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PANW vs RBRK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Palo Alto Networks (PANW) vs. Rubrik (RBRK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Palo Alto Networks (PANW) is a large-cap cybersecurity platform leader with annual revenue measured in the billions and consistent profitability; Rubrik (RBRK) is a smaller, faster-growing data security and cyber resilience specialist.
- PANW is growing at a mid-teens rate, while RBRK has been expanding revenue at a high-double-digit pace from a much smaller base.
- PANW generated roughly a 30% non-GAAP operating margin; RBRK remains unprofitable on a GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) basis but has turned adjusted-profitable and free-cash-flow positive.
- Recent market activity showed RBRK surging after an earnings beat, while PANW experienced a post-earnings pullback tied to margin trade-offs and acquisition integration.
- The two names represent fundamentally different risk and return profiles within the broader cybersecurity and AI security theme.
Introduction
Both PANW and RBRK operate at the intersection of cybersecurity and artificial intelligence, yet they occupy very different positions in the market. Palo Alto Networks is a mature, diversified platform business, while Rubrik is a younger, high-growth vendor focused on data protection and cyber resilience. This stock comparison is relevant to investors weighing a large, profitable incumbent against a smaller, faster-growing challenger, as well as to traders assessing relative performance and momentum within the same broad sector. The analysis that follows focuses on business model, growth drivers, recent market positioning, and the observable factors an AI-driven system might weigh when comparing the two.
PANW Overview and Recent Performance
Palo Alto Networks is a global cybersecurity and AI company providing network, cloud, and security-operations solutions to tens of thousands of organizations. Its strategy centers on "platformization," or consolidating multiple security products into unified platforms, supported by offerings such as SASE (Secure Access Service Edge), software firewalls, and XSIAM, its AI-driven security operations platform.
In recent market activity, PANW has delivered steady revenue growth in the mid-teens percentage range while maintaining a non-GAAP operating margin of roughly 30%. Next-Generation Security ARR (annual recurring revenue) has grown at a high rate, and remaining performance obligations have expanded meaningfully. However, the stock has experienced periods of post-earnings weakness as investors weighed margin trade-offs from two large acquisitions, CyberArk (identity security) and Chronosphere (observability). The company has framed these deals as central to expanding its AI-security and observability capabilities, though integration costs have pressured near-term earnings expectations.
RBRK Overview and Recent Performance
Rubrik describes itself as the "Security and AI Operations Company," focused on data protection, cyber resilience, and enterprise AI acceleration. Its platform secures, monitors, and recovers data, identities, and workloads across cloud environments, and it has expanded into AI agent governance through products such as Rubrik Agent Cloud.
In recent weeks, RBRK has shown strong momentum after reporting results that exceeded expectations on both revenue and adjusted earnings. Revenue grew by roughly 48% year over year, and subscription ARR rose about 34% to more than $1.3 billion, with a sharp increase in larger customers. Subscription ARR contribution margin turned positive, and free cash flow improved substantially. The company raised its full-year revenue outlook. Despite this momentum, Rubrik remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis, and its valuation is elevated relative to revenue, meaning much of its market positioning depends on continued execution.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between PANW and RBRK is scale and maturity. Palo Alto Networks generates revenue measured in the billions annually, carries a market capitalization well above $100 billion, and consistently converts sales into operating profit and free cash flow. Rubrik generates roughly a fraction of that revenue, holds a market capitalization in the low tens of billions, and is still working toward sustained GAAP profitability.
Growth profiles also differ. PANW's expansion is moderate but durable, driven by cross-selling across a broad platform and by acquisition-led entry into adjacent markets. RBRK's growth rate is considerably higher, reflecting an earlier-stage company scaling from a smaller base, but it carries greater sensitivity to execution risk and to the still-forming market for AI agent governance.
On sentiment, RBRK has benefited from a recent earnings beat and raised guidance, which lifted momentum. PANW, by contrast, has faced investor caution around integration costs and margin compression, even as its underlying revenue and ARR metrics remain solid. In sector terms, both compete in overlapping cybersecurity and AI territory, but PANW offers breadth and profitability, while RBRK offers higher growth and a more concentrated, faster-evolving narrative.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely assess these two names through different lenses. PANW presents a more stable, established profile with consistent profitability and a diversified revenue base, which tends to align with steadier, lower-volatility signals. RBRK currently displays stronger recent momentum, accelerating revenue, and improving cash-flow metrics, factors that could register more favorably in trend-following models. In probabilistic terms, an AI system might lean toward RBRK on short-term momentum while viewing PANW as the more stable long-term market positioning candidate, with the final outcome dependent on each bot's specific strategy and timeframe.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PANW is a Hold and RBRK is a Hold.
Momentum Indicator for PANW turns negative, indicating new downward trend
PANW saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 79 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 56 of the 79 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for PANW moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PANW turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PANW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
PANW broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
PANW moved above its 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PANW crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Following a +4.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PANW advanced for three days, in 271 of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 202 of 277 cases where PANW Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 2 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. PANW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 99 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.669) is normal, around the industry mean (17.861). PANW has a moderately high P/E Ratio (980.225) as compared to the industry average of (159.605). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.002) is also within normal values, averaging (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.004) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (25.000) is also within normal values, averaging (104.490).
Momentum Indicator for RBRK turns negative, indicating new downward trend
RBRK saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 39 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for RBRK moved out of overbought territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 16 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 12 of the 16 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 75%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 22 of 29 cases where RBRK's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for RBRK turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 16 of the 21 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where RBRK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
RBRK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
RBRK moved above its 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +6.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where RBRK advanced for three days, in 128 of 153 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 111 of 130 cases where RBRK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 85%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 30 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (17.861). P/E Ratio (28.386) is within average values for comparable stocks, (159.605). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.648). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.004) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (13.774) is also within normal values, averaging (104.490).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. RBRK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. RBRK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
PANW | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 78 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 99 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 5 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 89 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 4 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| PANW | RBRK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 77% | 10 days ago 84% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 85% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 85% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PANW’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green while RBRK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- PANW’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- RBRK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PANW’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while RBRK’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PANW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- RBRK’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
PANW (@Computer Communications) experienced а -7.53% price change this week, while RBRK (@Computer Communications) price change was -7.94% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Communications industry was -5.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
PANW is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
RBRK is expected to report earnings on Dec 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Computer Communications (-5.81% weekly)Computer communications industry develops technology that allows computing devices to exchange data with each other using connections/data links between nodes. Common types of computer network include Cloud (IAN), Internet, Wide (WAN, Local (LAN)/Wireless(WLAN) etc. The industry is an ever-more important part of technology, and is set to become even bigger as the Internet of Things (IoT) rapidly forays into the various aspects of our lives. Cisco Systems, Inc., Palo Alto Networks, Inc. and Arista Networks, Inc., Fortinet, Inc. are some of the major computer communications companies.
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RBRK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, RBRK has been closely correlated with CRWD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if RBRK jumps, then CRWD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To RBRK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBRK | 100% | -3.86% | ||
| CRWD - RBRK | 72% Closely correlated | -4.56% | ||
| OKTA - RBRK | 67% Closely correlated | -6.45% | ||
| PANW - RBRK | 63% Loosely correlated | -5.54% | ||
| IOT - RBRK | 61% Loosely correlated | -1.14% | ||
| FTNT - RBRK | 60% Loosely correlated | -3.52% | ||
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