SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

SMH's MACD Histogram just turned positive

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SMH turned positive on February 11, 2025. Looking at past instances where SMH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on February 10, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SMH as a result. In of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SMH moved above its 50-day moving average on February 10, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SMH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on February 18, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

SMH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 323 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SMH moved out of overbought territory on January 23, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .