.
- NHI offers a higher dividend yield near 5.5% compared to WELL's approximately 1.5%, reflecting different risk-return profiles.
- WELL's larger market capitalization of about $165 billion provides broader diversification and international exposure versus NHI's roughly $3.3 billion focus on U.S. senior housing.
- Recent market activity shows WELL benefiting from sustained momentum in senior housing demand, while NHI has faced pressure amid broader REIT sector volatility.
- Analyst consensus rates both as buys, with price targets implying upside potential, though WELL trades at a higher valuation multiple.
Introduction
National Health Investors (NHI) and Welltower (WELL) represent two prominent players in the healthcare REIT sector, both capitalizing on demographic trends in aging populations and demand for senior housing and medical facilities. This comparison examines their relative performance, business models, and market positioning to assist investors and traders evaluating opportunities in healthcare real estate. The analysis draws on recent market activity over the past several weeks and broader trends, providing objective insights relevant to those seeking exposure to REITs with varying risk profiles, dividend characteristics, and growth trajectories.
NHI Overview and Recent Performance
National Health Investors, Inc. (NHI) operates as a self-managed REIT primarily investing in income-producing healthcare properties, with a focus on senior housing communities and medical facilities across the United States. In recent weeks, the stock has traded in a range near $67.80 to $69.23, reflecting a decline from its February 2026 peak above $91. The shares have posted negative year-to-date returns amid sector pressures and a pullback from 52-week highs. Key developments include expanded investments in senior housing operating portfolios (SHOP), with signed letters of intent and a pipeline supporting projected net operating income growth. Sentiment has been influenced by quarterly results showing revenue increases and normalized funds from operations stability, though overall price action has remained subdued compared to broader market gains.
WELL Overview and Recent Performance
Welltower Inc. (WELL) is a large-scale healthcare REIT with a diversified portfolio encompassing senior housing, outpatient medical buildings, and other healthcare properties, including international operations. Through mid-September 2026, the stock has shown resilience, closing near $228.87 after trading in a range up to $231.86, contributing to year-to-date advances of approximately 24-30%. The shares have outperformed many peers, supported by strong demand fundamentals in senior housing and consistent revenue growth exceeding 35% year-over-year in recent periods. Recent market activity highlights sustained upward momentum, with analysts maintaining buy ratings and price targets suggesting further appreciation potential. Broader sentiment remains constructive amid favorable demographic tailwinds and operational execution.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business model terms, both entities function as healthcare REITs, yet WELL maintains greater scale and diversification across property types and geographies, while NHI concentrates more narrowly on U.S. senior housing with a higher proportion of triple-net leases. Growth drivers favor WELL through larger SHOP exposure and international reach, contributing to stronger recent revenue expansion. Recent momentum shows WELL advancing steadily amid positive sector trends, contrasting with NHI’s more volatile price behavior and drawdown from highs. Risk factors include NHI’s smaller size potentially amplifying sensitivity to individual property performance, offset by its elevated dividend yield; WELL trades at premium valuations that embed higher growth expectations. Sector exposure remains aligned in senior housing, though market sentiment has tilted toward larger peers like WELL during periods of economic uncertainty.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a higher probability of favorable near-term performance to WELL. Its sustained upward trajectory, scale advantages, and alignment with broader healthcare REIT momentum provide a more stable profile compared to NHI’s recent consolidation. This assessment remains probabilistic and reflects current data patterns rather than guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NHI is a StrongBuy and WELL is a Hold.
NHI | WELL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 61 | 72 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 20 Undervalued | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 67 | 86 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 67 | 33 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NHI's Valuation (20) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is significantly better than the same rating for WELL (94). This means that NHI’s stock grew significantly faster than WELL’s over the last 12 months.
WELL's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NHI (53). This means that WELL’s stock grew somewhat faster than NHI’s over the last 12 months.
NHI's SMR Rating (67) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as WELL (86). This means that NHI’s stock grew similarly to WELL’s over the last 12 months.
WELL's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as NHI (73). This means that WELL’s stock grew similarly to NHI’s over the last 12 months.
WELL's P/E Growth Rating (33) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NHI (67). This means that WELL’s stock grew somewhat faster than NHI’s over the last 12 months.
| NHI | WELL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 43% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 40% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 44% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 40% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 19 days ago 62% | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 46% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 46% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NHI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while WELL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- NHI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WELL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NHI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WELL’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NHI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WELL’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
NHI (@Publishing: Books/Magazines) experienced а -1.71% price change this week, while WELL (@Publishing: Books/Magazines) price change was -2.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Publishing: Books/Magazines industry was -2.52%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.30%, and the average quarterly price growth was +5.47%.
Reported Earning Dates
NHI is expected to report earnings on Nov 10, 2026.
WELL is expected to report earnings on Oct 26, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Publishing: Books/Magazines (-2.52% weekly)The industry includes companies that publish and market books and magazines/periodicals. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Meredith Corporation and Scholastic Corporation are some of the biggest companies in this industry. Like many other industries, publishing companies have branched out into online/digital publications (while retaining their original print business), to capture the burgeoning market in electronic media. Business could be cyclical in certain cases, since weak consumer sentiment during an economic downturn might depress sales of some magazines and books.
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NHI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NHI has been closely correlated with LTC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NHI jumps, then LTC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NHI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHI | 100% | -0.84% | ||
| LTC - NHI | 76% Closely correlated | -0.47% | ||
| CTRE - NHI | 68% Closely correlated | -1.83% | ||
| OHI - NHI | 67% Closely correlated | -2.33% | ||
| WELL - NHI | 64% Loosely correlated | -1.43% | ||
| AHR - NHI | 62% Loosely correlated | -1.11% | ||
More | ||||
WELL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WELL has been closely correlated with VTR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WELL jumps, then VTR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WELL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WELL | 100% | -1.43% | ||
| VTR - WELL | 80% Closely correlated | -1.52% | ||
| AHR - WELL | 73% Closely correlated | -1.11% | ||
| OHI - WELL | 67% Closely correlated | -2.33% | ||
| CTRE - WELL | 66% Closely correlated | -1.83% | ||
| LTC - WELL | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.47% | ||
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