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BURL or ROST or TJX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Burlington Stores (BURL) vs. Ross Stores (ROST) vs. TJX Companies (TJX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Burlington Stores (BURL) delivered strong second-quarter results with 11% revenue growth and raised full-year guidance, yet shares have declined sharply in recent weeks amid broader market rotation.
- Ross Stores (ROST) posted robust comparable-store sales gains of 10% and raised annual earnings guidance, supporting relative outperformance year-to-date.
- TJX Companies (TJX) reported solid consolidated sales growth but softer core Marmaxx trends, with shares trading near recent lows despite raised full-year outlook.
- All three off-price retailers continue to benefit from consumer focus on value, though relative momentum and valuation sensitivity differ across the group.
- Recent institutional activity and analyst ratings remain constructive for the sector, with emphasis on store expansion and margin execution.
Introduction
Off-price retailers Burlington Stores, Ross Stores, and The TJX Companies operate in a competitive segment of the consumer discretionary sector, capitalizing on demand for branded merchandise at discounted prices. This comparison examines their recent business performance, stock behavior, and market positioning to assist institutional and individual investors evaluating relative value within the group. Traders monitoring sector rotation, comparable-store sales trends, and earnings momentum may find the analysis relevant for portfolio allocation decisions.
Burlington Stores Overview and Recent Performance
Burlington Stores operates as an off-price retailer focused on apparel, footwear, and home goods. In recent market activity, the company reported second-quarter results showing total sales growth of 11% year over year and adjusted earnings per share rising 38%, marking its fifteenth consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings growth. Management raised full-year guidance while accelerating store openings toward a long-term target of 2,000 locations. Despite these fundamentals, shares have experienced notable pressure in recent weeks, trading near the lower end of the 52-week range as investors weigh expansion costs and macroeconomic sensitivity.
Ross Stores Overview and Recent Performance
Ross Stores runs the Ross Dress for Less and dd’s DISCOUNTS chains, emphasizing value-oriented apparel and home products. Recent quarterly results highlighted revenue growth of approximately 13% and comparable-store sales advancing 10%, prompting an upward revision to full-year earnings guidance. The company plans additional store openings in 2026 and has seen positive traffic trends driven by consumer value-seeking behavior. Shares have demonstrated relative strength compared with peers in the recent period, supported by consistent execution and market-share gains.
TJX Companies Overview and Recent Performance
The TJX Companies manages a portfolio including TJ Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods, with a global off-price model. Second-quarter net sales rose 5%, supported by 4% consolidated comparable-store sales growth, and management raised full-year adjusted earnings guidance. Core Marmaxx trends were softer at 1% comparable growth, while other divisions performed more strongly. Shares have traded lower in recent weeks near 52-week lows, reflecting post-earnings reactions and broader sector rotation, even as the company maintains active share repurchase and dividend programs.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The three companies share an off-price retail model but differ in scale, geographic reach, and growth profiles. Burlington Stores emphasizes rapid store expansion and supply-chain efficiency, contributing to margin gains yet exposing it to execution and inventory risks. Ross Stores has delivered stronger comparable-store sales momentum and raised guidance more assertively, reflecting robust traffic trends. TJX Companies offers the largest scale and broadest international exposure, providing stability but facing headwinds in its core Marmaxx segment. Valuation sensitivity varies, with Burlington trading at a discount to historical averages amid its growth investments, while Ross and TJX maintain premium multiples supported by consistent profitability. Market sentiment has favored Ross in recent activity due to relative performance, while all three remain sensitive to consumer spending patterns and tariff-related dynamics.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as earnings beats, guidance revisions, and relative price momentum in recent weeks, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probability of favorable positioning to Ross Stores (ROST) within this comparison group. Its combination of double-digit comparable sales growth and upwardly revised outlook provides clearer trend consistency relative to peers navigating softer segments or sharper price corrections. This assessment reflects probabilistic weighting of recent data rather than a definitive forecast.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
BURL | ROST | TJX | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 18 | 23 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 95 Overvalued | 93 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 14 | 31 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | 24 | 18 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 43 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 25 | 71 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 85 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BURL's Valuation (78) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TJX (93) and is in the same range as ROST (95). This means that BURL's stock grew similarly to TJX’s and similarly to ROST’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's Profit vs Risk Rating (14) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as TJX (31) and is significantly better than the same rating for BURL (100). This means that ROST's stock grew similarly to TJX’s and significantly faster than BURL’s over the last 12 months.
TJX's SMR Rating (18) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as ROST (24) and is in the same range as BURL (25). This means that TJX's stock grew similarly to ROST’s and similarly to BURL’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as BURL (55) and is in the same range as TJX (59). This means that ROST's stock grew similarly to BURL’s and similarly to TJX’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's P/E Growth Rating (25) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BURL (65) and is somewhat better than the same rating for TJX (71). This means that ROST's stock grew somewhat faster than BURL’s and somewhat faster than TJX’s over the last 12 months.
| BURL | ROST | TJX | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | N/A | 1 day ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 41% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 50% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 72% | 9 days ago 62% | 8 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 67% | 1 day ago 53% | 21 days ago 35% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 40% | 1 day ago 37% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BURL’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while ROST’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and TJX’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- BURL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ROST’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- TJX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BURL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ROST’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s), and TJX’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BURL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ROST’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TJX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
BURL (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а +2.03% price change this week, while ROST (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price change was -4.52% , and TJX (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price fluctuated +3.19% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was +0.23%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.73%.
Reported Earning Dates
BURL is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
ROST is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
TJX is expected to report earnings on Nov 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (+0.23% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
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BURL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BURL has been loosely correlated with ROST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BURL jumps, then ROST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BURL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BURL | 100% | -1.28% | ||
| ROST - BURL | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.95% | ||
| TJX - BURL | 44% Loosely correlated | +1.30% | ||
| DBI - BURL | 41% Loosely correlated | -1.49% | ||
| BOOT - BURL | 35% Loosely correlated | +0.82% | ||
| CAL - BURL | 35% Loosely correlated | +0.25% | ||
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ROST and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ROST has been loosely correlated with BURL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ROST jumps, then BURL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ROST | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROST | 100% | -0.95% | ||
| BURL - ROST | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.28% | ||
| CAL - ROST | 43% Loosely correlated | +0.25% | ||
| GCO - ROST | 37% Loosely correlated | +2.47% | ||
| BKE - ROST | 37% Loosely correlated | +1.28% | ||
| DBI - ROST | 37% Loosely correlated | -1.49% | ||
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TJX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TJX has been loosely correlated with ROST. These tickers have moved in lockstep 57% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TJX jumps, then ROST could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TJX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJX | 100% | +1.30% | ||
| ROST - TJX | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.95% | ||
| BURL - TJX | 44% Loosely correlated | -1.28% | ||
| BKE - TJX | 38% Loosely correlated | +1.28% | ||
| DBI - TJX | 37% Loosely correlated | -1.49% | ||
| GAP - TJX | 37% Loosely correlated | +3.51% | ||
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