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MPC
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
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Capitalization
59.98B

MPC MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

an operator of petroleum product refiners, marketers and transporters

Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for MPC with price predictions
08:00 PM EDT Oct 01, 2023

MPC's RSI Indicator peaks and leaves overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for MPC moved out of overbought territory on September 19, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 40 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 26, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MPC as a result. In of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MPC turned negative on September 19, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 39 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MPC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MPC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 01, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MPC advanced for three days, in of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 371 cases where MPC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. MPC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.333) is normal, around the industry mean (7.027). P/E Ratio (5.501) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.768). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.185) is also within normal values, averaging (2.925). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.059) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.436) is also within normal values, averaging (0.670).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp (NYSE:MPC), Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX), Valero Energy Corp (NYSE:VLO).

Industry description

The Oil Refining/Marketing segment includes companies that refine crude oil into a number of petroleum products, including gasoline, jet fuel and diesel, and then sell the usable products to the end users. These companies are involved in what’s called downstream operations in the oil business. They also engage in the marketing and distribution of crude oil and natural gas products. In other words, the downstream oil and gas business is focused on post-production processes of crude oil and natural gas. When oil prices slump, downstream businesses are hurt less or in some cases even benefit, since their purchase cost of crude oil goes down. Some of the biggest U.S. oil refining/marketing companies include Phillips 66, Marathon Petroleum Corporation and Valero Energy Corp.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry is 6.55B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 107.69K to 59.98B. MPC holds the highest valuation in this group at 59.98B. The lowest valued company is AMCF at 107.69K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0%. KUNUF experienced the highest price growth at 13%, while SPTJF experienced the biggest fall at -33%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil Refining/Marketing Industry was 20%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 24% and the average quarterly volume growth was -35%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 62
Price Growth Rating: 51
SMR Rating: 49
Profit Risk Rating: 77
Seasonality Score: 2 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

MPC is expected to report earnings to rise 37.59% to $7.32 per share on October 31

MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp MPC Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'23
Est.
$7.32
Q2'23
Beat
by $0.78
Q1'23
Beat
by $0.59
Q4'22
Beat
by $0.98
Q3'22
Beat
by $1.15
The last earnings report on August 01 showed earnings per share of $5.32, beating the estimate of $4.54. With 3.73M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 59.98B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

MPC paid dividends on September 11, 2023

MARATHON PETROLEUM Corp MPC Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.75 per share was paid with a record date of September 11, 2023, and an ex-dividend date of August 15, 2023. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an operator of petroleum product refiners, marketers and transporters

Industry OilRefiningMarketing

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Oil Refining Or Marketing
Address
539 South Main Street
Phone
+1 419 422-2121
Employees
17800
Web
https://www.marathonpetroleum.com
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MPC and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MPC has been closely correlated with VLO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MPC jumps, then VLO could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MPC
1D Price
Change %
MPC100%
-0.87%
VLO - MPC
88%
Closely correlated
-2.55%
PSX - MPC
82%
Closely correlated
-0.94%
PBF - MPC
80%
Closely correlated
-2.39%
DINO - MPC
79%
Closely correlated
-0.93%
CVI - MPC
76%
Closely correlated
-1.85%
More

Groups containing MPC

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MPC
1D Price
Change %
MPC100%
-0.87%
MPC
(undefined stocks)
94%
Closely correlated
-3.70%
oil marketing
(undefined stocks)
94%
Closely correlated
-3.02%
oil refining
(undefined stocks)
92%
Closely correlated
-2.41%
petroleum products
(undefined stocks)
88%
Closely correlated
-1.70%
petrochemical products
(undefined stocks)
78%
Closely correlated
-1.66%
More