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ADI or MCHP or NXPI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Analog Devices (ADI) vs. Microchip Technology (MCHP) vs. NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Analog Devices (ADI), Microchip Technology (MCHP), and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) are semiconductor companies with exposure to industrial, automotive, and data center markets, showing varied recent performance amid sector recovery.
- ADI has delivered strong year-to-date returns near 36% with record fiscal second-quarter results earlier in the year and upcoming third-quarter earnings on August 19, 2026.
- MCHP has seen recent share price pressure, declining approximately 10% over the past 30 days, while maintaining a consensus “Strong Buy” rating from analysts.
- NXPI reported robust second-quarter 2026 revenue of $3.5 billion, up 19% year-over-year, with growth across all end markets including software-defined vehicles and physical artificial intelligence (AI).
- Valuation metrics differ notably, with ADI trading at a higher price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio compared to peers, reflecting differing growth profiles and market positioning.
- Relative momentum has favored ADI on a year-to-date basis, while NXPI’s latest earnings provided positive catalysts amid broader semiconductor sector activity.
Introduction
Analog Devices (ADI), Microchip Technology (MCHP), and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) represent established players in the semiconductor industry, each with distinct business models centered on analog, mixed-signal, and embedded processing solutions. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, financial developments, and relative positioning in a market environment shaped by cyclical recovery in industrial and automotive segments alongside emerging artificial intelligence (AI) applications. Institutional investors, portfolio managers, and active traders monitoring semiconductor exposure may find this analysis relevant for assessing diversification opportunities and performance differentials across similar yet differentiated companies.
ADI Overview and Recent Performance
Analog Devices (ADI) designs and manufactures high-performance analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing integrated circuits serving industrial, automotive, communications, and consumer markets. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near $367 following periods of strength that contributed to year-to-date returns of approximately 36%. Earlier fiscal second-quarter results highlighted record revenue and margin expansion, supported by demand in industrial and AI data center segments. Sentiment has been influenced by upward earnings revisions and anticipation of third-quarter fiscal 2026 results scheduled for August 19, 2026. Broader sector dynamics and macroeconomic factors have contributed to volatility, with the stock demonstrating resilience relative to broader indices in recent weeks.
MCHP Overview and Recent Performance
Microchip Technology (MCHP) provides microcontroller, analog, and mixed-signal semiconductor solutions primarily for automotive, industrial, and consumer applications. The stock has recently experienced downward pressure, declining roughly 10% over the past 30 days amid analyst target adjustments and sector rotation. Year-to-date performance stands near 18%, outpacing the S&P 500 but trailing stronger peers in the group. Earlier fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year 2026 results showed sequential and year-over-year revenue growth, with management highlighting recovery momentum. Recent developments include leadership transitions and acquisition activity, which have shaped investor focus alongside ongoing margin expansion efforts.
NXPI Overview and Recent Performance
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) develops processing, connectivity, and security solutions for automotive, industrial, and infrastructure markets. On July 28, 2026, the company reported second-quarter revenue of $3.5 billion, representing a 19% year-over-year increase with growth across all end markets and regions. Shares have traded in a range near $229 following the earnings release, reflecting both positive momentum from the results and broader market movements. Key growth drivers cited include software-defined vehicles, physical AI, and emerging data center opportunities. Recent performance has been supported by strong first-half execution and third-quarter guidance, positioning the company amid accelerating demand for edge intelligence applications.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Analog Devices (ADI), Microchip Technology (MCHP), and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) operate within overlapping semiconductor end markets but differ in portfolio emphasis and growth exposure. ADI maintains a broad analog and mixed-signal franchise with notable industrial and communications weighting, while MCHP focuses on microcontrollers and embedded solutions across automotive and industrial segments. NXPI emphasizes automotive and edge processing with increasing visibility in software-defined vehicles and physical AI. Recent momentum has shown ADI leading on a year-to-date basis, NXPI benefiting from a strong quarterly beat, and MCHP navigating short-term price weakness alongside analyst rating adjustments. Risk factors include cyclical demand fluctuations and valuation sensitivity, with ADI exhibiting a higher P/E multiple relative to peers. Sector exposure remains concentrated in technology hardware, rendering all three stocks responsive to macroeconomic shifts, supply chain dynamics, and AI-related capital expenditure trends. Trade-offs center on growth durability versus near-term stability, with each company displaying distinct sensitivities to automotive versus industrial cycles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorable near-term characteristics to Analog Devices (ADI). The stock’s stronger year-to-date performance, record prior-quarter results, and upcoming earnings catalyst provide measurable support compared with peers experiencing recent price pressure or post-earnings digestion. This assessment remains probabilistic and tied to continued data on revenue visibility and margin trends rather than absolute forecasts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMCHP’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and NXPI’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- ADI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MCHP’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NXPI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADI’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MCHP’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s), and NXPI’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MCHP’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NXPI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ADI (@Semiconductors) experienced а +6.13% price change this week, while MCHP (@Semiconductors) price change was +14.00% , and NXPI (@Semiconductors) price fluctuated +4.60% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +11.18%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was +48.25%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADI is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
MCHP is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
NXPI is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+11.18% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ADI | MCHP | NXPI | |
| Capitalization | 190B | 46B | 60.4B |
| EBITDA | 6.23B | 1.18B | 5.06B |
| Gain YTD | 44.625 | 34.363 | 11.385 |
| P/E Ratio | 58.03 | 124.54 | 47.71 |
| Revenue | 12.7B | 4.71B | 13.2B |
| Total Cash | 3.44B | 240M | 2.86B |
| Total Debt | 8.69B | 5.54B | 11B |
ADI | MCHP | NXPI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 61 Fair valued | 76 Overvalued | 56 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 80 | 76 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 74 | 90 | 36 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 52 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 99 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
NXPI's Valuation (56) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ADI (61) and is in the same range as MCHP (76). This means that NXPI's stock grew similarly to ADI’s and similarly to MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's Profit vs Risk Rating (15) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NXPI (76) and is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (80). This means that ADI's stock grew somewhat faster than NXPI’s and somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's SMR Rating (36) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ADI (74) and is somewhat better than the same rating for MCHP (90). This means that NXPI's stock grew somewhat faster than ADI’s and somewhat faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
ADI's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as MCHP (52) and is in the same range as NXPI (62). This means that ADI's stock grew similarly to MCHP’s and similarly to NXPI’s over the last 12 months.
NXPI's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ADI (57) and is significantly better than the same rating for MCHP (99). This means that NXPI's stock grew somewhat faster than ADI’s and significantly faster than MCHP’s over the last 12 months.
| ADI | MCHP | NXPI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 74% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 62% | 6 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 74% | 7 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 65% |
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ADI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADI has been closely correlated with MCHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ADI jumps, then MCHP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADI | 100% | +3.34% | ||
| MCHP - ADI | 80% Closely correlated | +13.89% | ||
| TXN - ADI | 80% Closely correlated | +2.76% | ||
| MCHPP - ADI | 79% Closely correlated | +11.63% | ||
| LRCX - ADI | 79% Closely correlated | +1.82% | ||
| KLAC - ADI | 79% Closely correlated | +2.53% | ||
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NXPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NXPI has been closely correlated with ENTG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NXPI jumps, then ENTG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NXPI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NXPI | 100% | +3.42% | ||
| ENTG - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | +6.61% | ||
| MCHPP - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | +11.63% | ||
| MCHP - NXPI | 78% Closely correlated | +13.89% | ||
| LRCX - NXPI | 77% Closely correlated | +1.82% | ||
| KLAC - NXPI | 76% Closely correlated | +2.53% | ||
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