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ALCE Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Three Falling Peaks ALCE on September 04, 2024, netting in a 42.36% gain over 1 month

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
10/10/24
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+42.36% Gain from a Successful pattern Three Falling Peaks
ALCE - Alternus Clean Energy
Ticker: ALCE
Company: Alternus Clean Energy
Gain from shortening: +42.36%
Confirmed: 09/04/24
Succeeded: 10/08/24
Total length: 42 days
On August 27, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Three Falling Peaks Pattern (Bearish) for Alternus Clean Energy (ALCE, $0.25). 8 days later, on September 04, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On October 08, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $0.12 – resulting in a +4 gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

ALCE's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for ALCE entered a downward trend on October 02, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 69 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 69 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ALCE turned negative on October 09, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 21 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALCE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ALCE's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 9 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALCE advanced for three days, in of 53 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

ALCE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.000) is normal, around the industry mean (1.840). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (101.961). ALCE's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.971). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.052) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.937) is also within normal values, averaging (23.914).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ALCE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALCE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

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General Information

Industry AlternativePowerGeneration

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
Blanchardstown Corporate Park 2
Phone
+353 19073445
Employees
N/A
Web
https://www.alternusenergy.com