ALVR Stock AlloVir (ALVR, $9.83) entered Downtrend as Momentum indicator drops below 0 level on Feb 20, 2025

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ALVR - AlloVir Inc

Momentum signal

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Odds of DOWN Trend

Price: $9.83

Daily change: -$0.58 (-5.57%)

Daily volume: 6.3K

Capitalization: $49.6M

Industry: Biotechnology

ALVR in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on February 20, 2025

ALVR moved below its 50-day moving average on February 20, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 39 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 51 cases where ALVR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on February 20, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ALVR as a result. In of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALVR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for ALVR entered a downward trend on January 21, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ALVR's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 35 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ALVR just turned positive on January 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where ALVR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALVR advanced for three days, in of 236 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.401) is normal, around the industry mean (12.481). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (84.446). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.603). ALVR has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.012). P/S Ratio (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (251.221).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ALVR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALVR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.