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Dec 31, 2020

3 Chip Stocks Generate Bullish Signals with Confidence Level over 85%

December 30 was a ho-hum day for the market as many investors were on the sidelines during the holiday season. Despite the low trading volume and lack of excitement, there were three different semiconductor companies that saw bullish signals generated by Tickeron’s A.I.dvisor. That is the company’s artificial intelligence tool. The signals all three showed very high confidence levels for a move higher in the next month.

Microchip Technology (MCHP), Texas Instruments (TXN), and Xilinx (XLNX) all saw bullish signals generated on December 30 and the signals showed confidence levels of 88% and 89%.

All three stocks have seen big gains since the March low, but all three have also experienced small downturns in the last few weeks.

Digging deeper in to the companies and their fundamentals, the Tickeron Fundamental Analysis Screener shows a number of positive signs for all three. In fact, all three have four positive indicators. Texas Instruments doesn’t have any negative marks, Xilinx has one, and Microchip has two.

There are two areas where all three companies get positive signals, the Valuation Ratings and the Profit vs. Risk Rating. Texas Instruments gets extremely high marks in both areas and it gets an extremely high mark for its SMR Rating. Xilinx also gets a good score for its SMR Rating while Microchip’s SMR Rating is neutral.

Microchip and Texas Instruments both score well for their Price Growth Rating while Xilinx gets a neutral rating. One indicator that is mixed is the PE Growth Rating. Xilinx gets a positive mark, Texas Instruments gets a neutral score, and Microchip gets a negative reading.

The stocks don’t fare as well in the technical analysis screener, but some of the readings are getting a little old. All three stocks did get bullish signals from the Aroon Indicator within the last 10 days. All three also got bullish signals from the moving average indicator 22 days ago. All three got bearish signals from the Bollinger Bands 17 days ago and 21 days ago, right before the previously mentioned pullbacks.

Texas Instruments received a bullish signal from the Stochastic Indicators eight days ago. Both Microchip and Texas Instruments are oversold at this time based on the stochastic indicators. All three stocks saw their stochastic indicators make bullish crossovers on December 30.

Xilinx is set to be acquired by Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) in an all stock deal, so the price of Xilinx is highly correlated to the price of AMD at this time. It is worth noting that AMD also saw its stochastic indicators make a bullish crossover on December 30.

 

Related Ticker: TXN

Aroon Indicator for TXN shows an upward move is likely

TXN's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on March 18, 2024. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 271 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In of the 271 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TXN advanced for three days, in of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 11, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TXN as a result. In of 104 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TXN turned negative on March 18, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

TXN moved below its 50-day moving average on April 12, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TXN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.961) is normal, around the industry mean (6.496). P/E Ratio (23.528) is within average values for comparable stocks, (118.875). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.200) is also within normal values, averaging (2.563). Dividend Yield (0.031) settles around the average of (0.021) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.696) is also within normal values, averaging (34.705).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 62, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TXN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd (NYSE:TSM), Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), QUALCOMM (NASDAQ:QCOM), Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT), Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC), Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN), Micron Technology (NASDAQ:MU), Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX).

Industry description

The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Semiconductors Industry is 40.91B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 13.43K to 2.15T. NVDA holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.15T. The lowest valued company is CYBL at 13.43K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was -4%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -3%, and the average quarterly price growth was 43%. IQEPF experienced the highest price growth at 44%, while SPVNF experienced the biggest fall at -84%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Semiconductors Industry was 14%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -42% and the average quarterly volume growth was 17%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 58
P/E Growth Rating: 47
Price Growth Rating: 80
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 62
Seasonality Score: -19 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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A.I. Advisor
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General Information

a manufacturer of integrated circuit semiconductors and calculators

Industry Semiconductors

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Semiconductors
Address
12500 TI Boulevard
Phone
+1 214 479-3773
Employees
34000
Web
https://www.ti.com
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