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PKG vs SW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) vs. Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- PKG has delivered stronger one-year returns compared to SW, reflecting more consistent performance in the packaging sector.
- Both companies operate in the packaging and containers industry, exposing them to similar economic cycles and raw material costs.
- Recent market activity shows SW experiencing greater volatility following earnings reports, while PKG maintained steadier momentum.
- SW offers a higher dividend yield, providing potential income advantages for certain investors relative to PKG.
- Sector sentiment remains influenced by broader materials demand and supply chain dynamics affecting both stocks.
- Relative positioning favors PKG in trend consistency, though SW’s scale from recent consolidation presents distinct growth considerations.
Introduction
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) and Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) represent two leading players in the packaging and containers sector. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance trends, and market positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating relative opportunities within the materials industry. The analysis draws on verifiable data from financial platforms and focuses on factors such as returns, earnings developments, and sector exposure that may influence portfolio decisions for those seeking exposure to cyclical industrial stocks.
PKG Overview and Recent Performance
Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) produces containerboard and corrugated packaging products primarily for the food, beverage, and industrial markets. In recent market activity, the stock has shown resilience, with one-year returns around 18% to 23%, outpacing broader sector benchmarks in several periods. Performance has been supported by steady demand for packaging solutions and operational efficiency. Sentiment remains influenced by commodity prices and manufacturing activity, contributing to relatively stable price behavior amid fluctuating economic indicators.
SW Overview and Recent Performance
Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) provides corrugated packaging, solid board, and related solutions across global markets following its formation through consolidation. Recent performance has included mixed results, with one-year returns near 4% to 5% and notable volatility after first-quarter earnings that showed revenue stability but significant declines in net income and adjusted EBITDA margins. The stock has faced pressure from weather-related impacts and softer cash flows, though year-to-date gains have occasionally edged ahead of peers in shorter windows. Market sentiment reflects integration dynamics and demand fluctuations in key regions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
PKG and SW share exposure to the packaging industry but differ in scale and geographic reach, with SW benefiting from broader international operations post-consolidation. Growth drivers for both include e-commerce packaging demand and sustainability trends, though PKG has historically emphasized domestic efficiency while SW manages larger production volumes. Recent momentum favors PKG in longer-term returns, whereas SW has shown periods of outperformance in shorter intervals amid earnings variability. Risk factors include raw material cost fluctuations and economic sensitivity for both, with SW carrying additional integration-related considerations. Market sentiment reflects these contrasts, positioning PKG as a steadier option in recent activity compared to SW’s higher dividend yield appeal.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as stronger trend consistency and relative one-year performance, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign higher probabilistic favor to Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) over Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW). This assessment incorporates stability in price behavior and positioning within sector benchmarks, while acknowledging SW’s potential catalysts from operational scale. Outcomes remain subject to evolving market conditions and data updates.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is PKG is a Buy and SW is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
PKG’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileSW’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- PKG’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- SW’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
PKG’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SW’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- PKG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
PKG (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а -3.36% price change this week, while SW (@Containers/Packaging) price change was -5.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was -2.76%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.31%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.03%.
Reported Earning Dates
PKG is expected to report earnings on Oct 26, 2026.
SW is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (-2.76% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
| PKG | SW | PKG / SW | |
| Capitalization | 21.9B | 24.1B | 91% |
| EBITDA | 1.82B | 4.3B | 42% |
| Gain YTD | 20.700 | 21.301 | 97% |
| P/E Ratio | 31.93 | 48.81 | 65% |
| Revenue | 9.22B | 31.3B | 29% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 677M | - |
| Total Debt | 4.37B | 14.2B | 31% |
PKG | SW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 58 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 34 Fair valued | 16 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 54 | 89 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 23 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 63 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SW's Valuation (16) in the null industry is in the same range as PKG (34) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that SW’s stock grew similarly to PKG’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is significantly better than the same rating for SW (100) in the null industry. This means that PKG’s stock grew significantly faster than SW’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's SMR Rating (54) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SW (89) in the null industry. This means that PKG’s stock grew somewhat faster than SW’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's Price Growth Rating (23) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as SW (46) in the null industry. This means that PKG’s stock grew similarly to SW’s over the last 12 months.
PKG's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SW (63) in the null industry. This means that PKG’s stock grew somewhat faster than SW’s over the last 12 months.
| PKG | SW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 48% | 3 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 62% | 6 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 46% | 3 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 53% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 62% |
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PKG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PKG has been closely correlated with SW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PKG jumps, then SW could also see price increases.
SW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SW has been closely correlated with IP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SW jumps, then IP could also see price increases.