MTH's Logo
Stock
NYSE
MTH
Price
$72.42
Change
-$1.97 (-2.65%)
Updated
Jun 28, 6:59 PM EST
TOL's Logo
Stock
NYSE
TOL
Price
$44.60
Change
-$1.03 (-2.26%)
Updated
Jun 28, 6:59 PM EST
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MTH vs TOL Comparison

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MTH vs TOL. Compare Fundamental and Technical Ratings

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MTH vs TOL Comparison Chart

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MTH vs. TOL commentary
Jun 29, 2022
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MTH is a StrongSell and TOL is a Buy.
COMPARISON
Comparison
Jun 29, 2022
Stock price -- (MTH: $72.46 vs. TOL: $44.63)
Brand notoriety: MTH and TOL are both not notable
Both companies represent the Homebuilding industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: MTH: 78% vs. TOL: 61%
Market capitalization -- MTH: $2.73B vs. TOL: $5.13B
MTH [@Homebuilding] is valued at $2.73B. TOL’s [@Homebuilding] market capitalization is $5.13B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Homebuilding] industry ranges from $25.85B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Homebuilding] industry is $3.73B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

MTH’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTOL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).

  • MTH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • TOL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
According to our system of comparison, MTH is a better buy in the long-term than TOL.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

MTH’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TOL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • MTH’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
  • TOL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, TOL is a better buy in the short-term than MTH.

Price Growth

MTH (@Homebuilding) experienced а +11.53% price change this week, while TOL (@Homebuilding) price change was +6.14% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was +3.54%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was 0.00%, and the average quarterly price growth was 0.00%.

Reported Earning Dates

MTH is expected to report earnings on Jul 27, 2022.

TOL is expected to report earnings on Aug 23, 2022.

Industries' Descriptions

@Homebuilding (+3.54% weekly)

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

SUMMARIES
A.I.dvisor published
a Summary for MTH with price predictions.
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A.I.dvisor published
a Summary for TOL with price predictions.
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
TOL($5.13B) has a higher market cap than MTH($2.73B). TOL has higher P/E ratio than MTH: TOL (5.62) vs MTH (3.35). TOL YTD gains are higher at: -37.929 vs. MTH (-40.636). TOL has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 1.33B vs. MTH (1.1B). TOL (535M) and MTH (520M) have equal amount of cash in the bank . MTH has less debt than TOL: MTH (1.19B) vs TOL (3.43B). TOL has higher revenues than MTH: TOL (9.37B) vs MTH (5.35B).
MTHTOLMTH / TOL
Capitalization2.73B5.13B53%
EBITDA1.1B1.33B83%
Gain YTD-40.636-37.929107%
P/E Ratio3.355.6260%
Revenue5.35B9.37B57%
Total Cash520M535M97%
Total Debt1.19B3.43B35%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS

MTH vs TOL: Fundamental Ratings

MTH
TOL
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
6316
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
60
Fair valued
34
Fair valued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
4369
SMR RATING
1..100
1315
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
7977
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
7983
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
27n/a

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

TOL's Valuation (34) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MTH (60). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to MTH’s over the last 12 months.

MTH's Profit vs Risk Rating (43) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (69). This means that MTH’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.

MTH's SMR Rating (13) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (15). This means that MTH’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.

TOL's Price Growth Rating (77) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MTH (79). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to MTH’s over the last 12 months.

MTH's P/E Growth Rating (79) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (83). This means that MTH’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
MTHTOL
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
69%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
68%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
63%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
57%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
58%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
74%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
67%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
68%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
66%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
73%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
70%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
67%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
63%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 8 days ago
70%
Bearish Trend 12 days ago
64%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
66%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
68%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
59%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
68%
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MTH and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTH has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTH jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MTH
1D Price
Change %
MTH100%
-2.62%
PHM - MTH
88%
Closely correlated
-1.77%
DHI - MTH
88%
Closely correlated
-3.07%
CCS - MTH
88%
Closely correlated
-2.56%
LEN - MTH
87%
Closely correlated
-3.13%
KBH - MTH
87%
Closely correlated
-2.39%
More

TOL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TOL has been closely correlated with LEN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 92% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TOL jumps, then LEN could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To TOL
1D Price
Change %
TOL100%
-2.19%
LEN - TOL
92%
Closely correlated
-3.13%
PHM - TOL
92%
Closely correlated
-1.77%
DHI - TOL
92%
Closely correlated
-3.07%
CCS - TOL
89%
Closely correlated
-2.56%
MHO - TOL
86%
Closely correlated
-1.93%
More