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MTH
Stock ticker: NYSE
AS OF
Oct 13, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Price
$66.78
Change
+$0.24 (+0.36%)
Capitalization
4.73B

MTH Meritage Homes Corporation Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Meritage Homes Corp is engaged as a designer and builder of single-family attached and detached homes... Show more

Industry: #Homebuilding
MTH
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for MTH with price predictions
Oct 10, 2025

MTH sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for MTH moved above the 200-day moving average on September 05, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTH advanced for three days, in of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MTH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 17, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MTH as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MTH turned negative on September 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

MTH moved below its 50-day moving average on September 22, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MTH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 26, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for MTH entered a downward trend on October 10, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.899) is normal, around the industry mean (19.418). P/E Ratio (7.587) is within average values for comparable stocks, (54.259). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.374). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.778) is also within normal values, averaging (24.273).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MTH’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MTH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 73, placing this stock better than average.

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MTH
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

MTH is expected to report earnings to fall 20.10% to $1.63 per share on October 28

Meritage Homes Corporation MTH Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'25
Est.
$1.63
Q2'25
Beat
by $0.06
Q1'25
Missed
by $0.04
Q4'24
Beat
by $2.44
Q3'24
Beat
by $0.37
The last earnings report on July 23 showed earnings per share of $2.04, beating the estimate of $1.98. With 133.03K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 4.73B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

MTH paid dividends on September 30, 2025

Meritage Homes Corporation MTH Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.43 per share was paid with a record date of September 30, 2025, and an ex-dividend date of September 16, 2025. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

a company which designs and builds single family homes

Industry Homebuilding

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Homebuilding
Address
18655 North Claret Drive
Phone
+1 480 515-8100
Employees
1838
Web
https://www.meritagehomes.com
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MTH and Stocks

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTH has been closely correlated with KBH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTH jumps, then KBH could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MTH
1D Price
Change %
MTH100%
-2.02%
KBH - MTH
91%
Closely correlated
-4.33%
TMHC - MTH
91%
Closely correlated
-1.14%
PHM - MTH
90%
Closely correlated
-1.13%
MHO - MTH
89%
Closely correlated
-2.01%
LEN - MTH
89%
Closely correlated
-1.12%
More

Groups containing MTH

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MTH
1D Price
Change %
MTH100%
-2.02%
MTH
(4 stocks)
93%
Closely correlated
+0.22%