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JOUT or MAT or YETI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Johnson Outdoors (JOUT) vs. Mattel (MAT) vs. YETI Holdings (YETI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- JOUT shares have surged over 120% in the past year, driven by strong Q2 revenue growth of 16%, though trading at a negative P/E due to prior losses.
- MAT reported Q1 net sales up 4% but faces margin pressures, with shares down 22% YTD and a forward P/E around 10x.
- YETI delivered robust international sales growth of 25% in recent quarters, up 40% over the past year, with a P/E of approximately 20x.
- All three operate in consumer cyclical sectors but differ in momentum: JOUT leads in relative performance, while YETI shows strongest international exposure.
- Recent earnings beats across the board highlight resilience amid varying sector headwinds like tariffs and consumer spending shifts.
- Valuation contrasts: MAT appears cheapest on forward metrics, but YETI offers growth stability.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines JOUT, MAT, and YETI, all in the consumer cyclical space focused on leisure and recreation products. Johnson Outdoors (JOUT) specializes in fishing and camping gear, Mattel (MAT) in toys and games, and YETI Holdings (YETI) in premium coolers and drinkware. Traders seeking momentum in outdoor recreation or investors eyeing relative performance in a volatile market may find value here. Recent quarters show divergent paths amid broader economic pressures, offering insights into sector rotation and growth drivers.
JOUT Overview and Recent Performance
Johnson Outdoors (JOUT), headquartered in Racine, Wisconsin, designs and markets outdoor recreation products across fishing, camping, watercraft, and diving segments. Brands like Minn Kota and Humminbird drive its fishing focus. In recent market activity, shares have climbed around 25% YTD and over 120% in the past year, trading near 52-week highs above $52. Fiscal Q2 results showed net sales up 16% to $194.5 million, beating estimates, with fishing revenue rising 18% on improved trade conditions and pricing. Gross margins expanded to 38.8%, boosting operating income, though shares dipped post-earnings on cost concerns. Sentiment reflects optimism from demand recovery and innovation, tempered by seasonal cyclicality.
MAT Overview and Recent Performance
Mattel (MAT), based in El Segundo, California, is a leading toy and family entertainment company with brands like Barbie, Hot Wheels, and Fisher-Price. It operates in North America, international, and American Girl segments. Recent weeks saw shares around $15, down 22% YTD but up modestly in the past month amid Q1 results. Net sales rose 4% to $862 million, exceeding forecasts, though gross margins fell 450 basis points to 44.9% due to higher costs. Adjusted EPS of $0.20 beat estimates, with management raising full-year guidance. Activist pressure for strategic alternatives adds uncertainty, but digital and content expansions support long-term positioning.
YETI Overview and Recent Performance
YETI Holdings (YETI), an Austin-based designer of premium outdoor products like coolers and drinkware, emphasizes durability for recreation markets globally. Shares hover near $41, down 6% YTD but up 40% over the past year, reflecting resilience. Recent quarters featured international sales growth of 25% and drinkware up 6%, with Q4 net sales rising 7% to $584 million. Adjusted EPS of $0.92 topped estimates despite tariff impacts on margins. Strong cash flow supported $298 million in share repurchases. Market sentiment favors its brand strength and international momentum amid U.S. consumer softness.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
JOUT, MAT, and YETI share consumer cyclical exposure but diverge in business models: JOUT's niche outdoor gear contrasts MAT's mass-market toys and YETI's premium lifestyle brand. Growth drivers include JOUT's fishing demand recovery, MAT's content licensing, and YETI's international expansion (16-25% growth). Recent momentum favors JOUT (120%+ 1-year return) over YETI (40%) and MAT (-11%). Risk factors: seasonal sales for all, plus tariffs for YETI and competition for MAT. Valuations show MAT cheapest (P/E ~10x forward), YETI at 20x on growth, and JOUT negative P/E amid profitability swings (~$0.9B market cap vs. YETI's $3.1B, MAT's $4.5B). Sentiment tilts positive for YETI (Moderate Buy, $48 target) over others.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors YETI based on consistent trend strength, international catalysts, and relative stability versus peers. Its 40% one-year gains and analyst upside to $48 (from ~$41) outperform MAT's margin challenges, while matching JOUT's momentum without negative earnings risks. Probability leans toward sustained positioning in a growth-oriented market.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
JOUT’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMAT’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and YETI’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- JOUT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MAT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- YETI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
JOUT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MAT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and YETI’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- JOUT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
- MAT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- YETI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
JOUT (@Recreational Products) experienced а -0.92% price change this week, while MAT (@Recreational Products) price change was -1.57% , and YETI (@Recreational Products) price fluctuated +2.12% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Recreational Products industry was -1.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.64%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.48%.
