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LEN vs MTH
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lennar Corporation (LEN) vs. Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both LEN and MTH operate as major U.S. homebuilders, with exposure to housing demand, interest rates, and construction costs.
- As of early June 2026, LEN traded near $90.49 with a year-to-date return of approximately 11.11%, while MTH traded near $68.33 with a year-to-date return of about 6.14%.
- LEN, one of the largest U.S. homebuilders by volume, reported first-quarter 2026 results with net earnings of $229 million and announced upcoming second-quarter earnings for mid-June 2026.
- MTH, a smaller-scale builder, declared a quarterly dividend of $0.48 per share payable in June 2026 following first-quarter results that showed revenue declines year-over-year.
- Sector-wide factors including mortgage rates and inventory levels have influenced recent price behavior for both stocks amid broader market volatility.
- Relative positioning favors scale advantages for LEN in market share, while MTH offers a more focused regional presence with dividend support.
Introduction
Investors and traders focused on the residential construction sector often evaluate LEN and MTH together due to their shared exposure to housing market cycles, interest rate sensitivity, and operational efficiencies in homebuilding. This comparison highlights differences in scale, recent financial metrics, and market positioning that may appeal to those assessing sector allocation or relative value within publicly traded homebuilders. The analysis draws on verifiable data from financial reporting and market activity to provide a balanced view for informed decision-making.
LEN Overview and Recent Performance
LEN is Lennar Corporation, one of the largest U.S. homebuilders by delivery volume, specializing in single-family homes across multiple regions. In recent market activity, the stock has traded in a range influenced by broader housing data and economic indicators, closing near $90.49 in early June 2026. Year-to-date returns reached approximately 11.11%, outpacing the S&P 500 benchmark over that period while trailing on a one-year basis. First-quarter 2026 results showed net earnings of $229 million, or $0.93 per diluted share, alongside share repurchases. Upcoming second-quarter earnings, scheduled for release in mid-June 2026, represent a key near-term catalyst amid ongoing focus on delivery targets and margin trends.
MTH Overview and Recent Performance
MTH is Meritage Homes Corporation, a mid-sized U.S. homebuilder emphasizing energy-efficient homes in select markets. The stock has shown price movement tied to quarterly results and dividend announcements, trading near $68.33 in early June 2026. Year-to-date returns stood at approximately 6.14%, with the company declaring a $0.48 quarterly dividend payable later in the month. First-quarter 2026 financials reflected revenue of $1.12 billion, down year-over-year, with earnings missing some analyst expectations. Recent market activity has incorporated these updates alongside sector sentiment around housing affordability and builder incentives.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
LEN operates at significantly larger scale than MTH, supporting greater geographic diversification and higher home delivery volumes, which can provide stability during housing market fluctuations. In contrast, MTH maintains a more concentrated footprint with emphasis on premium features such as energy efficiency. Recent momentum shows LEN with stronger year-to-date price performance relative to MTH, though both have faced pressure from sector headwinds including interest rate levels. Risk factors for LEN include execution on large-scale operations, while MTH contends with narrower margins in a competitive environment. Market sentiment reflects ongoing investor attention to earnings visibility, with both stocks sensitive to macroeconomic data on consumer demand and financing costs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as consistent scale advantages, broader market presence, and upcoming earnings catalysts, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic weighting to LEN over MTH in relative positioning. This assessment incorporates trend stability and sector exposure without implying certainty in future outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LEN is a StrongBuy and MTH is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LEN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMTH’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- LEN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MTH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LEN’s TA Score shows that 8 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTH’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LEN’s TA Score: 8 bullish, 1 bearish.
- MTH’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
LEN (@Homebuilding) experienced а +4.60% price change this week, while MTH (@Homebuilding) price change was +12.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was +7.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +16.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.28%.
Reported Earning Dates
LEN is expected to report earnings on Sep 17, 2026.
MTH is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (+7.27% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
| LEN | MTH | LEN / MTH | |
| Capitalization | 23B | 5.68B | 405% |
| EBITDA | 2.41B | 522M | 461% |
| Gain YTD | -7.803 | 31.294 | -25% |
| P/E Ratio | 13.71 | 13.70 | 100% |
| Revenue | 33.2B | 5.62B | 591% |
| Total Cash | 2.39B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 5.26B | 1.9B | 276% |
LEN | MTH | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 81 | 35 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 88 Overvalued | 7 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 92 | 58 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 79 | 79 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 20 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MTH's Valuation (7) in the Homebuilding industry is significantly better than the same rating for LEN (88). This means that MTH’s stock grew significantly faster than LEN’s over the last 12 months.
MTH's Profit vs Risk Rating (58) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LEN (92). This means that MTH’s stock grew somewhat faster than LEN’s over the last 12 months.
MTH's SMR Rating (79) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (79). This means that MTH’s stock grew similarly to LEN’s over the last 12 months.
MTH's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (57). This means that MTH’s stock grew similarly to LEN’s over the last 12 months.
MTH's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (20). This means that MTH’s stock grew similarly to LEN’s over the last 12 months.
| LEN | MTH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 24 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 69% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| HMOP | 39.33 | 0.09 | +0.22% |
| Hartford Municipal Opportunities ETF | |||
| VOE | 199.09 | 0.19 | +0.10% |
| Vanguard Mid-Cap Value ETF | |||
| KFEB | 30.91 | 0.01 | +0.02% |
| Innovator U.S. Small Cp Pwr Buf ETF -Feb | |||
| SDCP | 25.55 | N/A | N/A |
| Virtus Newfleet Short Dur Cor Pls Bd ETF | |||
| ACVF | 53.50 | -0.12 | -0.22% |
| American Conservative Values ETF | |||
LEN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LEN has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LEN jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.