SW Smurfit WestRock plc Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

SW's Stochastic Oscillator is sitting in oversold zone for 1 day

Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SW's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.

Following a +2.38% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SW advanced for three days, in 97 of 163 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

SW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SW as a result. In 61 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SW turned negative on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 78%.

SW moved below its 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SW crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 16 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.311) is normal, around the industry mean (6.558). SW has a moderately high P/E Ratio (47.850) as compared to the industry average of (25.090). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.264) is also within normal values, averaging (1.023). Dividend Yield (0.040) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.749) is also within normal values, averaging (1.259).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SW’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SW’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock worse than average.