MTH Meritage Homes Corporation Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

MTH sees its Stochastic Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

On August 04, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for MTH moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 58 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 58 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 11, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MTH as a result. In of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MTH just turned positive on August 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where MTH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MTH advanced for three days, in of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

MTH moved below its 50-day moving average on August 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MTH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MTH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for MTH entered a downward trend on August 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.949) is normal, around the industry mean (2.141). P/E Ratio (15.337) is within average values for comparable stocks, (19.674). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.522). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.937) is also within normal values, averaging (29.238).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MTH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.