IVR Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Broadening Top IVR on October 07, 2024, netting in a 1.98% gain over 1 month

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IVR - Invesco Mortgage Capital

Ticker: IVR

Company: Invesco Mortgage Capital

Gain from shortening: +1.98%

Confirmed: 10/07/24

Succeeded: 10/28/24

Total length: 45 days

IVR's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for IVR entered a downward trend on November 15, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 208 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 208 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 63 cases where IVR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

IVR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 25, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for IVR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IVR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 14, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IVR as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IVR just turned positive on November 11, 2024. Looking at past instances where IVR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IVR advanced for three days, in of 287 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.948) is normal, around the industry mean (1.979). P/E Ratio (3.187) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.368). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (7.058). IVR's Dividend Yield (0.166) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.068). IVR's P/S Ratio (101.010) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (7.130).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. IVR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. IVR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.