PAG Penske Automotive Group Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day moving average for PAG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

PAG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for PAG entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PAG's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 11 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PAG as a result. In 63 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PAG just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where PAG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

PAG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +9.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAG advanced for three days, in 207 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PAG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 62 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.340) is normal, around the industry mean (2.313). P/E Ratio (15.060) is within average values for comparable stocks, (44.786). PAG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.087) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.695). PAG has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.027) as compared to the industry average of (0.007). P/S Ratio (0.438) is also within normal values, averaging (0.919).