SPXL
Price
$296.91
Change
-$2.30 (-0.77%)
Updated
Oct 7 closing price
Net Assets
7.18B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TQQQ
Price
$83.62
Change
-$0.63 (-0.75%)
Updated
Oct 7 closing price
Net Assets
39.33B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TSMX
Price
$96.38
Change
-$4.14 (-4.12%)
Updated
Oct 7 closing price
Net Assets
617.2M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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SPXL or TQQQ or TSMX

SPXL vs TQQQ vs TSMX Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 01, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X ETF (SPXL) vs. ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) vs. Direxion Daily TSM Bull 2X ETF (TSMX)

Key Takeaways

  • SPXL delivers 3x daily exposure to the broad S&P 500 Index through a leveraged structure with hundreds of holdings, providing wide diversification across large-cap U.S. equities.
  • TQQQ targets 3x daily performance of the Nasdaq-100 Index, concentrating exposure in technology and growth-oriented companies with fewer holdings than broad-market peers.
  • TSMX offers 2x daily leveraged exposure to a single security, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (TSM), resulting in the highest concentration risk among the three.
  • Expense ratios differ modestly, with SPXL and TQQQ at approximately 0.82–0.84% net and TSMX at 0.99%, reflecting the added complexity of single-stock leverage.
  • Structural differences in leverage multiplier, underlying exposure breadth, and rebalancing frequency create distinct risk profiles suited to varying investor time horizons and market outlooks.
  • Relative positioning favors broader diversification in SPXL for stability, while TQQQ and TSMX suit tactical, sector-specific or thematic bets within the semiconductor and technology landscape.

Introduction

These three leveraged exchange-traded funds (ETFs) warrant comparison because they represent tiered risk exposures to equity markets through daily leveraged strategies. SPXL and TQQQ provide amplified daily returns on established broad and growth indexes, respectively, while TSMX applies leverage to an individual semiconductor leader. They do not track identical benchmarks but compete as tactical tools within the leveraged equity category, allowing investors to express views on U.S. large-cap performance, technology sector momentum, or specific semiconductor supply-chain dynamics.

Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X ETF (SPXL) Overview

SPXL seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 300% of the daily performance of the S&P 500 Index. The fund employs swaps, futures, and other derivatives to achieve this 3x leverage and holds a diversified portfolio of approximately 500 large-cap U.S. equities. Top holdings typically include major technology names such as NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft, with sector allocations heaviest in technology, financial services, and healthcare. The net expense ratio stands at 0.84%. As a passive, leveraged product, it rebalances daily to maintain the target multiple and suits short-term tactical use rather than long-term buy-and-hold strategies.

ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) Overview

TQQQ seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 300% of the daily performance of the Nasdaq-100 Index. It uses derivatives to deliver the 3x multiplier and maintains exposure to roughly 100 non-financial companies listed on Nasdaq. Holdings concentrate in technology, consumer discretionary, and communication services, with leading positions in NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet. The net expense ratio is 0.82%. This passive leveraged structure requires daily rebalancing and appeals to investors seeking magnified exposure to growth-oriented technology equities.

Direxion Daily TSM Bull 2X ETF (TSMX) Overview

TSMX seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 200% of the daily performance of the common shares of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., Ltd. (TSM). The fund utilizes swaps and other instruments to achieve 2x leverage on this single security. Holdings consist primarily of derivatives and cash equivalents, resulting in effectively one underlying equity exposure. The expense ratio is 0.99%. Launched in October 2024, this passive single-stock leveraged ETF demands daily monitoring due to compounding effects and targets investors with specific views on semiconductor manufacturing dynamics.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

The semiconductor and broader technology sectors continue to influence capital flows amid ongoing innovation in artificial intelligence, advanced chip manufacturing, and global supply-chain adjustments. Macroeconomic drivers such as interest-rate expectations, corporate capital expenditure trends, and geopolitical tensions around Taiwan shape sentiment. Earnings growth among leading semiconductor firms remains a focal point, supported by demand for high-performance computing components, while regulatory scrutiny and export controls introduce periodic volatility. These factors affect all three ETFs through their varying degrees of technology and semiconductor exposure.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, the broader diversification of SPXL has contributed to more stable trend consistency relative to the concentrated technology focus of TQQQ. TSMX, with its single-security 2x structure, exhibits higher volatility and greater sensitivity to company-specific news and sector swings. Drawdowns in leveraged products amplify during periods of elevated market turbulence, with daily rebalancing creating path-dependent outcomes. Performance differences stem primarily from exposure breadth—SPXL benefits from S&P 500 balance, TQQQ from Nasdaq-100 growth tilt, and TSMX from concentrated semiconductor leverage—rather than short-term price fluctuations.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to uncover data-driven insights across leveraged and thematic ETFs.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Tickeron’s AI would currently assign the highest probability of favorable risk-adjusted positioning to SPXL. Its broad S&P 500 exposure, combined with 3x daily leverage and lower concentration risk than single-stock or sector-specific peers, supports more consistent momentum stability and cost efficiency over varying market regimes. TQQQ offers strong thematic alignment with technology growth but carries elevated volatility from its narrower holdings. TSMX provides targeted 2x exposure yet faces the greatest concentration and liquidity considerations inherent to single-security leverage.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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SUMMARIES
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TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
SPXLTQQQTSMX
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
89%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
89%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
89%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 9 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 15 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
89%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
88%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
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SPXL
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
TQQQ
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
TSMX
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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SPXL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPXL has been loosely correlated with MSFT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SPXL jumps, then MSFT could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SPXL
1D Price
Change %
SPXL100%
-0.77%
MSFT - SPXL
63%
Loosely correlated
+0.09%
AAPL - SPXL
62%
Loosely correlated
+0.91%
AMZN - SPXL
60%
Loosely correlated
+1.42%
META - SPXL
59%
Loosely correlated
-2.38%
NVDA - SPXL
56%
Loosely correlated
-0.74%
More

TSMX and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor tells us that TSMX and TSM have been poorly correlated (+-16% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that TSMX and TSM's prices will move in lockstep.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TSMX
1D Price
Change %
TSMX100%
-4.12%
TSM - TSMX
-16%
Poorly correlated
-2.09%