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ROST vs TJX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ross Stores (ROST) vs. The TJX Companies (TJX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Ross Stores (ROST) has delivered stronger year-to-date returns of approximately 37% compared to The TJX Companies (TJX), which has been roughly flat.
- Both companies operate in the off-price retail sector and have reported robust comparable-store sales growth in recent periods amid consumer focus on value.
- ROST benefits from aggressive store expansion and recent earnings momentum, while TJX maintains a larger scale with steady international presence and share repurchase programs.
- Upcoming quarterly earnings releases in mid-August 2026 for both stocks are expected to provide further insight into current demand trends.
- Technical and fundamental metrics from recent analyses indicate relatively stronger positioning for ROST in short- and long-term comparisons.
- Market sentiment reflects resilience in the off-price model, though broader retail environment and consumer spending patterns remain key variables.
Introduction
Ross Stores (ROST) and The TJX Companies (TJX) represent leading players in the off-price retail sector, offering discounted brand-name merchandise to value-conscious consumers. This comparison examines their relative performance, business characteristics, and recent market positioning to assist investors and traders evaluating exposure to this resilient retail segment. Participants in equity markets seeking insights into sector peers with differing scales, growth trajectories, and risk profiles may find the analysis relevant for portfolio allocation decisions.
ROST Overview and Recent Performance
Ross Stores (ROST) operates primarily through its Ross Dress for Less and dd’s DISCOUNTS banners, focusing on a treasure-hunt shopping experience with deep discounts on apparel, home goods, and accessories. In recent market activity, the stock has shown notable strength, posting year-to-date gains near 37% alongside one-month advances exceeding 8%. Positive influences include robust first-quarter fiscal 2026 results with double-digit sales and comparable-store sales increases, coupled with ongoing store expansion plans. Recent sentiment has been supported by earnings momentum and broader appeal of off-price offerings amid cautious consumer spending.
TJX Overview and Recent Performance
The TJX Companies (TJX) manages a larger portfolio of banners including T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods, with significant international operations. The stock has exhibited more muted recent performance, remaining roughly flat year-to-date while showing modest weekly fluctuations ahead of earnings. Key developments include sustained comparable-store sales growth in prior quarters and active capital return programs featuring dividends and share repurchases. Sentiment reflects steady operational execution in a competitive retail landscape, supported by scale advantages and consistent demand for value merchandise.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Ross Stores (ROST) and The TJX Companies (TJX) share an off-price retail model but differ in scale and emphasis: TJX operates with greater global reach and market capitalization near $168 billion versus ROST’s approximately $79 billion. Growth drivers favor ROST’s recent domestic expansion and higher recent comparable-store sales gains, while TJX leverages broader banner diversity and consistent capital returns. Recent momentum has tilted toward ROST with superior year-to-date and multi-year returns, though both face similar sector exposure to consumer discretionary spending and inventory management risks. Market sentiment appears constructive for the category overall, with trade-offs centered on ROST’s higher volatility potential versus TJX’s more established stability and dividend profile.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including stronger trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative technical positioning in recent analyses, Tickeron’s AI frameworks currently assign a probabilistic preference toward Ross Stores (ROST) over The TJX Companies (TJX). This assessment reflects comparative fundamental and technical scores favoring ROST, though outcomes remain subject to upcoming earnings results and broader market dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ROST is a Hold and TJX is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ROST’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileTJX’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ROST’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- TJX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ROST’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TJX’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ROST’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TJX’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ROST (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а -5.46% price change this week, while TJX (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price change was -5.02% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was -5.03%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.09%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.74%.
Reported Earning Dates
ROST is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
TJX is expected to report earnings on Nov 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (-5.03% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
| ROST | TJX | ROST / TJX | |
| Capitalization | 75.8B | 160B | 47% |
| EBITDA | 3.6B | 9.04B | 40% |
| Gain YTD | 30.815 | -5.057 | -609% |
| P/E Ratio | 32.78 | 26.76 | 122% |
| Revenue | 23.8B | 61.6B | 39% |
| Total Cash | 4.13B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 4.72B | 14.2B | 33% |
ROST | TJX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 88 | 84 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 3 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 19 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 23 | 54 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 17 | 55 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ROST's Valuation (92) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TJX (93). This means that ROST’s stock grew similarly to TJX’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as ROST (19). This means that TJX’s stock grew similarly to ROST’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's SMR Rating (19) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as ROST (25). This means that TJX’s stock grew similarly to ROST’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's Price Growth Rating (23) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TJX (54). This means that ROST’s stock grew similarly to TJX’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's P/E Growth Rating (17) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TJX (55). This means that ROST’s stock grew somewhat faster than TJX’s over the last 12 months.
| ROST | TJX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 44% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 45% | 3 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 43% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 38% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 37% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 61% | 16 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 54% | 9 days ago 37% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 42% |
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TJX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TJX has been loosely correlated with ROST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TJX jumps, then ROST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TJX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJX | 100% | -4.21% | ||
| ROST - TJX | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.71% | ||
| BURL - TJX | 41% Loosely correlated | +0.16% | ||
| BKE - TJX | 40% Loosely correlated | +0.28% | ||
| GAP - TJX | 39% Loosely correlated | +0.10% | ||
| DBI - TJX | 37% Loosely correlated | +5.27% | ||
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