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OKTA vs RBRK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Okta (OKTA) vs. Rubrik (RBRK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- OKTA has turned GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) profitable, while RBRK continues to report net losses as it prioritizes growth.
- Rubrik is growing substantially faster, with quarterly revenue up roughly 38% year over year, versus about 11% for Okta.
- Both stocks have re-rated sharply higher; Okta is up more than 120% year to date, while Rubrik has gained more than 60%.
- Okta trades at a lower forward P/E (price-to-earnings) multiple, but Rubrik carries a much higher price-to-sales ratio given its earlier growth stage.
- Okta shows lower volatility (beta near 0.7), while Rubrik is more volatile, with a beta above 1.1.
Introduction
Okta and Rubrik operate in adjacent corners of the cybersecurity and enterprise software market, but they serve very different needs. Okta focuses on identity and access management, while Rubrik specializes in data security and cyber resilience. Comparing them is instructive for investors weighing a profitable, maturing software franchise against a faster-growing but still loss-making challenger. This stock comparison examines relative performance, market positioning, and the trade-offs between growth and profitability, providing a framework that may appeal to both growth-oriented traders and investors evaluating risk-adjusted momentum in the current market environment.
OKTA Overview and Recent Performance
OKTA, or Okta, Inc., is an identity and access management company whose platform secures workforce and customer identities across applications, devices, and increasingly AI (artificial intelligence) agents. In recent weeks, Okta's shares have extended a powerful rally, climbing more than 120% on a year-to-date basis and trading near the upper end of a 52-week range that spans roughly $62 to $235. The stock's market capitalization has approached $38 billion.
Sentiment has been shaped by a genuine turnaround in profitability. After years of operating losses, Okta posted GAAP net income in its most recent fiscal year and has expanded non-GAAP (non-GAAP measures exclude certain non-cash and one-time items) operating margins into the mid-20s. Investors have also responded to the company's positioning around "securing AI agents," a theme reinforced at its Oktane conference, which prompted a wave of analyst price-target increases. Even so, the valuation reflects high expectations: the stock trades near a forward P/E in the low-to-mid 50s, well above the broader market, while reported revenue growth has moderated toward the low-double-digit percentage range.
RBRK Overview and Recent Performance
RBRK, or Rubrik, Inc., provides data security and cyber resilience solutions, including backup, recovery, and cloud data protection, and markets itself as a "Security and AI Operations Company." The company completed its IPO (initial public offering) in April 2024 and remains in a high-growth phase. In recent weeks, Rubrik's shares have rallied meaningfully, up more than 60% year to date and trading in the low $110s to $120s, against a 52-week range of roughly $42 to $128.
Rubrik's momentum is built on rapid top-line expansion rather than profitability. Revenue has grown around 38% year over year in recent quarters, with subscription ARR (annual recurring revenue) exceeding $1.4 billion and cloud ARR up close to 50%. The company reported a net retention rate above 120%, indicating strong expansion within its existing customer base. Recent product announcements—including MCP (Model Context Protocol) support for AI agents, a data-protection offering for Apache Iceberg, and a CrowdStrike partnership—have reinforced its AI-driven cyber-resilience narrative. However, Rubrik remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis, with a negative operating margin and a forward P/E in the hundreds, underscoring that the market is pricing in future earnings growth rather than current results.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two companies is the trade-off between growth and profitability. Rubrik is expanding revenue in the high-30s percentage range but still burns cash on a net-income basis, while Okta is now firmly GAAP-profitable with growth in the low teens. This distinction flows through to valuation: Okta's forward P/E in the 50s looks rich for its growth rate, whereas Rubrik's triple-digit forward multiple and price-to-sales ratio above 15 reflect its earlier stage and higher expected future expansion.
