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COST vs OLLI
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is COST is a Buy and OLLI is a Hold.
Momentum Indicator for COST turns positive, indicating new upward trend
COST saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on September 25, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 75 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 49 of the 75 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 65%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for COST just turned positive on September 25, 2026. Looking at past instances where COST's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 28 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
COST moved above its 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for COST crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Following a +1.79% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where COST advanced for three days, in 214 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 5 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 12 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
COST broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for COST entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. COST’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: COST's P/B Ratio (13.206) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (5.602). COST has a moderately high P/E Ratio (50.141) as compared to the industry average of (23.885). COST's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.478) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.353) is also within normal values, averaging (1.008).
OLLI's RSI Indicator recovers from overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Indicator for OLLI moved out of overbought territory on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 24 of the 29 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OLLI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
OLLI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on OLLI as a result. In 66 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for OLLI just turned positive on October 14, 2026. Looking at past instances where OLLI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Following a +8.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OLLI advanced for three days, in 208 of 293 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 141 of 214 cases where OLLI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. OLLI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 64 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.879) is normal, around the industry mean (5.602). P/E Ratio (20.413) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.885). OLLI's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.260) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.171). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. OLLI's P/S Ratio (1.605) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.008).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. OLLI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
COST | OLLI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 44 | 39 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 100 Overvalued | 64 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 77 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 34 | 57 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 84 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
OLLI's Valuation (64) in the Department Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for COST (100) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that OLLI’s stock grew somewhat faster than COST’s over the last 12 months.
COST's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OLLI (77) in the Department Stores industry. This means that COST’s stock grew somewhat faster than OLLI’s over the last 12 months.
COST's SMR Rating (34) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as OLLI (57) in the Department Stores industry. This means that COST’s stock grew similarly to OLLI’s over the last 12 months.
OLLI's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Department Stores industry is in the same range as COST (43) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that OLLI’s stock grew similarly to COST’s over the last 12 months.
COST's P/E Growth Rating (43) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OLLI (84) in the Department Stores industry. This means that COST’s stock grew somewhat faster than OLLI’s over the last 12 months.
| COST | OLLI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 7 days ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 8 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 35% | 2 days ago 66% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
COST’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while OLLI’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- COST’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OLLI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
COST’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OLLI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- COST’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- OLLI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
COST (@Discount Stores) experienced а +1.66% price change this week, while OLLI (@Discount Stores) price change was -1.35% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Discount Stores industry was +2.36%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.18%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.45%.
Reported Earning Dates
COST is expected to report earnings on Dec 10, 2026.
OLLI is expected to report earnings on Dec 08, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Discount Stores (+2.36% weekly)Companies in the discount stores industry specialize in offering substantial discounts on a vast array of retail products. Some companies in this industry also operate general merchandise warehouse clubs. Products sold at discount stores are typically similar to those of any department store, but the pricing of the goods is generally much lower (and hence the name “discount”). Think Dollar General Corporation, Dollar Tree, Inc. and Five Below, Inc. Many discount stores target low-income households and/or price-sensitive consumers as their potential market. Discount stores’ profitability could hinge on factors like competitive pricing, sufficient locations, healthy revenue per square foot, and effective advertisement. These store operators could have an edge over other retailers during financial crises or recessions, when many consumers could be looking for less expensive alternatives.
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OLLI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OLLI has been loosely correlated with DLTR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 39% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if OLLI jumps, then DLTR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To OLLI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OLLI | 100% | -0.87% | ||
| DLTR - OLLI | 39% Loosely correlated | +0.42% | ||
| WMT - OLLI | 22% Poorly correlated | -0.04% | ||
| PSMT - OLLI | 21% Poorly correlated | -1.00% | ||
| COST - OLLI | 18% Poorly correlated | +0.37% | ||
| BJ - OLLI | 6% Poorly correlated | +0.08% | ||
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