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AMCR vs SW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Amcor plc (AMCR) vs. Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AMCR and SW operate in the packaging sector, with AMCR focusing on flexible and rigid solutions and SW emphasizing containerboard and corrugated products.
- AMCR offers a higher dividend yield of 6.66% compared to SW's 4.52%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- AMCR exhibits lower volatility with a beta of 0.71 versus SW's 1.05 (beta measures a stock's volatility relative to the market).
- Analyst price targets suggest upside for both, with AMCR at around $50 and SW at $54+, from recent levels near $39-40.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks trading near the lower end of their 52-week ranges, reflecting sector pressures but with expansion catalysts for AMCR.
- SW faces near-term earnings scrutiny with expected Q1 declines, while AMCR benefits from facility openings.
Introduction
This stock comparison pits AMCR against SW, two prominent names in the competitive packaging industry. Investors and traders tracking the containers and packaging sector may find value in evaluating their relative performance, business models, and market positioning. Amid broader economic shifts affecting demand for sustainable packaging solutions, understanding how these stocks stack up on metrics like volatility, dividends, and growth drivers can inform sector allocation strategies. This analysis draws on recent market data to highlight key contrasts for balanced decision-making.
AMCR Overview and Recent Performance
Amcor plc (AMCR) is a global leader in developing and supplying flexible and rigid packaging products for food, beverage, pharmaceutical, and personal care industries. Operating through segments like Global Flexible Packaging Solutions and Global Rigid Packaging Solutions, it serves diverse markets with innovative, sustainable options. In recent weeks, AMCR shares have traded around $39, near the lower end of the 52-week range ($37.95-$50.94), reflecting broader sector headwinds including energy costs and freight pressures. Positive sentiment stems from expansions like a new medical packaging plant in Malaysia and enhanced industrial film capabilities in the Netherlands, alongside partnerships for fiber-based trays. Upcoming Q3 fiscal 2026 results on May 6 add anticipation, with analysts maintaining buy ratings and targets above $50. Market cap stands at $18B, with a PE ratio (price-to-earnings) of 29.36 and EPS (earnings per share) of $1.33.
SW Overview and Recent Performance
Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) specializes in containerboard, corrugated containers, and paper-based packaging, serving food, healthcare, and consumer goods sectors across multiple regions. Formed from a major merger, it focuses on linerboard, consumer packaging, and displays. Recent market activity has seen SW shares hover near $40, within a 52-week range of $32.73-$52.65, impacted by integration challenges and softening demand. Key developments include first-half fiscal 2026 results signaling a strategic reset with management actions and updated guidance, ahead of Q1 earnings on April 30 expecting EPS declines. Analyst targets around $54 support buy ratings despite recent weakness. With a $21B market cap, PE ratio of 30.11, and EPS of $1.33, SW balances growth potential with post-merger risks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AMCR and SW share sector exposure in packaging but differ in business models: AMCR’s diversified flexible/rigid focus contrasts SW’s emphasis on corrugated and containerboard. Growth drivers include AMCR’s facility expansions in healthcare and industrial segments versus SW’s merger synergies. Recent momentum shows SW with a slight 1-month edge (up 0.48%) over AMCR (down 1.76%), though both lag broader indices YTD. Risk factors highlight AMCR’s lower beta for stability amid commodity fluctuations, while SW faces earnings volatility. Market sentiment favors both with buy ratings, but AMCR’s higher yield provides income trade-offs against SW’s scale.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis leans toward AMCR in the current environment, citing its lower volatility (beta 0.71), superior dividend yield (6.66%), and tangible catalysts from recent global expansions. While SW offers merger-driven scale and higher analyst targets, near-term earnings risks temper its positioning. Observable trend consistency and relative stability give AMCR a probabilistic edge for risk-adjusted returns amid packaging sector dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMCR is a Hold and SW is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMCR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSW’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AMCR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SW’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMCR’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SW’s TA Score has 8 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMCR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- SW’s TA Score: 8 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AMCR (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а +6.81% price change this week, while SW (@Containers/Packaging) price change was +11.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was +2.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +14.68%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.16%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMCR is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
SW is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (+2.77% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
| AMCR | SW | AMCR / SW | |
| Capitalization | 19B | 23.2B | 82% |
| EBITDA | 2.84B | 4.17B | 68% |
| Gain YTD | 0.703 | 14.572 | 5% |
| P/E Ratio | 33.00 | 61.39 | 54% |
| Revenue | 22.2B | 31.2B | 71% |
| Total Cash | 1.59B | 674M | 235% |
| Total Debt | 16.7B | 14.3B | 117% |
AMCR | SW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 43 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 8 Undervalued | 15 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 77 | 90 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 35 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 14 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMCR's Valuation (8) in the null industry is in the same range as SW (15). This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to SW’s over the last 12 months.
AMCR's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the null industry is in the same range as SW (100). This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to SW’s over the last 12 months.
AMCR's SMR Rating (77) in the null industry is in the same range as SW (90). This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to SW’s over the last 12 months.
SW's Price Growth Rating (43) in the null industry is in the same range as AMCR (49). This means that SW’s stock grew similarly to AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
AMCR's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the null industry is in the same range as SW (35). This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to SW’s over the last 12 months.
| AMCR | SW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 65% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 61% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 44% | 5 days ago 56% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 58% |
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AMCR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMCR has been loosely correlated with SW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AMCR jumps, then SW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMCR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMCR | 100% | -1.57% | ||
| SW - AMCR | 60% Loosely correlated | -1.43% | ||
| AVY - AMCR | 57% Loosely correlated | -1.46% | ||
| GEF - AMCR | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.29% | ||
| CCK - AMCR | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.23% | ||
| BALL - AMCR | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.81% | ||
More | ||||
SW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SW has been closely correlated with IP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SW jumps, then IP could also see price increases.