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Jun 29, 2023

A Closer Look: Trader Robot's Impact on CEI's +6.10% Increase

In the dynamic world of trading, where market conditions can change rapidly, having reliable tools and strategies is crucial for investors. One such tool, the Swing Trader: Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) AI trading robot, showcased its prowess by delivering a remarkable gain of +6.10% while trading CEI (Caterpillar Energy Inc.) over the previous week. However, recent technical indicators suggest a potential bearish trend for CEI, prompting investors to exercise caution and consider alternative strategies.

Bearish Signals and Downward Momentum:

CEI witnessed its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turning negative on June 21, 2023, signaling a potential decline in the stock's value. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor, a renowned market analysis tool, analyzed 32 instances of a negative MACD and found that in 30 of those cases, the stock experienced downward movement in the subsequent days. Based on this historical pattern, the odds of CEI continuing its downward trajectory are estimated at 90%.

Moreover, following a recent 3-day decline, CEI is projected to face further price depreciation. Examining previous instances where CEI experienced a three-day decline, it is noteworthy that in 50 out of 62 cases, the stock's price eventually rose within the following month. Although this suggests a possibility of recovery, the odds of a sustained downward trend for CEI remain at 90%.

Aroon Indicator Highlights Downward Trend:

On June 27, 2023, the Aroon Indicator for CEI entered a downward trend, signaling the potential for a significant decline in the stock's value. The Aroon Indicator measures the strength and direction of a trend, and its current reading suggests an increasing likelihood of a strong downward move for CEI. In light of this indicator, traders are advised to consider selling the stock or exploring put options as potential hedging strategies.

Despite the commendable performance of the Swing Trader: Downtrend Protection v.2 (TA) AI trading robot, caution is warranted when considering CEI as an investment option. The recent bearish signals, including the negative MACD and the downward trend identified by the Aroon Indicator, indicate a potential decline in CEI's value.

Related Ticker: CEI

Momentum Indicator for CEI turns negative, indicating new downward trend

CEI saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on May 31, 2024. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 64 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 64 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CEI turned negative on June 05, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 33 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CEI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CEI entered a downward trend on June 24, 2024. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CEI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 47 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 64 cases where CEI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CEI advanced for three days, in of 173 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CEI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

Tickeron has a negative outlook on this ticker and predicts a further decline by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 79%.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CEI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.495) is normal, around the industry mean (5.770). P/E Ratio (0.029) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.829). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (5.240). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.082) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.449) is also within normal values, averaging (151.198).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CEI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), Canadian Natural Resources Limited (NYSE:CNQ), EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG), Pioneer Natural Resource Co (null:PXD), Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:OXY), Hess Corp (NYSE:HES), Diamondback Energy (NASDAQ:FANG), Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN), EQT Corp (NYSE:EQT), Marathon Oil Corp (NYSE:MRO).

Industry description

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Oil & Gas Production Industry is 3.98B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 3.28K to 151.38B. COP holds the highest valuation in this group at 151.38B. The lowest valued company is PSTRQ at 3.28K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 3%. CSTPF experienced the highest price growth at 45%, while TRLM experienced the biggest fall at -50%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Oil & Gas Production Industry was 112%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 158% and the average quarterly volume growth was 153%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 54
P/E Growth Rating: 48
Price Growth Rating: 49
SMR Rating: 75
Profit Risk Rating: 74
Seasonality Score: -20 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I.Advisor
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a developer and producer of crude oil and natural gas

Industry OilGasProduction

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Oil And Gas Production
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