FTXL
Price
$220.09
Change
+$5.50 (+2.56%)
Updated
Oct 26, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
1.1B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SMH
Price
$543.51
Change
+$16.31 (+3.09%)
Updated
Oct 26, 04:08 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
66.09B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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FTXL vs SMH

FTXL vs SMH Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 25, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF (FTXL) vs. VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH)

Key Takeaways

  • Different construction philosophies: FTXL is a factor-weighted (modified factor-based) fund, while SMH is a market-capitalization-weighted fund that tilts heavily toward mega-cap leaders.
  • Concentration profiles diverge: SMH is dominated by NVDA, while FTXL spreads risk more evenly across names such as INTC, MU, and AVGO.
  • Cost gap: SMH charges a 0.35% expense ratio versus 0.60% for FTXL, a meaningful difference for long-term holders.
  • Global exposure: SMH includes non-U.S. semiconductor leaders via U.S.-listed ADRs (American Depositary Receipts), while FTXL is effectively a U.S.-centric portfolio.
  • Liquidity and scale: SMH is one of the largest and most liquid semiconductor ETFs, whereas FTXL is a smaller, more niche vehicle.

Introduction

Semiconductors sit at the center of the artificial intelligence (AI) investment cycle, making this a natural moment to compare two prominent ways to gain sector exposure. The First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF (FTXL) and the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) both target chipmakers, but they are not identical products. SMH provides broad, market-cap-weighted coverage of the largest U.S.-listed semiconductor companies, while FTXL uses a factor-based approach that rebalances toward value, growth, and lower-volatility characteristics. For investors deciding between concentrated mega-cap leadership and a more balanced, factor-tilted approach, understanding these structural differences is essential to informed relative positioning.

First Trust Nasdaq Semiconductor ETF (FTXL) Overview

FTXL seeks to track the Nasdaq US Smart Semiconductor Index, a modified factor-weighted benchmark that selects liquid U.S. semiconductor companies and weights them according to factors related to value, volatility, and growth. This rules-based methodology differentiates it from plain market-cap strategies and generally produces a more evenly distributed portfolio.

The fund holds roughly 32 to 35 names and is classified as non-diversified, though its factor weighting reduces single-stock dominance relative to cap-weighted peers. Top holdings have included INTC, MU, AVGO, NVDA, and QCOM, with the top ten positions accounting for roughly two-thirds of assets. Sector allocation is essentially all-in on information technology, with effectively 99% of the portfolio in semiconductors and semiconductor-related industrials.

FTXL carries a net expense ratio of 0.60%, higher than many cap-weighted alternatives, reflecting its specialized factor methodology. Launched in September 2016, the fund is passively managed in the sense that it follows an index, but its smart-beta tilt gives it an active flavor. Its smaller asset base and moderate trading volume make it less liquid than the largest semiconductor ETFs.

VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) Overview

SMH seeks to track the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, which holds 25 of the largest and most liquid U.S.-listed semiconductor companies, weighted by market capitalization. This cap-weighted construction gives the fund a pronounced mega-cap tilt and concentrates returns in industry leaders.

The fund typically holds around 25 to 27 names. NVDA is by far the largest position, historically ranging from roughly 15% to more than 20% of assets, followed by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing via its U.S.-listed ADR TSM, AVGO, AMD, and MU. The top ten holdings account for roughly 70% of the portfolio, and the fund also includes non-U.S. names such as ASML Holding through its U.S.-listed shares ASML, adding global diversification.

SMH charges a net expense ratio of 0.35%, notably cheaper than FTXL. It is one of the largest and most heavily traded semiconductor ETFs, offering deep liquidity, tight bid-ask spreads, and substantial scale. Its structure is straightforward passive, market-cap indexing, making its performance highly sensitive to the fortunes of the biggest chipmakers.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds are leveraged to the same underlying theme: surging demand for AI accelerators, data-center computing, memory, and advanced chip-manufacturing equipment. Capital expenditure from hyperscale cloud providers has fueled record spending on graphics processing units (GPUs) and related infrastructure, while cyclical end-markets such as personal computers, smartphones, and automotive have shown uneven recovery.

The sector also carries concentration and valuation risks. Semiconductors are inherently cyclical and geopolitically sensitive, given supply-chain exposure to Taiwan and export-control dynamics between the United States and China. Regulatory scrutiny of AI and chip trade, along with elevated valuations after a prolonged rally, represent key watchpoints. Within this environment, mega-cap leaders have often driven index returns, but factor-tilted strategies such as FTXL can capture rotations toward value or lower-volatility names during risk-off periods.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

Over recent market cycles, the relative performance of FTXL and SMH has largely tracked the fortunes of their respective concentration profiles. SMH's heavy weighting in NVDA means the fund tends to outperform when mega-cap leaders rally, but it also absorbs more downside when those leaders correct. FTXL's factor weighting spreads exposure more evenly, which has historically reduced single-stock sensitivity while tilting toward names the methodology identifies as attractively valued or less volatile.

Volatility dynamics differ as well. SMH's cap-weighted structure and deep liquidity make it a favored vehicle for both institutional and retail traders seeking broad sector beta (market sensitivity). FTXL, with its smaller asset base and factor-driven rebalancing, offers a different risk-return signature that may appeal to investors seeking a less top-heavy approach. In a sector where a handful of names drive a disproportionate share of earnings growth, this structural contrast is the key variable in fund performance comparisons.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your own semiconductor universe and uncover actionable signals.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on structural strength, cost efficiency, liquidity, and trend consistency, Tickeron's AI would likely favor SMH as the more efficient vehicle for broad semiconductor exposure. Its lower expense ratio, deeper liquidity, and diversified mega-cap leadership provide a more cost-effective way to capture sector momentum, even though its concentration in NVDA introduces single-stock sensitivity. FTXL offers a differentiated, factor-tilted alternative that may appeal when value or volatility factors are in favor, but its higher cost and smaller scale reduce its appeal in a trend-driven environment. The AI's preference is probabilistic and would shift if market conditions began rewarding the factor characteristics that FTXL emphasizes.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
FTXL vs. SMH commentary
Oct 26, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FTXL is a Hold and SMH is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for FTXL with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

FTXL's RSI Oscillator remains in oversold zone for 1 day

It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +3.99% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FTXL advanced for three days, in 287 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.

FTXL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 289 of 311 cases where FTXL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FTXL as a result. In 78 of 92 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FTXL turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.

FTXL moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for FTXL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FTXL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SMH with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

SMH's RSI Oscillator is staying in oversold zone for 1 day

It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +2.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMH advanced for three days, in 328 of 358 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SMH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 299 of 315 cases where SMH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMH as a result. In 69 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMH turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.

SMH moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SMH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
FTXLSMH
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
86%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
84%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
84%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
86%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
87%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
88%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 25 days ago
88%
Bullish Trend 22 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 11 days ago
85%
Bearish Trend 11 days ago
81%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
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FTXL
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SMH
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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FTXL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FTXL has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FTXL jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To FTXL
1D Price
Change %
FTXL100%
+0.69%
LRCX - FTXL
89%
Closely correlated
-0.02%
AMAT - FTXL
85%
Closely correlated
+0.44%
KLAC - FTXL
84%
Closely correlated
-1.50%
ENTG - FTXL
84%
Closely correlated
+4.84%
MU - FTXL
83%
Closely correlated
+2.46%
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