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NJR vs NWN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? New Jersey Resources (NJR) vs. Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- NJR and NWN are both regulated natural gas utilities, but NJR benefits from diversified operations including clean energy ventures and energy services, while NWN remains more focused on its core gas distribution business.
- In recent weeks, NJR has demonstrated stronger relative price momentum, supported by constructive regulatory outcomes and its growing renewables portfolio.
- NWN offers a higher dividend yield, which may appeal to income-focused investors, though its concentrated geographic exposure to the Pacific Northwest presents unique regulatory and environmental risks.
- Both stocks operate in a sector sensitive to interest rate expectations, natural gas price volatility, and evolving decarbonization policies.
- Tickeron's AI-driven analysis evaluates trend consistency, fundamental stability, and market positioning to assess which stock currently presents a more favorable profile.
Introduction
Investors seeking exposure to the regulated utility space frequently evaluate natural gas distribution companies for their typically stable cash flows, reliable dividends, and defensive characteristics. NJR (New Jersey Resources) and NWN (Northwest Natural Holding Company) represent two such opportunities, each with distinct geographic footprints, business strategies, and growth profiles. This comparison examines how these two mid-cap utilities stack up against each other in the current environment, considering recent market behavior, operational developments, and the signals generated by AI-driven analytical tools. The analysis aims to serve both long-term dividend investors and traders monitoring relative strength shifts within the utility sector.
NJR Overview and Recent Performance
NJR, through its primary subsidiary New Jersey Natural Gas, serves over 560,000 customers across New Jersey's residential, commercial, and industrial segments. Unlike many pure-play gas utilities, NJR operates through a diversified structure that includes Clean Energy Ventures, which invests in commercial and residential solar projects, alongside Energy Services and Storage & Transportation segments. This multi-pronged approach provides the company with revenue streams beyond traditional rate-regulated gas distribution.
Over recent weeks, NJR's stock has reflected a broadly constructive tone. The company has benefited from favorable regulatory treatment in New Jersey, where infrastructure modernization programs continue to support rate base (the value of property on which a utility is permitted to earn a specified rate of return) growth. Investor sentiment has also been buoyed by the company's expanding solar investment portfolio, which aligns with broader energy transition themes. While natural gas price fluctuations have introduced some short-term variability, NJR's hedging practices and diversified income sources have contributed to relatively steady market positioning compared to peers with narrower business models.
NWN Overview and Recent Performance
NWN (Northwest Natural Holding Company) operates as one of the oldest independent gas utilities in the United States, serving approximately 790,000 meters through its core gas distribution segment across Oregon and southwest Washington. The company also owns NWN Water, which acquires and operates regulated water and wastewater utilities, and has pursued renewable natural gas initiatives as part of its long-term decarbonization strategy.
In recent market activity, NWN's share price has faced headwinds tied to broader interest rate sensitivity affecting the utility sector, as higher-for-longer rate expectations have weighed on dividend-yielding equities. The company's concentrated exposure to the Pacific Northwest also means that regulatory developments in Oregon — including evolving emissions reduction targets — carry outsized influence on its outlook. On a positive note, NWN continues to execute on its water utility expansion strategy, which diversifies its regulated asset base. The company's dividend track record remains a key attraction; NWN has paid consecutive quarterly dividends for more than 80 years, a streak that underscores its commitment to shareholder returns even during periods of market uncertainty.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
When placed side by side, NJR and NWN reveal distinct investment profiles despite both being anchored in the regulated gas utility space. NJR's diversified structure — spanning solar energy investments, energy services, and storage operations — provides a broader earnings base that can partially insulate the company from single-segment regulatory or commodity pressures. By contrast, NWN's narrower focus on gas distribution, complemented by its growing water utility segment, offers a cleaner but more concentrated exposure to rate base growth and regulatory outcomes in the Pacific Northwest.
On dividend metrics, NWN currently holds an edge in yield, a factor that historically attracts income-oriented portfolios. NJR, meanwhile, has prioritized balanced capital allocation that includes both dividend growth and reinvestment into its clean energy platform. From a momentum perspective, NJR has exhibited stronger relative strength in recent trading sessions, reflecting investor optimism around its renewable energy initiatives and New Jersey's supportive regulatory framework. Risk factors diverge meaningfully: NJR faces regulatory concentration risk in a single state, while NWN must navigate Oregon's increasingly stringent climate policies. Both companies contend with the sector-wide headwind of elevated interest rates, which tend to compress valuation multiples across the utility space by making bond yields comparatively more attractive than dividend-paying stocks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend patterns, diversification characteristics, and relative market positioning, Tickeron's AI-driven analysis would likely tilt toward NJR under current conditions. The combination of stronger near-term price momentum, a more diversified revenue base that reduces reliance on any single regulatory jurisdiction, and the tailwind from growing clean energy investments creates a probability-weighted profile that the algorithms may interpret as more favorable. That said, the AI's assessment is inherently dynamic, and shifts in interest rate expectations, regulatory developments, or sector rotation patterns could recalibrate the signal in favor of NWN, particularly if income-focused strategies regain prominence. Both tickers warrant continued monitoring through data-driven analytical frameworks rather than static conclusions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is NJR is a StrongBuy and NWN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
NJR’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileNWN’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- NJR’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- NWN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
NJR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NWN’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- NJR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NWN’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
NJR (@Gas Distributors) experienced а -0.07% price change this week, while NWN (@Gas Distributors) price change was +2.03% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Gas Distributors industry was +0.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.36%.
Reported Earning Dates
NJR is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
NWN is expected to report earnings on Oct 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Gas Distributors (+0.15% weekly)Gas distributors are involved in moving and selling gas – from wellheads or over-distribution systems operated by other firms – to residential and non-residential customers. These companies perform tasks such as the gathering and processing of gas, intrastate and interstate transport, and delivery to the customer. Some of the biggest gas distributing companies in the U.S. include Sempra Energy, Avangrid Inc and Atmos Energy Corporation.
| NJR | NWN | NJR / NWN | |
| Capitalization | 5.64B | 2.14B | 263% |
| EBITDA | 760M | 483M | 157% |
| Gain YTD | 22.150 | 10.952 | 202% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.39 | 16.99 | 91% |
| Revenue | 2.18B | 1.29B | 170% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 3.77B | 2.68B | 140% |
NJR | NWN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 13 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 25 Undervalued | 20 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 68 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 78 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 23 | 45 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NWN's Valuation (20) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as NJR (25). This means that NWN’s stock grew similarly to NJR’s over the last 12 months.
NJR's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Gas Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NWN (68). This means that NJR’s stock grew somewhat faster than NWN’s over the last 12 months.
NJR's SMR Rating (62) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as NWN (78). This means that NJR’s stock grew similarly to NWN’s over the last 12 months.
NWN's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as NJR (58). This means that NWN’s stock grew similarly to NJR’s over the last 12 months.
NJR's P/E Growth Rating (23) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as NWN (45). This means that NJR’s stock grew similarly to NWN’s over the last 12 months.
| NJR | NWN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 40% | 2 days ago 42% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 42% | 14 days ago 51% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 61% |
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NJR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NJR has been closely correlated with OGS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NJR jumps, then OGS could also see price increases.
NWN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NWN has been closely correlated with SR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NWN jumps, then SR could also see price increases.