Reported Earning Dates
JOUT is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
MAT is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
YETI is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Recreational Products (-1.25% weekly)The Leisure and Recreation Products industry includes companies offering recreational goods/services such as video games, swimming pools, golf courses, boats, outdoor spaces etc. Since these are mainly geared towards consumers, strong employment conditions and healthy incomes generally augur well for the recreational products industry. Some of the largest market caps in this space belong to video game developers (e.g. Activision Blizzard, Electronic Arts and Take-two Interactive), and toy /board game makers (like Hasbro).
| JOUT | MAT | YETI | |
| Capitalization | 490M | 4.06B | 3.88B |
| EBITDA | 35.3M | 890M | 267M |
| Gain YTD | 10.063 | -30.343 | 13.222 |
| P/E Ratio | 86.26 | 8.90 | 24.46 |
| Revenue | 652M | 5.38B | 1.9B |
| Total Cash | 108M | 866M | 128M |
| Total Debt | 46M | 2.68B | 225M |
JOUT | MAT | YETI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 54 | 78 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 14 Undervalued | 78 Overvalued | 62 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 93 | 41 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 75 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 78 | 14 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 | 5 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
JOUT's Valuation (14) in the Recreational Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for YETI (62) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MAT (78) in the Recreational Products industry. This means that JOUT's stock grew somewhat faster than YETI’s and somewhat faster than MAT’s over the last 12 months.
JOUT's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Recreational Products industry is in the same range as YETI (100) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry, and is in the same range as MAT (100) in the Recreational Products industry. This means that JOUT's stock grew similarly to YETI’s and similarly to MAT’s over the last 12 months.
MAT's SMR Rating (41) in the Recreational Products industry is in the same range as YETI (43) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for JOUT (93) in the Recreational Products industry. This means that MAT's stock grew similarly to YETI’s and somewhat faster than JOUT’s over the last 12 months.
YETI's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry is in the same range as JOUT (46) in the Recreational Products industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MAT (75) in the Recreational Products industry. This means that YETI's stock grew similarly to JOUT’s and somewhat faster than MAT’s over the last 12 months.
JOUT's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Recreational Products industry is in the same range as YETI (14) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for MAT (78) in the Recreational Products industry. This means that JOUT's stock grew similarly to YETI’s and significantly faster than MAT’s over the last 12 months.
| JOUT | MAT | YETI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 76% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 17 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 72% | 4 days ago 69% | 11 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 65% |
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JOUT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JOUT has been loosely correlated with MAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if JOUT jumps, then MAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JOUT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOUT | 100% | N/A | ||
| MAT - JOUT | 45% Loosely correlated | -0.43% | ||
| YETI - JOUT | 44% Loosely correlated | +0.75% | ||
| GOLF - JOUT | 41% Loosely correlated | +3.38% | ||
| FUN - JOUT | 40% Loosely correlated | -2.39% | ||
| JAKK - JOUT | 36% Loosely correlated | +2.11% | ||
More | ||||
YETI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, YETI has been loosely correlated with CLAR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 48% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if YETI jumps, then CLAR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To YETI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YETI | 100% | +0.75% | ||
| CLAR - YETI | 48% Loosely correlated | -0.16% | ||
| GOLF - YETI | 46% Loosely correlated | +3.38% | ||
| JOUT - YETI | 43% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
| AS - YETI | 43% Loosely correlated | -2.79% | ||
| JAKK - YETI | 42% Loosely correlated | +2.11% | ||
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