ARCC Ares Capital Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

ARCC in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on September 08, 2026

ARCC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 24 of 42 cases where ARCC's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 25 of 52 cases where ARCC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 48%.

Following a +0.56% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARCC advanced for three days, in 136 of 347 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 39%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 120 of 308 cases where ARCC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 39%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ARCC moved out of overbought territory on August 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 15 of the 35 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 43%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 18, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ARCC as a result. In 26 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 31%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ARCC turned negative on August 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 12 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 27%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARCC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 40%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 4 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.003) is normal, around the industry mean (3.373). P/E Ratio (14.478) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.127). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.355). Dividend Yield (0.099) settles around the average of (0.080) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.792) is also within normal values, averaging (15.971).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ARCC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.