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FITB or KEY or PNC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) vs. KeyCorp (KEY) vs. PNC Financial Services Group (PNC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Three regional banking leaders, three different profiles: FITB is integrating a major acquisition, KEY is rebuilding earnings power, and PNC is scaling as a super-regional with a coast-to-coast footprint.
- Scale differs sharply: PNC holds roughly $600 billion in assets versus approximately $300 billion for FITB and around $190 billion for KEY.
- Earnings momentum is strongest at FITB, where net interest income (NII, the spread between interest earned on loans and interest paid on deposits) grew nearly 50% year over year following its Comerica acquisition.
- Valuations are broadly similar, with all three trading near 10–13 times forward earnings, though PNC commands the largest market capitalization.
- Credit normalization is a shared theme, as modestly rising net charge-offs (loan losses recognized as uncollectible) warrant close monitoring across the group.
Introduction
Regional and super-regional banks are highly sensitive to interest rates, deposit costs, and credit quality, making direct stock comparisons especially useful for investors and traders tracking the financial sector. FITB, KEY, and PNC occupy overlapping but distinct competitive positions, from scale and geography to growth strategy and capital deployment. This comparison examines recent performance, business drivers, and relative market positioning to help readers assess how these three names stack up in the current environment.
FITB Overview and Recent Performance
Fifth Third Bancorp, headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, operates across commercial banking, consumer and small-business lending, and wealth and asset management throughout the Midwest and Southeast. Its defining recent event has been the acquisition of Comerica, which transformed its balance sheet and pushed total assets above $300 billion. In recent quarters, net interest income has expanded sharply—rising roughly 48% year over year in the second quarter—while adjusted earnings per share have beaten consensus estimates. The integration has also lifted expenses, with the efficiency ratio (a measure of non-interest costs relative to revenue) running near the low 60s, above pre-deal levels. Credit trends remain steady, with net charge-offs near 0.30% of average loans, but merger-related costs and deposit competition have tempered sentiment. Shares trade in the low-$50s with a dividend yield around 3%.
KEY Overview and Recent Performance
KeyCorp, based in Cleveland, Ohio, is a traditional regional bank seeking to diversify toward fee-based businesses such as investment banking, wealth management, and commercial payments. After a difficult 2024, KeyCorp has rebuilt profitability, posting mid-single-digit earnings per share in recent quarters supported by a widening net interest margin (NIM, a measure of lending profitability) and a roughly 10% year-over-year rise in revenue. Management has signaled an active capital-return program, planning at least $1.3 billion in share repurchases for the year, and has raised its prime lending rate in response to the rate environment. The company also announced the planned acquisition of Clearwater UK to extend its middle-market advisory franchise. Offsetting factors include higher nonperforming assets and a flatter deposit base, which keep credit and funding execution in focus. Shares trade near the low-$20s with a dividend yield above 4%.
PNC Overview and Recent Performance
The PNC Financial Services Group, headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, is one of the largest diversified U.S. super-regional banks, with more than $600 billion in assets and a coast-to-coast branch network. PNC closed its acquisition of FirstBank earlier in 2026, adding scale in Denver and the West, while continuing a branch buildout in Southern and Western markets. Recent results show revenue up roughly 10% year over year, a net interest margin near 3%, and an efficiency ratio around 57%, with management citing an 18.3% return on average tangible common equity (ROTCE, a core profitability measure for banks). A multiyear artificial-intelligence and automation program is a central part of its operating-leverage strategy. However, quarterly fee income has been uneven and net charge-offs have risen versus a year ago, reflecting gradual credit normalization. Shares trade near the low-$200s with a forward dividend yield approaching 3.7%.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast among these three banks is scale and strategic posture. PNC is the largest by assets and market capitalization, offering a diversified national platform but slower organic growth relative to its peers. FITB is in a transformational phase, with acquisition-driven revenue growth and tangible book value expansion but higher integration costs and a temporarily weaker efficiency ratio. KEY is the smallest of the group and is working through a profitability recovery, leaning on buybacks and fee-income diversification while facing the most pronounced credit and funding sensitivity.
