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BASE Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Head-and-Shoulders Top BASE on September 05, 2024, netting in a 20.77% gain over 1 month

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
09/18/24
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+20.77% Gain from a Successful pattern Head-and-Shoulders Top
BASE - Couchbase
Ticker: BASE
Company: Couchbase
Gain from shortening: +20.77%
Confirmed: 09/05/24
Succeeded: 09/16/24
Total length: 32 days
On August 15, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Head-and-Shoulders Top Pattern (Bearish) for Couchbase (BASE, $17.91). 21 days later, on September 05, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On September 16, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $14.32 – resulting in a +2 gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

BASE's Stochastic Oscillator is remaining in overbought zone for 3 days

The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

BASE moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BASE declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

BASE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for BASE entered a downward trend on October 02, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BASE's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 15 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 26, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BASE as a result. In of 61 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BASE just turned positive on September 26, 2024. Looking at past instances where BASE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 22 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BASE advanced for three days, in of 204 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.881) is normal, around the industry mean (30.847). P/E Ratio (13.387) is within average values for comparable stocks, (161.895). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.738). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.083) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.854) is also within normal values, averaging (56.884).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BASE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BASE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.

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BASE
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General Information

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
3250 Olcott Street
Phone
+1 650 417-7500
Employees
796
Web
https://www.couchbase.com