AES Stock AES (AES, $16.75) Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram turned negative on September 3, 2024

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AES - AES Corp

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Odds of DOWN Trend

Price: $16.75

Daily change: -$0.38 (-2.22%)

Daily volume: 8M

Capitalization: $11.9B

Industry: Electric Utilities

AES's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for AES entered a downward trend on November 20, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 204 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 204 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for AES crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 17, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for AES moved below the 200-day moving average on November 11, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AES declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for AES's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AES advanced for three days, in of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AES may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: AES's P/B Ratio (7.782) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.714). P/E Ratio (53.147) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.466). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.323) is also within normal values, averaging (2.620). Dividend Yield (0.037) settles around the average of (0.074) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.016) is also within normal values, averaging (3.109).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AES’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AES’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock worse than average.