On valuation, the three cluster tightly—each trades at roughly 10–13 times forward earnings—so relative positioning hinges more on execution than on price alone. FITB offers the strongest near-term revenue momentum and a mid-sized dividend; KEY offers the highest dividend yield and an aggressive buyback, paired with higher execution risk; PNC offers the greatest scale, a lower beta (a measure of volatility relative to the market), and a steadier profitability profile, but with more modest growth and rising credit costs. Sector exposure is comparable across all three, with meaningful reliance on net interest income and sensitivity to Federal Reserve rate policy and commercial real estate credit.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, a trend-following AI framework would likely assign the highest relative score to FITB, given its superior revenue and earnings momentum, expanding net interest income, and a catalyst-rich integration story. PNC would rank as the most stable and diversified alternative, favored for its scale and consistency but held back by slower growth and early signs of credit normalization. KEY presents the most compelling income-and-buyback profile but carries the greatest uncertainty around credit and funding. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, reflecting current trend consistency, catalysts, and relative positioning rather than a recommendation.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
FITB's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for FITB moved out of oversold territory on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 19 of the 27 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 70%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FITB as a result. In 54 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FITB just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where FITB's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
FITB moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.57% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FITB advanced for three days, in 189 of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FITB declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
FITB broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for FITB entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FITB’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.488) is normal, around the industry mean (1.269). P/E Ratio (17.660) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.317). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.638) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.854) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
KEY's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for KEY moved out of oversold territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 19 of the 28 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 68%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on KEY as a result. In 58 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KEY just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where KEY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
KEY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.92% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KEY advanced for three days, in 177 of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 50-day moving average for KEY moved below the 200-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KEY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
KEY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for KEY entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 31 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KEY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 59 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.300) is normal, around the industry mean (1.269). P/E Ratio (12.185) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.317). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.332) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.039) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.996) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KEY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 86 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Momentum Indicator for PNC turns positive, indicating new upward trend
PNC saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 79 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 53 of the 79 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PNC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 33 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PNC just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where PNC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
Following a +2.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PNC advanced for three days, in 179 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PNC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
PNC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for PNC entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PNC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock slightly worse than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.399) is normal, around the industry mean (1.269). P/E Ratio (12.347) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.317). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.569) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.036) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.762) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).
FITB | KEY | PNC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 24 | 69 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 87 Overvalued | 59 Fair valued | 75 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 80 | 60 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 6 | 7 | 4 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 47 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 86 | 32 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 31 | 65 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KEY's Valuation (59) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as PNC (75) in the Major Banks industry, and is in the same range as FITB (87) in the Regional Banks industry. This means that KEY's stock grew similarly to PNC’s and similarly to FITB’s over the last 12 months.
FITB's Profit vs Risk Rating (55) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as PNC (60) in the Major Banks industry, and is in the same range as KEY (80) in the Major Banks industry. This means that FITB's stock grew similarly to PNC’s and similarly to KEY’s over the last 12 months.
PNC's SMR Rating (4) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as FITB (6) in the Regional Banks industry, and is in the same range as KEY (7) in the Major Banks industry. This means that PNC's stock grew similarly to FITB’s and similarly to KEY’s over the last 12 months.
FITB's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as KEY (47) in the Major Banks industry, and is in the same range as PNC (49) in the Major Banks industry. This means that FITB's stock grew similarly to KEY’s and similarly to PNC’s over the last 12 months.
FITB's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as PNC (32) in the Major Banks industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for KEY (86) in the Major Banks industry. This means that FITB's stock grew similarly to PNC’s and significantly faster than KEY’s over the last 12 months.
| FITB | KEY | PNC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 68% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 58% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 50% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 66% | 11 days ago 70% | 10 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 63% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FITB’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while KEY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and PNC’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- FITB’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KEY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PNC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FITB’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KEY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s), and PNC’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FITB’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KEY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PNC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FITB (@Regional Banks) experienced а +5.18% price change this week, while KEY (@Regional Banks) price change was +5.45% , and PNC (@Regional Banks) price fluctuated +3.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +2.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was +9.12%.
Reported Earning Dates
FITB is expected to report earnings on Jan 19, 2027.
KEY is expected to report earnings on Jan 20, 2027.
PNC is expected to report earnings on Jan 15, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Regional Banks (+2.29% weekly)Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
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FITB and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FITB has been closely correlated with HBAN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FITB jumps, then HBAN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FITB | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FITB | 100% | -0.47% | ||
| HBAN - FITB | 88% Closely correlated | +0.45% | ||
| RF - FITB | 88% Closely correlated | +0.25% | ||
| MTB - FITB | 87% Closely correlated | -0.53% | ||
| CFG - FITB | 87% Closely correlated | -0.15% | ||
| PNC - FITB | 85% Closely correlated | -0.47% | ||
More | ||||
KEY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KEY has been closely correlated with ASB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KEY jumps, then ASB could also see price increases.