SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

SMH in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on May 02, 2025

SMH moved above its 50-day moving average on May 02, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 45 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on June 03, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SMH as a result. In of 84 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for SMH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on May 07, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 295 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMH turned negative on May 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

SMH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 04, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.