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ROST vs TJX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ross Stores (ROST) vs. The TJX Companies (TJX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ROST has delivered stronger year-to-date returns of approximately 17% compared to TJX’s roughly 2% gain through mid-May 2026.
- Both companies operate in the off-price retail sector and benefit from value-seeking consumer behavior amid persistent inflation pressures.
- ROST maintains a U.S.-focused footprint with recent comparable sales strength and upcoming first-quarter earnings expected on May 21, 2026.
- TJX offers greater scale through international operations and recently reported solid first-quarter comparable sales growth of 3% while maintaining full-year guidance.
- Analyst consensus ratings remain Buy for both stocks, with ROST showing higher short-term momentum and TJX providing more defensive stability via dividends and diversification.
- Relative performance reflects trade-offs between growth velocity at ROST and broader market resilience at TJX.
Introduction
Retail investors and traders frequently compare off-price apparel and home goods retailers when seeking exposure to value-oriented consumer spending. Ross Stores and The TJX Companies represent two leading players in this segment, each capitalizing on discount-seeking behavior while navigating distinct operational footprints and market sensitivities. This comparison examines recent price behavior, business models, and positioning within the current environment of moderating inflation and selective consumer demand. Institutional and retail participants monitoring relative performance, sector rotation, or AI-driven signals may find the analysis useful for assessing portfolio allocation between these names.
ROST Overview and Recent Performance
Ross Stores operates a chain of off-price department stores primarily in the United States, focusing on branded apparel, footwear, accessories, and home fashions at significant discounts. In recent market activity, shares have shown resilience with year-to-date gains near 17% and one-year returns exceeding 39%, outpacing the broader market. Recent weeks have featured continued strength in comparable sales trends and positive analyst commentary ahead of the May 21 earnings release. Sentiment has been supported by expectations for fiscal 2026 sales and earnings growth, alongside leadership transition plans. The stock has maintained elevated levels following prior all-time highs, reflecting sustained investor confidence in its domestic execution and market-share gains within the value retail channel.
TJX Overview and Recent Performance
The TJX Companies manages a portfolio of off-price banners including T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, HomeGoods, and international operations across multiple countries. In recent market activity, shares have traded with more measured movement, posting year-to-date returns near 2% and one-year gains of approximately 14%. Recent weeks included a solid first-quarter report with 3% comparable sales growth and earnings above plan, prompting the company to maintain full-year guidance. Sentiment has remained constructive due to consistent profitability, dividend increases, and global scale advantages, though the stock has faced relative underperformance versus broader retail peers amid cautious consumer spending signals.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Ross Stores and The TJX Companies both employ an off-price model that sources excess inventory for discounted resale, yet they differ markedly in scale and geography. TJX operates with substantially larger revenue and a global footprint that provides diversification and greater resilience to regional economic shifts, while ROST remains more concentrated in the U.S. market with tighter focus on domestic traffic trends. Recent momentum favors ROST through superior year-to-date and one-year returns, supported by strong comparable sales and earnings outlook. In contrast, TJX delivers lower volatility and a higher dividend yield, appealing to income-oriented investors. Risk factors include ROST’s higher sensitivity to U.S. discretionary spending and TJX’s exposure to foreign currency fluctuations. Market sentiment stays bullish for both, though trade-offs center on growth velocity versus defensive stability within the consumer discretionary sector.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently assigns a probabilistic edge to ROST based on stronger trend consistency, superior recent momentum, and positive catalysts such as expected earnings growth and store expansion. Relative positioning indicates greater near-term upside potential amid favorable analyst targets and comparable sales trends. TJX offers attractive stability through scale, dividend growth, and lower beta, providing a more defensive alternative in uncertain consumer environments. The assessment reflects observable factors without implying certainty or investment recommendations.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ROST is a Hold and TJX is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ROST’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileTJX’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- ROST’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- TJX’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ROST’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TJX’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ROST’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- TJX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ROST (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а -2.64% price change this week, while TJX (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price change was -2.69% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was -1.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +13.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.33%.
Reported Earning Dates
ROST is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2026.
TJX is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (-1.19% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
| ROST | TJX | ROST / TJX | |
| Capitalization | 74.7B | 181B | 41% |
| EBITDA | 3.6B | 9.04B | 40% |
| Gain YTD | 29.761 | 7.292 | 408% |
| P/E Ratio | 32.51 | 31.87 | 102% |
| Revenue | 23.8B | 61.6B | 39% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 5.58B | - |
| Total Debt | 5.21B | 14.2B | 37% |
ROST | TJX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 74 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 94 Overvalued | 95 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 24 | 17 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 28 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 43 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ROST's Valuation (94) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TJX (95). This means that ROST’s stock grew similarly to TJX’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as ROST (21). This means that TJX’s stock grew similarly to ROST’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's SMR Rating (17) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as ROST (24). This means that TJX’s stock grew similarly to ROST’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's Price Growth Rating (14) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TJX (28). This means that ROST’s stock grew similarly to TJX’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TJX (43). This means that ROST’s stock grew similarly to TJX’s over the last 12 months.
| ROST | TJX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 30% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 46% | 4 days ago 31% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 4 days ago 37% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 56% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 60% | 10 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 37% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 47% | 4 days ago 36% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 52% |
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ROST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ROST has been loosely correlated with TJX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ROST jumps, then TJX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ROST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROST | 100% | -0.19% | ||
| TJX - ROST | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.19% | ||
| BURL - ROST | 50% Loosely correlated | +1.87% | ||
| CAL - ROST | 43% Loosely correlated | +5.20% | ||
| BOOT - ROST | 38% Loosely correlated | +5.13% | ||
| GCO - ROST | 37% Loosely correlated | +3.18% | ||
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