In recent weeks, Swing trader's Downtrend Protection v.2 AI trading robot has been a top performer in our robot factory, generating a 7.15% return for LUV (Southwest Airlines Co.). However, recent technical analysis of the stock shows bearish signals that suggest a potential decline in the future.
One of the key indicators suggesting a bearish outlook for LUV is the Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD), which turned negative on April 26, 2023. When the MACD turns negative, it is generally interpreted as a bearish signal, indicating that the stock could experience a downward move.
To further analyze the probability of a downward move, Tickeron's A.I.dvisor examined 48 instances where the MACD indicator turned negative. The results showed that in 40 out of 48 cases, the stock moved lower in the days following the negative MACD signal. This puts the odds of a downward move for LUV at a high 83%.
Additionally, the latest earnings report on April 27 showed earnings per share of -27 cents, missing the estimate of -23 cents. With 659.99K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization of LUV sits at 18.02B. This earnings miss combined with the bearish technical signals is likely to put pressure on the stock in the near term.
Investors in LUV should remain vigilant and keep a close eye on both technical indicators and earnings reports. While Swing trader's Downtrend Protection v.2 has been a top performer, it is important to remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where LUV advanced for three days, in of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 58 cases where LUV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 190 cases where LUV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for LUV moved out of overbought territory on June 11, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 12, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LUV as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LUV turned negative on June 12, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LUV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
LUV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 29, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LUV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.974) is normal, around the industry mean (2.824). P/E Ratio (36.449) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.106). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.550) is also within normal values, averaging (2.428). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.033) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.752) is also within normal values, averaging (0.631).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. LUV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of scheduled air transportation services
Industry Airlines