SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks to replicate as closely as possible, before fees and expenses, the price and yield performance of the MVIS® US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index... Show more
SMH sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for SMH moved above the 200-day moving average on June 30, 2025. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 289 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 16 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 16 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMH turned negative on July 14, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SMH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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General Information
Category Technology
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SMH and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMH has been closely correlated with SHOC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 94% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SMH jumps, then SHOC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMH | 100% | +0.84% | ||
| SHOC - SMH | 94% Closely correlated | +0.06% | ||
| SOXQ - SMH | 94% Closely correlated | +0.76% | ||
| SOXX - SMH | 93% Closely correlated | +0.38% | ||
| IXN - SMH | 93% Closely correlated | +1.11% | ||
| SEMI - SMH | 92% Closely correlated | +0.98% | ||
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