Sherwin-Williams is covered by a broad group of sell-side firms. For this analysis, 16 current, individually attributable targets were reviewed, spanning roughly $330 to $420. The arithmetic mean of those targets is about $384, which is used here as the central target rather than any single analyst's figure.
The range is unusually wide, and it reflects a genuine split. The most optimistic views, including Goldman Sachs and RBC Capital at $420, emphasize pricing power and share gains. More cautious firms sit near the bottom: UBS holds a Neutral rating with a $330 target after a downgrade, while Wells Fargo cut its target to $340 on concerns that volume pressure and raw-material inflation will weigh more heavily on Sherwin-Williams than on coatings peers. In between, firms such as Morgan Stanley ($395), Evercore ISI ($400), Citigroup ($400), and BMO Capital ($405) lean bullish but acknowledge macro uncertainty. A notable cautionary signal came from BofA, which kept a Neutral rating at $369 and noted that "investors are focused downfield."
As of early October 2026, SHW traded near $319.51, giving the company a market capitalization of roughly $77.5 billion and a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio near 29 times. Reaching $384 would require a rise of approximately 20% from that level — a substantial move that would also carry the stock above its 52-week high of $377.77.
The fundamental path rests on execution. Sherwin-Williams beat expectations in its most recent quarters, reporting adjusted EPS of $3.70 on revenue of $6.79 billion for the second quarter, with full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guided to a range of roughly $11.80 to $12.20. Continued share gains in its Paint Stores Group and a recovery in residential repaint activity could support earnings, but the stock's premium multiple means valuation is a meaningful variable in reaching the target.
The stock's 52-week range of roughly $289.86 to $377.77 frames the technical picture. The prior high near $378 acts as a key resistance zone that must be cleared before the $384 target becomes reachable, with $400 a further psychological barrier. On the downside, the 200-day moving average near $328 and the psychologically important $300 level are notable support zones. A sustained move toward $384 would require the shares to reclaim their 50-day moving average near $339 and build momentum above prior highs.
Analyst price targets generally reflect a research horizon of about 12 months, though individual firms rarely state a precise timeline. Investors should watch the third-quarter earnings report, scheduled for late October 2026, along with any updates to full-year guidance. Other items worth monitoring include raw-material cost trends and tariff developments, U.S. housing starts and residential repaint data, analyst target revisions, and interest-rate decisions that could influence both housing demand and the stock's valuation multiple.
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The central $384 target, derived from the mean of 16 current analyst price targets, implies a substantial move of roughly 20% from the recent price near $319.51. The path depends on whether Sherwin-Williams can sustain share gains and pricing power while navigating higher raw-material and interest costs and soft housing demand. With targets spanning $330 to $420, the Street itself is divided: bullish analysts see execution and share gains driving upside, while more cautious firms emphasize margin pressure and a demanding valuation. Reaching $384 is plausible but far from assured, and investors should weigh the wide target range against the company's premium multiple and near-term macro headwinds.
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHW has been closely correlated with RPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHW jumps, then RPM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHW | 1D Price Change % |
|---|---|---|
| SHW | 100% | +1.33% |
| SHW (4 stocks) | 96% Closely correlated | +0.79% |
| coatings (5 stocks) | 95% Closely correlated | +1.00% |
| improving home (16 stocks) | 83% Closely correlated | +2.16% |
| industrial specialty (23 stocks) | 69% Closely correlated | +0.36% |
| Chemicals: Specialty (61 stocks) | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.55% |
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