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MAT vs ONEW
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MAT is a Buy and ONEW is a Hold.
MAT's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MAT turned positive on October 01, 2026. Looking at past instances where MAT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MAT as a result. In 51 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
MAT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MAT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Following a +0.66% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MAT advanced for three days, in 173 of 293 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for MAT moved out of overbought territory on October 19, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 18 of the 19 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 45 of 60 cases where MAT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MAT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
MAT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for MAT entered a downward trend on September 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 72 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.422) is normal, around the industry mean (1.695). P/E Ratio (12.456) is within average values for comparable stocks, (0.314). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.915) is also within normal values, averaging (1.411). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.732) is also within normal values, averaging (4.604).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MAT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
ONEW sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for ONEW moved below the 200-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ONEW as a result. In 66 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ONEW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator for ONEW entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ONEW's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 30 of 36 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 47 of 62 cases where ONEW's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ONEW just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where ONEW's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Following a +3.04% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ONEW advanced for three days, in 225 of 289 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
ONEW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.543) is normal, around the industry mean (2.329). P/E Ratio (-1.217) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.119). ONEW's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.040) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.159). ONEW's Dividend Yield (0.773) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.093). P/S Ratio (0.087) is also within normal values, averaging (1.057).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 21 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ONEW’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ONEW’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.
MAT | ONEW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 41 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 72 Overvalued | 3 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 97 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 54 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 21 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ONEW's Valuation (3) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for MAT (72) in the Recreational Products industry. This means that ONEW’s stock grew significantly faster than MAT’s over the last 12 months.
ONEW's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the null industry is in the same range as MAT (100) in the Recreational Products industry. This means that ONEW’s stock grew similarly to MAT’s over the last 12 months.
MAT's SMR Rating (46) in the Recreational Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ONEW (97) in the null industry. This means that MAT’s stock grew somewhat faster than ONEW’s over the last 12 months.
MAT's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Recreational Products industry is in the same range as ONEW (63) in the null industry. This means that MAT’s stock grew similarly to ONEW’s over the last 12 months.
ONEW's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MAT (54) in the Recreational Products industry. This means that ONEW’s stock grew somewhat faster than MAT’s over the last 12 months.
| MAT | ONEW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 2 days ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 59% | 21 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 4 days ago 84% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 2 days ago 77% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MAT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while ONEW’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- MAT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- ONEW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MAT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ONEW’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MAT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ONEW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MAT (@Recreational Products) experienced а +1.80% price change this week, while ONEW (@Specialty Stores) price change was +5.91% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Recreational Products industry was +1.14%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.39%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.77%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Stores industry was +0.60%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.18%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.86%.
Reported Earning Dates
MAT is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
ONEW is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Recreational Products (+1.14% weekly)The Leisure and Recreation Products industry includes companies offering recreational goods/services such as video games, swimming pools, golf courses, boats, outdoor spaces etc. Since these are mainly geared towards consumers, strong employment conditions and healthy incomes generally augur well for the recreational products industry. Some of the largest market caps in this space belong to video game developers (e.g. Activision Blizzard, Electronic Arts and Take-two Interactive), and toy /board game makers (like Hasbro).
@Specialty Stores (+0.60% weekly)The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.
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MAT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor tells us that MAT and JAKK have been poorly correlated (+33% of the time) for the last year. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is low statistical probability that MAT and JAKK's prices will move in lockstep.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAT | 100% | -0.06% | ||
| JAKK - MAT | 33% Poorly correlated | +0.92% | ||
| ONEW - MAT | 31% Poorly correlated | +2.15% | ||
| FNKO - MAT | 30% Poorly correlated | +2.25% | ||
| HAS - MAT | 28% Poorly correlated | +2.83% | ||
| JOUT - MAT | 25% Poorly correlated | +4.10% | ||
More | ||||
ONEW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ONEW has been loosely correlated with AN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ONEW jumps, then AN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ONEW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ONEW | 100% | -0.64% | ||
| AN - ONEW | 55% Loosely correlated | -5.49% | ||
| RUSHA - ONEW | 54% Loosely correlated | +0.65% | ||
| ABG - ONEW | 54% Loosely correlated | -4.69% | ||
| FND - ONEW | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.22% | ||
| PAG - ONEW | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.09% | ||
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| HYIN | 12.34 | 0.19 | +1.54% |
| WisdomTree Private Credit and Alternative Income Fund (HYIN) | |||
| FHLC | 86.95 | 1.04 | +1.21% |
| Fidelity MSCI Health Care Index ETF (FHLC) | |||
| FLCO | 20.66 | 0.14 | +0.66% |
| Franklin Investment Grade Corporate ETF (FLCO) | |||
| RYLG | 23.13 | N/A | +0.01% |
| Global X Russell 2000 Covered Call & Growth ETF (RYLG) | |||
| FINX | 24.94 | N/A | N/A |
| Global X FinTech ETF (FINX) | |||