SMTC Semtech Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Semtech Corp is a provider of high-performance semiconductors powering data center networking, Internet of Things ("IoT") connectivity, and cellular infrastructure solutions... Show more
SMTC is expected to report earnings to rise 20.55% to 61 cents per share on September 02
Q3'26
Est.
$0.61
Q2'26
Beat
by $0.06
Q1'26
Beat
by $0.01
Q4'25
Beat
by $0.03
Q3'25
Beat
by $0.01
The last earnings report on May 26 showed earnings per share of 50 cents, beating the estimate of 44 cents. With 699.86K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 11.73B.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information
General Information
a manufacturer of analog and mixed-signal semiconductors
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SMTC has been loosely correlated with MTSI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SMTC jumps, then MTSI could also see price increases.
SMTC in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on July 02, 2026
SMTC moved below its 50-day moving average on July 02, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 33 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 24, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMTC as a result. In of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMTC turned negative on July 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
The 10-day moving average for SMTC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on July 10, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMTC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for SMTC entered a downward trend on July 24, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where SMTC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMTC advanced for three days, in of 312 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
SMTC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SMTC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (20.450) is normal, around the industry mean (15.520). P/E Ratio (130.812) is within average values for comparable stocks, (226.163). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.213) is also within normal values, averaging (1.642). SMTC has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.015). P/S Ratio (10.449) is also within normal values, averaging (42.152).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
