SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
The investment seeks to replicate as closely as possible, before fees and expenses, the price and yield performance of the MVIS® US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index... Show more
Momentum Indicator for SMH turns positive, indicating new upward trend
SMH saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on June 03, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 81 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 81 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SMH just turned positive on June 24, 2025. Looking at past instances where SMH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 297 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
SMH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 24, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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General Information
Category Technology
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| TDIV | 89.10 | 2.09 | +2.40% |
| First Trust NASDAQ Technology Div ETF | |||
| TOGA | 34.09 | 0.67 | +2.01% |
| Tremblant Global ETF | |||
| REMX | 39.80 | 0.76 | +1.95% |
| VanEck Rare Earth & Strat Mtls ETF | |||
| TOUS | 31.87 | 0.43 | +1.37% |
| T. Rowe Price International Equity ETF | |||
| YLDE | 52.31 | 0.33 | +0.63% |
| Franklin ClearBridge Enhanced Inc ETF | |||
SMH and ETFs
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMH has been closely correlated with SHOC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 95% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SMH jumps, then SHOC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SMH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMH | 100% | +3.67% | ||
| SHOC - SMH | 95% Closely correlated | +3.51% | ||
| SOXQ - SMH | 94% Closely correlated | +3.76% | ||
| SOXX - SMH | 93% Closely correlated | +3.79% | ||
| IXN - SMH | 93% Closely correlated | +2.08% | ||
| SEMI - SMH | 92% Closely correlated | +2.21% | ||
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