MTH
Price
$70.63
Change
-$1.99 (-2.74%)
Updated
Jul 3 closing price
Capitalization
6.22B
18 days until earnings call
TOL
Price
$117.79
Change
-$2.47 (-2.05%)
Updated
Jul 3 closing price
Capitalization
13.34B
52 days until earnings call
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MTH vs TOL

Header iconMTH vs TOL Comparison
Open Charts MTH vs TOLBanner chart's image
Meritage Homes
Price$70.63
Change-$1.99 (-2.74%)
Volume$571.54K
Capitalization6.22B
Toll Brothers
Price$117.79
Change-$2.47 (-2.05%)
Volume$1.12M
Capitalization13.34B
MTH vs TOL Comparison Chart in %
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MTH
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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MTH vs. TOL commentary
Jul 05, 2025

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MTH is a StrongBuy and TOL is a StrongBuy.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Jul 05, 2025
Stock price -- (MTH: $70.63 vs. TOL: $117.79)
Brand notoriety: MTH and TOL are both not notable
Both companies represent the Homebuilding industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: MTH: 66% vs. TOL: 67%
Market capitalization -- MTH: $6.22B vs. TOL: $13.34B
MTH [@Homebuilding] is valued at $6.22B. TOL’s [@Homebuilding] market capitalization is $13.34B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Homebuilding] industry ranges from $53.71B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Homebuilding] industry is $7.78B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

MTH’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTOL’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).

  • MTH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • TOL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
According to our system of comparison, TOL is a better buy in the long-term than MTH.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

MTH’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TOL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • MTH’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • TOL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, MTH is a better buy in the short-term than TOL.

Price Growth

MTH (@Homebuilding) experienced а +6.58% price change this week, while TOL (@Homebuilding) price change was +3.48% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was +0.60%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.10%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.25%.

Reported Earning Dates

MTH is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2025.

TOL is expected to report earnings on Aug 26, 2025.

Industries' Descriptions

@Homebuilding (+0.60% weekly)

Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
TOL($13.3B) has a higher market cap than MTH($6.22B). TOL has higher P/E ratio than MTH: TOL (9.92) vs MTH (8.63). TOL YTD gains are higher at: -6.056 vs. MTH (-6.981). TOL has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 1.89B vs. MTH (975M). MTH has more cash in the bank: 921M vs. TOL (755M). MTH has less debt than TOL: MTH (1.06B) vs TOL (2.85B). TOL has higher revenues than MTH: TOL (10.2B) vs MTH (6.14B).
MTHTOLMTH / TOL
Capitalization6.22B13.3B47%
EBITDA975M1.89B52%
Gain YTD-6.981-6.056115%
P/E Ratio8.639.9287%
Revenue6.14B10.2B60%
Total Cash921M755M122%
Total Debt1.06B2.85B37%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
MTH vs TOL: Fundamental Ratings
MTH
TOL
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
3844
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
31
Undervalued
51
Fair valued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
4838
SMR RATING
1..100
5549
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
5549
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
6040
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
9585

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

MTH's Valuation (31) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as TOL (51). This means that MTH’s stock grew similarly to TOL’s over the last 12 months.

TOL's Profit vs Risk Rating (38) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MTH (48). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to MTH’s over the last 12 months.

TOL's SMR Rating (49) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MTH (55). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to MTH’s over the last 12 months.

TOL's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MTH (55). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to MTH’s over the last 12 months.

TOL's P/E Growth Rating (40) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as MTH (60). This means that TOL’s stock grew similarly to MTH’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
MTHTOL
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
68%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
52%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
60%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
64%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
77%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
71%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
69%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
70%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
76%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
68%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
73%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
69%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
73%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 18 days ago
73%
N/A
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
64%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
60%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
72%
Bullish Trend 3 days ago
74%
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MTH
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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TOL
Daily Signalchanged days ago
Gain/Loss if bought
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MTH and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MTH has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MTH jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MTH
1D Price
Change %
MTH100%
-2.74%
PHM - MTH
91%
Closely correlated
-1.78%
TMHC - MTH
91%
Closely correlated
-2.28%
KBH - MTH
90%
Closely correlated
-2.85%
TOL - MTH
89%
Closely correlated
-2.05%
LEN - MTH
89%
Closely correlated
-4.09%
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