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CAL or ROST or SCVL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Caleres (CAL) vs. Ross Stores (ROST) vs. Shoe Carnival (SCVL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CAL trades at a forward P/E of 9.0 with 2.07% dividend yield, offering value amid recent earnings beats but negative TTM EPS.
- ROST leads with 25.6% YTD gains and 59% 1-year return, backed by strong Q4 sales growth of 12% and robust EPS of $6.62 TTM.
- SCVL provides the highest dividend yield at 3.46% and lowest trailing P/E of 9.44, with positive EPS of $1.90 TTM despite modest YTD performance.
- All three operate in apparel/footwear retail; ROST's scale ($73B market cap) contrasts with smaller peers (CAL $456M, SCVL $493M).
- Recent momentum favors ROST, while CAL and SCVL show attractive valuations for income-focused investors.
- Beta levels indicate ROST (0.88) and CAL (0.72) as lower risk than volatile SCVL (1.43).
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CAL (Caleres, Inc.), ROST (Ross Stores, Inc.), and SCVL (Shoe Carnival, Inc.), all players in the apparel and footwear retail sector. These companies cater to consumer spending on fashion, casual, and athletic footwear, as well as off-price apparel. Traders seeking momentum and relative performance insights, or investors eyeing valuation discounts and dividends in a cyclical retail environment, will find this analysis relevant. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in growth trajectories and risk profiles amid shifting consumer trends.
CAL Overview and Recent Performance
Caleres, Inc. (CAL) designs, sources, and distributes footwear brands like Famous Footwear and Sam Edelman, operating retail and wholesale channels. In recent market activity, shares have shown resilience with 11.6% YTD and 12.1% 1-year returns, trading around $13.50 with a $456M market cap. Q4 FY26 revenue reached $695M, beating expectations, though TTM EPS stands at -$0.21 due to seasonal losses. Sentiment has been influenced by analyst upgrades, such as Seaport raising its target to $16, and a stable 2.07% dividend yield (payout ratio 43.8%). Lower beta of 0.72 reflects reduced volatility, but modest revenue TTM of $2.76B underscores scale challenges in a competitive footwear market.
ROST Overview and Recent Performance
Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) runs off-price retail chains Ross Dress for Less and dd's DISCOUNTS, targeting middle-income households with apparel, footwear, and home goods. Recent weeks have reinforced its leadership, with shares at $225.81, boasting 25.6% YTD and 59.1% 1-year gains amid a $73B market cap. Q4 FY26 sales surged 12% to $6.64B, driving EPS to $2.00 (beating estimates), with TTM EPS at $6.62. Strong comparable store sales of 9% and analyst Strong Buy consensus have boosted sentiment. A 0.79% dividend yield supports returns, while beta of 0.88 indicates moderate risk in recent expansions.
SCVL Overview and Recent Performance
Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL) operates family footwear stores offering casual, athletic, and dress shoes, with e-commerce via ShoeStation.com. Shares hover at $17.94, with 8.3% YTD return but flat 1-year performance, reflecting a $493M market cap. Q4 FY26 revenue was $254M, aligning with forecasts, and TTM EPS of $1.90 highlights profitability amid $1.14B revenue TTM. Gross margins improved, supporting a leading 3.46% dividend yield (payout 31.6%). Higher beta of 1.43 signals volatility from consumer shifts, with sentiment steady post-earnings and $22 analyst target.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models differ: ROST thrives on off-price apparel scale ($22.8B revenue TTM), while CAL and SCVL focus on footwear retail ($2.8B and $1.1B revenue). Growth drivers favor ROST's 5% comp sales and store expansions versus peers' softer trends. Recent momentum shines for ROST (59% 1-yr), contrasting SCVL's stagnation. Risk factors include SCVL's high beta (1.43) and CAL's negative net income (-$6.7M TTM). Valuation sensitivity highlights SCVL and CAL (P/S 0.16-0.44, P/B <1) as bargains versus ROST (P/S 3.22). Market sentiment leans bullish on ROST's stability amid retail cycles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI would currently favor ROST due to superior trend consistency (25%+ YTD), earnings stability ($6.62 EPS TTM), and catalysts like upcoming Q1 results. Its lower beta and sector outperformance position it probabilistically stronger versus value-oriented but slower CAL and SCVL in momentum-driven conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CAL’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileROST’s FA Score has 4 green FA rating(s), and SCVL’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- CAL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ROST’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- SCVL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CAL’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ROST’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and SCVL’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CAL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
- ROST’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SCVL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CAL (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) experienced а -2.69% price change this week, while ROST (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price change was -0.11% , and SCVL (@Apparel/Footwear Retail) price fluctuated -2.29% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Apparel/Footwear Retail industry was +3.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.34%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
CAL is expected to report earnings on Sep 02, 2026.
