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CMTG Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Broadening Top CMTG on December 06, 2024, netting in a 5.42% gain over 1 month

A.I.dvisor
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+5.42% Gain from a Successful pattern Broadening Top
CMTG - Claros Mortgage Trust
Tickeron
Ticker: CMTG
Company: Claros Mortgage Trust
Gain from shortening: +5.42%
Confirmed: 12/06/24
Succeeded: 12/16/24
Total length: 41 days
On November 05, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Broadening Top Pattern (Bearish) for Claros Mortgage Trust (CMTG, $6.64). 31 days later, on December 06, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On December 16, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $5.88 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

CMTG in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on December 02, 2024

CMTG moved below its 50-day moving average on December 02, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 33 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on December 10, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CMTG as a result. In of 51 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CMTG turned negative on December 03, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 18 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

The 10-day moving average for CMTG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 21, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMTG declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CMTG entered a downward trend on December 17, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for CMTG's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMTG advanced for three days, in of 178 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CMTG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.577) is normal, around the industry mean (1.982). CMTG's P/E Ratio (478.500) is considerably higher than the industry average of (62.378). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (7.058). CMTG has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.117) as compared to the industry average of (0.068). P/S Ratio (5.330) is also within normal values, averaging (7.099).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CMTG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CMTG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

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General Information

Industry RealEstateInvestmentTrusts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
C/o Mack Real Estate Credit Strategies, L.P.
Phone
+1 212 484-0050
Employees
N/A
Web
https://www.clarosmortgage.com