Risk profiles also diverge. Okta carries a beta below 1, indicating lower volatility than the broader market, and holds a net cash position with no remaining convertible debt. Rubrik has a beta above 1 and a more speculative profile, with a negative book value and a higher short interest as a percentage of its float. From a sector standpoint, Okta's identity business benefits from a durable, embedded position in enterprise IT, while Rubrik's cyber-resilience model is tied to the faster-growing but more competitive data-security and AI-operations market. Market sentiment for both has been strongly positive, but Okta's gains have been steadier, while Rubrik's have been more volatile and event-driven.
Tickeron AI Verdict
On balance, Tickeron's AI would likely favor OKTA in the current environment, based on the relative consistency of its trend, its established GAAP profitability, a lower volatility profile, and a cleaner balance sheet. These factors suggest a more stable, sustainable upward trajectory. Rubrik's faster growth and stronger top-line momentum are notable advantages, but its persistent losses, elevated volatility, and higher short interest introduce greater uncertainty. A probabilistic assessment would therefore lean toward Okta for stability-oriented positioning, while acknowledging that Rubrik's growth profile could prove more attractive for investors with a higher risk tolerance. This is an analytical observation, not a definitive forecast.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is OKTA is a Buy and RBRK is a Hold.
OKTA's RSI Indicator slumps into oversold zone
The RSI Oscillator for OKTA moved into overbought territory on November 06, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +3.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OKTA advanced for three days, in 220 of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
OKTA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 110 of 146 cases where OKTA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 75%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on OKTA as a result. In 73 of 100 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for OKTA turned negative on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 70%.
OKTA moved below its 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OKTA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. OKTA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.229) is normal, around the industry mean (16.360). P/E Ratio (100.411) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.310). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.671) is also within normal values, averaging (3.696). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.434) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.881) is also within normal values, averaging (104.492).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. OKTA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
Aroon Indicator for RBRK shows an upward move is likely
RBRK's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on November 02, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 130 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 113 of the 130 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +3.77% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RBRK advanced for three days, in 135 of 160 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for RBRK moved out of overbought territory on October 29, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 16 of the 18 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 89%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on RBRK as a result. In 27 of 39 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RBRK turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 15 of the 21 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.
RBRK moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RBRK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
RBRK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (-43.896) is normal, around the industry mean (16.360). P/E Ratio (-83.268) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.310). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.696). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.434) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (13.774) is also within normal values, averaging (104.492).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RBRK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RBRK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
OKTA | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 84 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| OKTA | RBRK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 86% | 4 days ago 89% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 84% | 4 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 73% | 6 days ago 84% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 8 days ago 84% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 75% | 4 days ago 87% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
OKTA’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while RBRK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- OKTA’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- RBRK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
OKTA’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RBRK’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- OKTA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- RBRK’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
OKTA (@Computer Communications) experienced а -18.99% price change this week, while RBRK (@Computer Communications) price change was -14.82% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Communications industry was -2.24%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -13.64%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.36%.
Reported Earning Dates
OKTA is expected to report earnings on Dec 01, 2026.
RBRK is expected to report earnings on Dec 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Computer Communications (-2.24% weekly)Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.
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OKTA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OKTA has been closely correlated with CRWD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OKTA jumps, then CRWD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To OKTA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKTA | 100% | -1.44% | ||
| CRWD - OKTA | 79% Closely correlated | -0.14% | ||
| PANW - OKTA | 72% Closely correlated | -0.26% | ||
| SAIL - OKTA | 71% Closely correlated | +4.46% | ||
| TENB - OKTA | 70% Closely correlated | -4.60% | ||
| RBRK - OKTA | 66% Closely correlated | +0.01% | ||
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RBRK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RBRK has been closely correlated with CRWD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RBRK jumps, then CRWD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RBRK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBRK | 100% | +0.01% | ||
| CRWD - RBRK | 72% Closely correlated | -0.14% | ||
| OKTA - RBRK | 69% Closely correlated | -1.44% | ||
| PANW - RBRK | 66% Loosely correlated | -0.26% | ||
| TENB - RBRK | 64% Loosely correlated | -4.60% | ||
| NTSK - RBRK | 64% Loosely correlated | -1.71% | ||
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