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DT or ESTC or HUBS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dynatrace (DT) vs. Elastic (ESTC) vs. HubSpot (HUBS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Dynatrace (DT) shows recent momentum with shares up over 20% in the past month amid activist investor interest, trading at a forward P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) around 40x with stable observability demand.
- Elastic (ESTC) has gained ground recently on AI tie-ups but remains down sharply YTD (year-to-date), with a market cap of $5.4B and revenue growth near 17%.
- HubSpot (HUBS) plunged nearly 20% post-Q1 earnings despite revenue beats, reflecting concerns over AI pricing strategy execution, now at a $10B market cap.
- All three operate in software with AI exposure, but DT exhibits the strongest short-term relative performance and lower volatility (beta 0.70).
- Valuations vary: DT at 6.3x sales, ESTC at 3.3x, HUBS at 3.2x, highlighting trade-offs in growth versus stability.
- Recent market activity favors observability plays like DT over broader CRM amid sector rotation.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines Dynatrace (DT), Elastic (ESTC), and HubSpot (HUBS), three software firms leveraging AI for observability, search analytics, and CRM (customer relationship management). These companies cater to enterprises navigating digital transformation, with platforms addressing monitoring, data insights, and customer engagement. Traders seeking momentum in AI-driven tech and investors eyeing relative performance in a volatile market will find value here, as recent developments highlight contrasts in growth trajectories, sentiment shifts, and positioning amid broader software sector pressures.
DT Overview and Recent Performance
Dynatrace (DT), an AI-powered observability platform provider, helps enterprises monitor cloud infrastructure, applications, and security. With a market cap of approximately $12.1B, it reported steady revenue around $1.93B trailing twelve months (TTM). In recent market activity, shares surged over 20% in the past month, closing near $40.70, driven by activist investor Starboard Value's stake and push for margin expansion and buybacks. This lifted sentiment, with YTD gains at 6% versus the S&P 500's 8%, though down 19% over 52 weeks. Lower beta (0.70) underscores relative stability, bolstered by high management ratings and a forward P/E near 40x.
ESTC Overview and Recent Performance
Elastic (ESTC), a search AI company offering platforms for data analytics, observability, and security via the Elastic Stack, operates with a $5.4B market cap and TTM revenue of $1.68B. Shares traded around $52.25 recently, up modestly in recent weeks on deeper Google AI integrations and GEOINT expansions, but down 34% YTD and 44% over 52 weeks amid broader SaaS (software-as-a-service) weakness. Q3 FY2026 revenue hit $450M (18% YoY growth), with AI customers exceeding 3,000, yet guidance revisions tempered enthusiasm. Beta at 0.88 reflects moderate volatility, with analysts eyeing 10-17% revenue growth.
HUBS Overview and Recent Performance
HubSpot (HUBS), a cloud-based CRM platform with AI tools like Breeze for marketing, sales, and service, holds a $10.1B market cap and TTM revenue near $3.1B. Shares dropped nearly 20% to $197.34 after Q1 2026 results showed 23% revenue growth to $881M but sparked downgrades over AI pricing risks. Down 51% YTD from peaks near $682, recent weeks reflect execution concerns despite customer additions. Higher beta (1.23) signals volatility tied to mid-market B2B exposure.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Dynatrace (DT), Elastic (ESTC), and HubSpot (HUBS) share AI-enhanced software models but diverge in focus: observability (DT, ESTC) versus CRM (HUBS). Growth drivers include DT's margin push (EBITDA $276M), ESTC's 17% revenue trajectory via AI search, and HUBS's 23% top-line but pricing risks. Recent momentum favors DT (20%+ monthly gain) over ESTC's modest rebound and HUBS's post-earnings drop. Risk factors: DT's low debt ($86M) and beta versus ESTC/HUBS higher leverage/volatility. Sector exposure tilts DT/ESTC to IT ops/security, HUBS to marketing/sales. Valuations show DT at premium 6.3x sales/67x P/E, while ESTC (3.3x/negative trailing) and HUBS (3.2x/106x) appear compressed, trading sentiment shifts on catalysts like activism (DT) versus execution (HUBS).
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors Dynatrace (DT) due to consistent trend strength, activist-driven catalysts, and superior relative stability in recent market activity. With lower beta, positive YTD positioning, and outperformance versus peers, DT shows higher probability of near-term upside, though all three warrant monitoring amid software volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileESTC’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and HUBS’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- DT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ESTC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- HUBS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ESTC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and HUBS’s TA Score reflects 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ESTC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- HUBS’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
DT (@Packaged Software) experienced а -3.41% price change this week, while ESTC (@Packaged Software) price change was -2.33% , and HUBS (@Packaged Software) price fluctuated -11.60% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -2.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.09%.
Reported Earning Dates
DT is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
ESTC is expected to report earnings on Aug 27, 2026.
HUBS is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (-2.27% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
| DT | ESTC | HUBS | |
| Capitalization | 11.9B | 6.27B | 9.62B |
| EBITDA | 288M | 38.4M | 267M |
| Gain YTD | -5.976 | -20.003 | -53.157 |
| P/E Ratio | 75.46 | 17.59 | 98.94 |
| Revenue | 2.02B | 1.68B | 3.3B |
| Total Cash | 1.17B | 1.25B | 1.69B |
| Total Debt | 164M | 592M | 247M |
DT | ESTC | HUBS | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 87 | 67 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 73 Overvalued | 78 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 83 | 95 | 86 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 48 | 65 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 9 | 48 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ESTC's Valuation (73) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as DT (78) in the null industry, and is in the same range as HUBS (78) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that ESTC's stock grew similarly to DT’s and similarly to HUBS’s over the last 12 months.
ESTC's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as DT (100) in the null industry, and is in the same range as HUBS (100) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that ESTC's stock grew similarly to DT’s and similarly to HUBS’s over the last 12 months.
DT's SMR Rating (83) in the null industry is in the same range as HUBS (86) in the Information Technology Services industry, and is in the same range as ESTC (95) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that DT's stock grew similarly to HUBS’s and similarly to ESTC’s over the last 12 months.
ESTC's Price Growth Rating (48) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as DT (51) in the null industry, and is in the same range as HUBS (65) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that ESTC's stock grew similarly to DT’s and similarly to HUBS’s over the last 12 months.
DT's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ESTC (48) in the Packaged Software industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for HUBS (96) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that DT's stock grew somewhat faster than ESTC’s and significantly faster than HUBS’s over the last 12 months.
| DT | ESTC | HUBS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 69% | 14 days ago 75% | 14 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 74% | N/A |
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DT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DT has been closely correlated with CRM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DT jumps, then CRM could also see price increases.
ESTC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ESTC has been closely correlated with COIN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ESTC jumps, then COIN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ESTC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESTC | 100% | +0.22% | ||
| COIN - ESTC | 66% Closely correlated | -0.41% | ||
| DT - ESTC | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.94% | ||
| CLSK - ESTC | 65% Loosely correlated | +1.92% | ||
| CRM - ESTC | 61% Loosely correlated | -0.34% | ||
| SNOW - ESTC | 60% Loosely correlated | -3.17% | ||
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HUBS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HUBS has been closely correlated with CRM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HUBS jumps, then CRM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HUBS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HUBS | 100% | +0.83% | ||
| CRM - HUBS | 79% Closely correlated | -0.34% | ||
| TEAM - HUBS | 72% Closely correlated | -0.76% | ||
| FRSH - HUBS | 67% Closely correlated | +2.44% | ||
| NOW - HUBS | 66% Closely correlated | -0.90% | ||
| S - HUBS | 66% Loosely correlated | +0.61% | ||
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