ARCC Ares Capital Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The 10-day moving average for ARCC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 5 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 36%.

ARCC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for ARCC entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ARCC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 16 of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ARCC as a result. In 43 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ARCC just turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where ARCC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 53%.

ARCC moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +3.30% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARCC advanced for three days, in 133 of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 39%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ARCC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.988) is normal, around the industry mean (2.431). P/E Ratio (14.261) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-4.007). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.319). Dividend Yield (0.100) settles around the average of (0.271) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.792) is also within normal values, averaging (15.798).