GET DAILY SIGNALSSAP (SAP, $126.70) posts Q4 earnings
SAP posted fourth-quarter 2020 non-IFRS earnings, which fell -7% year-over-year to €1.69 per share ($2.02). The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings was $2.00.
The software company’s revenues fell -6% from the year-ago quarter to €7.541 billion ($8.993 billion), (down 2% constant currency or cc). The Zacks Consensus Estimate was $9.09 billion.
Cloud revenues rose +7% year-over-year to €2.04 billion on a non-IFRS basis (up +13% at cc).
Software licenses revenues of €4.54 billion fell -8% year-over-year (down 4% at cc) year over year.
Cloud revenues related to Software as a Service (SaaS)/Platform as a Service (PaaS) increased +13% at cc to €1.937 billion. Cloud revenues related to Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS) climbed +17% year over year at cc to €224 million.
The company’s services business (accounting for 12.7% of total revenues) generated revenue of €960 million, down -20% year-over-year (down -16% at cc).
Looking ahead, SAP expects to benefit from “expedited shift to the cloud” in 2021. The company believes that the COVID-19 crisis impacts will start to decrease due to vaccine roll outs, and that will lead to "gradual improvement” in demand environment in the second half of 2021.
The company predicts cloud revenues to range between €9.1 billion to €9.5 billion on a non-IFRS basis, (+13%-+18% at cc.). It projects non-IFRS cloud and software revenues in the range of €23.3 billion to €23.8 billion (flat to up 2% at cc). Non-IFRS operating profit at cc is forecast in the range of €7.8 billion to €8.2 billion (down 1% to 6% at cc.).
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Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for SAP turns positive, indicating new upward trend
SAP saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 86 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 59 of the 86 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SAP just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where SAP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Following a +5.07% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SAP advanced for three days, in 178 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 141 of 283 cases where SAP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 50%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SAP moved out of overbought territory on October 29, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 34 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 56%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 40 of 66 cases where SAP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SAP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
SAP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 29 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SAP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.027) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.884). P/E Ratio (34.817) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.540). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.610) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.043) settles around the average of (0.072) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.653) is also within normal values, averaging (70.854).
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a provider of e-business software solutions
Industry PackagedSoftware
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