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NHI vs WELL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? National Health Investors (NHI) vs. Welltower (WELL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NHI is undergoing a major portfolio reshaping toward private-pay senior housing, while WELL is scaling a much larger, data-driven seniors-housing operating platform across three countries.
- Scale separates them sharply: WELL is an S&P 500 member with a market capitalization above $150 billion, whereas NHI is a smaller healthcare REIT with a market cap of roughly $3 billion.
- Both are real estate investment trusts (REITs) benefiting from aging demographics and constrained senior-housing supply, but their growth drivers and risk profiles differ materially.
- WELL has delivered stronger relative performance over the past year, supported by double-digit same-store net operating income (NOI) growth, while NHI trades with a higher dividend yield and lower valuation.
- For more detail on each ticker's major news and today's price moves, explore NHI Major News and NHI Today's Price Move, as well as WELL Major News and WELL Today's Price Move.
- Discover curated, market-ready automated strategies by exploring Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Healthcare-focused real estate investment trusts (REITs) have become a focal point for investors seeking exposure to long-term demographic tailwinds, and NHI (National Health Investors) and WELL (Welltower) offer two distinct ways to play that theme. Although both own and finance senior housing and healthcare properties, they operate at very different scales and with different strategies. This comparison is relevant for income-oriented investors, dividend-growth investors, and traders assessing relative performance and market positioning within the senior housing sector. Understanding the contrast between a smaller, higher-yielding operator and a large-cap industry leader can help clarify where each fits within a diversified portfolio.
NHI Overview and Recent Performance
NHI, National Health Investors, is a healthcare REIT specializing in senior housing and medical investments through sale-leasebacks, joint ventures, mortgage, and mezzanine financing. Its portfolio spans roughly 194 properties across 33 states, split between a triple-net lease segment and a Senior Housing Operating Portfolio (SHOP). Recent weeks have been defined by a strategic pivot: the company completed the sale of its National HealthCare Corporation (NHC) leased portfolio for approximately $560 million, one of the largest transactions in its history, and has been redeploying proceeds into private-pay senior housing. NHI also raised its quarterly dividend, citing confidence in its financial position. Despite solid earnings growth, the shares have traded lower on a year-to-date basis, with a dividend yield around 5.5% that reflects a comparatively higher income orientation and a smaller market capitalization.
WELL Overview and Recent Performance
WELL, Welltower, is an S&P 500 healthcare infrastructure REIT positioned at the center of the "silver economy," with more than 2,500 seniors and wellness housing communities across the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. Recent market activity has highlighted the strength of its operating model: the company reported double-digit same-store net operating income (NOI) growth, driven by a seniors housing operating (SHO) portfolio that has benefited from occupancy recovery and pricing power. Welltower raised its quarterly dividend by 15% and lifted full-year guidance, supported by substantial acquisition activity including portfolios in the U.K. and Canada. The stock has gained meaningfully over the past year, though analysts have noted occasional profit-taking after strong rallies. Its scale, balance sheet flexibility, and international diversification distinguish it from smaller peers.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between NHI and WELL is scale and strategy. WELL operates a vast, internationally diversified seniors-housing operating platform and uses its own data-science capabilities to drive margins, giving it significant organic growth and pricing leverage. NHI, by contrast, is a more concentrated, U.S.-focused portfolio transitioning away from skilled nursing toward private-pay senior housing, which introduces execution and integration risk but also a clearer catalyst for re-rating. In terms of momentum, WELL has outperformed over the trailing year and enjoys stronger analyst conviction, while NHI offers a higher dividend yield and lower valuation. Risk factors differ as well: WELL carries elevated acquisition activity and international exposure, while NHI faces operator concentration and portfolio-transition risks. Sector exposure is similar—both ride senior-housing demand and limited new supply—but WELL's breadth provides greater diversification.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor WELL in the current environment, given its more consistent uptrend, stronger relative performance, double-digit same-store NOI growth, and recently upgraded analyst ratings. The company's scale and cash-flow trajectory provide a more stable foundation for trend-following models. That said, NHI's higher yield, lower valuation, and portfolio-reshaping catalysts could appeal to strategies oriented toward value or turnaround scenarios. As always, this reflects a probabilistic assessment of current market positioning rather than a definitive forecast, and outcomes will depend on how each company's execution unfolds in the months ahead.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NHI is a Buy and WELL is a Buy.
