COST Costco Wholesale Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

COST's RSI Indicator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for COST moved out of overbought territory on September 15, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 55 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where COST declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

COST broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 11, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 27, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on COST as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for COST just turned positive on September 27, 2023. Looking at past instances where COST's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

COST moved above its 50-day moving average on September 27, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for COST crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 13, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COST advanced for three days, in of 380 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 376 cases where COST Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 51, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. COST’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.091) is normal, around the industry mean (12.720). COST's P/E Ratio (40.323) is considerably higher than the industry average of (21.764). COST's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.380) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.849). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.048) is also within normal values, averaging (1.158).