ROST is expected to report earnings on Aug 13, 2026.
SCVL is expected to report earnings on Aug 20, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Apparel/Footwear Retail (+3.87% weekly)Companies in the apparel and/or footwear retail industry sell clothing, accessories and footwear, for different age groups and genders. The industry’s product categories could range from basics, such as underwear, to luxury items. Some retailers source items from wholesalers or an apparel brand to sell in their stores; some others are licensed to make and market their own retail goods under particular brands. Several companies outsource production of clothing to developing/emerging economies where labor costs are relatively inexpensive. Apparel retail is often influenced by fashion trends, and many companies feel the need to adapt to what’s “in vogue” to retain customers and attract new ones. A major disruption in this industry has been the burgeoning trend in digital shopping – to compete with rapidly growing e-commerce, even traditional retail players are upping the ante on their online platforms. Much of the products’ performance in apparel/footwear retail is cyclical, i.e., economic boom times encourage consumer spending, while recessions induce thriftiness among people. Some large-cap U.S. apparel/footwear retail companies include TJX Companies Inc., Ross Stores, Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Burlington Stores, Inc.
| CAL | ROST | SCVL | |
| Capitalization | 462M | 74.4B | 452M |
| EBITDA | 70.8M | 3.6B | 87.7M |
| Gain YTD | 13.623 | 29.271 | 0.485 |
| P/E Ratio | 16.77 | 32.39 | 12.33 |
| Revenue | 2.76B | 23.8B | 1.13B |
| Total Cash | 29.8M | N/A | 129M |
| Total Debt | 891M | 5.21B | 361M |
CAL | ROST | SCVL | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 80 | 14 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 15 Undervalued | 94 Overvalued | 7 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 22 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 24 | 84 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 18 | 70 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | 19 | 19 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 11 | 50 | 48 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SCVL's Valuation (7) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as CAL (15) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for ROST (94) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry. This means that SCVL's stock grew similarly to CAL’s and significantly faster than ROST’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's Profit vs Risk Rating (22) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is significantly better than the same rating for SCVL (100) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for CAL (100) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry. This means that ROST's stock grew significantly faster than SCVL’s and significantly faster than CAL’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's SMR Rating (24) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SCVL (84) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for CAL (92) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry. This means that ROST's stock grew somewhat faster than SCVL’s and significantly faster than CAL’s over the last 12 months.
ROST's Price Growth Rating (18) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry is in the same range as CAL (44) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for SCVL (70) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry. This means that ROST's stock grew similarly to CAL’s and somewhat faster than SCVL’s over the last 12 months.
CAL's P/E Growth Rating (5) in the Apparel Or Footwear industry is in the same range as ROST (19) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry, and is in the same range as SCVL (19) in the Apparel Or Footwear Retail industry. This means that CAL's stock grew similarly to ROST’s and similarly to SCVL’s over the last 12 months.
| CAL | ROST | SCVL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | N/A | 1 day ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 1 day ago 60% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 53% | 9 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | N/A | 1 day ago 76% |
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SCVL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SCVL has been loosely correlated with AEO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SCVL jumps, then AEO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SCVL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCVL | 100% | -1.42% | ||
| AEO - SCVL | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.23% | ||
| DBI - SCVL | 63% Loosely correlated | -0.28% | ||
| CAL - SCVL | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.22% | ||
| BOOT - SCVL | 55% Loosely correlated | -3.29% | ||
| BKE - SCVL | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.07% | ||
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