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AMCR vs SW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Amcor plc (AMCR) vs. Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Amcor plc (AMCR) and Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) both operate in the global packaging sector, with Amcor focusing on flexible and rigid solutions while Smurfit Westrock emphasizes corrugated and paper-based packaging.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks exhibiting resilience amid broader economic conditions, with AMCR posting year-to-date gains around 18% and SW demonstrating strength following its second-quarter 2026 earnings release.
- SW reported second-quarter 2026 net sales of $8.03 billion, supported by volume growth and pricing initiatives in a tightening containerboard market.
- AMCR is scheduled to release its fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter and full-year results on August 12, 2026, with expectations centered on adjusted earnings growth.
- Market sentiment for both remains tied to industrial demand, raw material costs, and sustainability trends, with relative performance influenced by earnings visibility and sector positioning.
- SW currently holds a larger market capitalization compared to AMCR, reflecting differences in scale and product mix.
Introduction
Amcor plc (AMCR) and Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) represent two prominent players in the packaging and containers industry, offering investors exposure to consumer and industrial packaging demand. This comparison highlights their distinct business models, recent stock behavior, and positioning within a sector sensitive to economic cycles, commodity prices, and sustainability regulations. Traders and long-term investors focused on relative value, dividend yields, and earnings momentum in cyclical sectors may find this analysis relevant for portfolio allocation decisions in the current environment.
Amcor plc (AMCR) Overview and Recent Performance
Amcor plc (AMCR) produces flexible and rigid packaging solutions primarily for the fast-moving consumer goods sector across multiple regions. The company has benefited from scale following acquisitions, with recent market activity reflecting steady demand for sustainable packaging options. In recent weeks, AMCR shares have shown upward momentum, supported by year-to-date performance exceeding broader market returns and anticipation ahead of its fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter results. Sentiment has been shaped by operational efficiency gains and exposure to stable consumer end-markets, though tempered by macroeconomic uncertainties affecting volumes.
Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) Overview and Recent Performance
Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) manufactures containerboard, corrugated containers, and other paper-based packaging products serving consumer and industrial markets globally. The firm reported second-quarter 2026 results in late July, highlighting net sales of $8.03 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $1.14 billion amid a tightening paper market. Recent stock behavior has incorporated these results, with shares responding to volume improvements and pricing actions. Sentiment in recent market activity draws from supply-demand dynamics in containerboard and operational execution, balanced against broader cyclical pressures on industrial demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Amcor plc (AMCR) and Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW) differ in business models, with AMCR emphasizing flexible packaging for consumer products and SW concentrating on corrugated and containerboard solutions for broader industrial applications. Growth drivers include sustainability initiatives for both, though SW’s recent earnings highlighted containerboard market tightness as a near-term tailwind. Recent momentum favors SW following its quarterly update, while AMCR builds toward its upcoming earnings release. Risk factors encompass raw material volatility and economic sensitivity, with SW carrying higher exposure to cyclical paper markets and AMCR benefiting from more diversified consumer exposure. Sector positioning places both in packaging and containers, yet market sentiment reflects SW’s larger scale and recent volume gains versus AMCR’s focus on integration synergies.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as earnings visibility, recent momentum consistency, and relative sector positioning, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to Smurfit Westrock Plc (SW). This assessment stems from SW’s demonstrated performance in its latest reporting period and favorable supply dynamics in its core markets, though outcomes remain subject to broader economic variables and upcoming data points.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMCR is a Hold and SW is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMCR’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSW’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AMCR’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SW’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMCR’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SW’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMCR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SW’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AMCR (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а +1.91% price change this week, while SW (@Containers/Packaging) price change was -0.19% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was -0.87%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.99%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.87%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMCR is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
SW is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (-0.87% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
| AMCR | SW | AMCR / SW | |
| Capitalization | 21.9B | 25.5B | 86% |
| EBITDA | 2.84B | 4.3B | 66% |
| Gain YTD | 17.203 | 29.703 | 58% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.94 | 51.71 | 39% |
| Revenue | 22.2B | 31.3B | 71% |
| Total Cash | 1.59B | 179M | 887% |
| Total Debt | 16.7B | 14.2B | 118% |
AMCR | SW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 63 | 70 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 9 Undervalued | 14 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 74 | 87 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 78 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMCR's Valuation (9) in the null industry is in the same range as SW (14). This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to SW’s over the last 12 months.
AMCR's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the null industry is in the same range as SW (100). This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to SW’s over the last 12 months.
AMCR's SMR Rating (74) in the null industry is in the same range as SW (87). This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to SW’s over the last 12 months.
SW's Price Growth Rating (44) in the null industry is in the same range as AMCR (47). This means that SW’s stock grew similarly to AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
AMCR's P/E Growth Rating (78) in the null industry is in the same range as SW (98). This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to SW’s over the last 12 months.
| AMCR | SW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 17 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 71% |
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AMCR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMCR has been loosely correlated with SW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AMCR jumps, then SW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMCR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMCR | 100% | +3.47% | ||
| SW - AMCR | 64% Loosely correlated | +2.98% | ||
| AVY - AMCR | 59% Loosely correlated | +3.07% | ||
| GEF - AMCR | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.89% | ||
| SLGN - AMCR | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.17% | ||
| CCK - AMCR | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.05% | ||
More | ||||
SW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SW has been closely correlated with IP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SW jumps, then IP could also see price increases.