GVA Granite Construction Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

GVA's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for GVA entered a downward trend on September 21, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 166 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 108 of the 166 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 65%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GVA as a result. In 51 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GVA turned negative on September 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 27 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 59%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GVA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 51 cases where GVA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.

Following a +0.84% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GVA advanced for three days, in 217 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

GVA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 45 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.845) is normal, around the industry mean (16.693). P/E Ratio (32.120) is within average values for comparable stocks, (204.431). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.112) is also within normal values, averaging (3.525). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.007) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.134) is also within normal values, averaging (2.926).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GVA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.