Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) is a U.S. automotive retailer operating roughly 155 dealerships across 14 states and 34 brands, alongside its Total Care Auto (TCA) finance-and-insurance segment. S&P Global polls 11 analysts covering the stock, with an average price target near $224 and a range spanning about $184 to $295 — unusually wide, reflecting genuine disagreement on the cycle.
That overall mean is only about 8% above the latest close, below a meaningful 10% threshold. Accordingly, the central target here is the average of the recent analyst targets that remain above the current price: Seaport Research's Glenn Chin set a $300 target (upgrade to Buy, September 2026), Craig-Hallum set $250 (upgrade to Buy, October 2026), and Bank of America reiterated Buy at $232 (October 2026). Their average rounds to $260.
Views diverge sharply. Bullish firms argue Asbury has passed an earnings trough, that technology integrations are complete, and that shares trade at near-cyclical-trough multiples. More cautious analysts — including JPMorgan (Underweight, $220), UBS (Neutral, $204) and Citigroup (Neutral, $212) — point to softening near-term fundamentals and margin pressure.
At the latest verified close of $206.67, moving to $260 requires about a 26% advance. Asbury rallied roughly 20% over the preceding week following third-quarter results and a cluster of upgrades, so a further 26% would represent a substantial continuation.
The path depends on whether earnings trough. Third-quarter revenue fell about 8% year over year to $4.4 billion, and net income declined roughly 29% to $105 million, pressured by lower new-vehicle margins. Analysts on the bullish side expect an inflection into 2027 as the Herb Chambers acquisition is digested, Tekion dealership-management technology is fully deployed, and Total Care Auto protection products roll out across all stores.
The 52-week high of $258.75 is the most important resistance level, sitting just below the $260 target — reaching the target would require clearing this prior peak. The 52-week low of $160.30 marks the lower bound of the recent range. After the sharp recent advance from the mid-$170s, the $200 round-number level and the prior high near $259 are key zones to watch, as a failure to hold gains could signal a retreat toward support.
Analyst price targets generally reflect a roughly 12-month research horizon, though individual analysts apply differing assumptions. Investors should monitor quarterly earnings and guidance (the next report is anticipated in early February 2027), same-store sales and new-vehicle margins, progress on Tekion and Total Care Auto, buyback activity, debt reduction, and any further analyst target revisions. Interest-rate decisions and broader auto-demand data also matter for the cycle.
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The $260 central target is the average of three recent analyst price targets above the current price, not an official consensus — and it sits well above the broader mean of roughly $224, underscoring how divided the Street is on Asbury. Reaching $260 would require a substantial gain of about 26%, including a break above the 52-week high. A genuine 2027 earnings inflection, completed technology rollouts, and ongoing buybacks support the bull case, while still-declining earnings, margin pressure, and elevated leverage represent the principal obstacles. Investors should weigh the wide analyst dispersion and watch upcoming earnings, guidance, and target revisions before drawing conclusions.
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ABG has been closely correlated with GPI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ABG jumps, then GPI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ABG | 1D Price Change % |
|---|---|---|
| ABG | 100% | -1.83% |
| ABG (6 stocks) | 88% Closely correlated | +1.40% |
| Automotive Aftermarket (26 stocks) | 64% Loosely correlated | -1.17% |
| Consumer Durables (204 stocks) | 27% Poorly correlated | +0.11% |