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REFI Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Triangle Symmetrical Bottom REFI on September 30, 2024, netting in a 1.29% gain over 1 month

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+1.29% Gain from a Successful pattern Triangle Symmetrical Bottom
REFI - Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance
Tickeron
Ticker: REFI
Company: Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance
Gain from shortening: +1.29%
Confirmed: 09/30/24
Succeeded: 10/31/24
Total length: 36 days
On September 25, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Triangle Symmetrical Bottom Pattern (Bearish) for Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance (REFI, $15.32). 5 days later, on September 30, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On October 31, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $15.06 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

REFI in downward trend: price expected to drop as it breaks its higher Bollinger Band on November 07, 2024

REFI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 07, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In of the 21 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 32 cases where REFI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where REFI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on REFI as a result. In of 65 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for REFI just turned positive on November 07, 2024. Looking at past instances where REFI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 29 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

REFI moved above its 50-day moving average on November 06, 2024 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for REFI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 12, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where REFI advanced for three days, in of 162 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 107 cases where REFI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.043) is normal, around the industry mean (1.979). P/E Ratio (7.384) is within average values for comparable stocks, (62.368). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (7.058). REFI has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.121) as compared to the industry average of (0.068). P/S Ratio (4.985) is also within normal values, averaging (7.130).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. REFI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. REFI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock worse than average.

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REFI
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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General Information

Industry RealEstateInvestmentTrusts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
1680 Michigan Avenue
Phone
+1 312 809-7002
Employees
N/A
Web
https://www.chicagoatlanticcredit.com