NHI in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026
The 10-day moving average for NHI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NHI as a result. In 57 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NHI just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where NHI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 21 of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
Following a +4.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NHI advanced for three days, in 205 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 148 of 310 cases where NHI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 48%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NHI moved out of overbought territory on November 10, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 56%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 32 of 58 cases where NHI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
NHI moved below its 50-day moving average on November 11, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NHI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
NHI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 58, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NHI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 67 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.226) is normal, around the industry mean (3.134). P/E Ratio (20.530) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.791). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.370) is also within normal values, averaging (1.649). Dividend Yield (0.053) settles around the average of (0.050) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.593) is also within normal values, averaging (6.013).
WELL's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for WELL moved out of oversold territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 13 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 12 of the 13 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WELL as a result. In 54 of 77 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WELL just turned positive on October 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where WELL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 27 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
WELL moved above its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for WELL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Following a +1.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WELL advanced for three days, in 226 of 352 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WELL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.
WELL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for WELL entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 58, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. WELL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 98 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.804) is normal, around the industry mean (3.134). WELL has a moderately high P/E Ratio (110.365) as compared to the industry average of (30.791). WELL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.660) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.649). Dividend Yield (0.014) settles around the average of (0.050) among similar stocks. WELL's P/S Ratio (13.316) is slightly higher than the industry average of (6.013).
NHI | WELL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 38 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 82 Overvalued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 46 | 2 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 67 | 86 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 24 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 66 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NHI's Valuation (82) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as WELL (98). This means that NHI’s stock grew similarly to WELL’s over the last 12 months.
WELL's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NHI (46). This means that WELL’s stock grew somewhat faster than NHI’s over the last 12 months.
NHI's SMR Rating (67) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as WELL (86). This means that NHI’s stock grew similarly to WELL’s over the last 12 months.
WELL's Price Growth Rating (24) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as NHI (56). This means that WELL’s stock grew similarly to NHI’s over the last 12 months.
NHI's P/E Growth Rating (63) in the Real Estate Investment Trusts industry is in the same range as WELL (66). This means that NHI’s stock grew similarly to WELL’s over the last 12 months.
| NHI | WELL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 1 day ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 6 days ago 48% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 44% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NHI’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while WELL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- NHI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- WELL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NHI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WELL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NHI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- WELL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
NHI (@Publishing: Books/Magazines) experienced а -7.39% price change this week, while WELL (@Publishing: Books/Magazines) price change was +0.09% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Publishing: Books/Magazines industry was -1.94%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.20%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.50%.
Reported Earning Dates
NHI is expected to report earnings on Feb 23, 2027.
WELL is expected to report earnings on Feb 16, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Publishing: Books/Magazines (-1.94% weekly)The industry includes companies that publish and market books and magazines/periodicals. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Meredith Corporation and Scholastic Corporation are some of the biggest companies in this industry. Like many other industries, publishing companies have branched out into online/digital publications (while retaining their original print business), to capture the burgeoning market in electronic media. Business could be cyclical in certain cases, since weak consumer sentiment during an economic downturn might depress sales of some magazines and books.
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NHI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NHI has been closely correlated with LTC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NHI jumps, then LTC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NHI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHI | 100% | -2.61% | ||
| LTC - NHI | 76% Closely correlated | -1.33% | ||
| OHI - NHI | 70% Closely correlated | -1.19% | ||
| CTRE - NHI | 67% Closely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| VTR - NHI | 66% Closely correlated | +0.09% | ||
| WELL - NHI | 64% Loosely correlated | -0.13% | ||
More | ||||
WELL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WELL has been closely correlated with VTR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WELL jumps, then VTR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WELL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WELL | 100% | -0.13% | ||
| VTR - WELL | 82% Closely correlated | +0.09% | ||
| AHR - WELL | 75% Closely correlated | -0.27% | ||
| OHI - WELL | 70% Closely correlated | -1.19% | ||
| LTC - WELL | 66% Closely correlated | -1.33% | ||
| CTRE - WELL | 66% Closely correlated | -0.59% | ||
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| XCEM | 46.96 | 1.49 | +3.28% |
| Columbia EM Core ex-China ETF (XCEM) | |||
| SAWG | 24.83 | 0.35 | +1.44% |
| AAM Sawgrass US Large Cap Quality Growth ETF (SAWG) | |||
| IBII | 24.75 | 0.02 | +0.08% |
| iShares iBonds Oct 2032 Term TIPS ETF (IBII) | |||
| GOVZ | 33.16 | -0.01 | -0.03% |
| iShares 25+ Year Treasury STRIPS Bond ETF (GOVZ) | |||
| USLN | 50.10 | -0.03 | -0.07% |
| iShares Broad USD Floating Rate Loan ETF (USLN) | |||